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AMPHORE - Interreg III B Medocc A pplication des M éthodologies de P révisions H ydrométéorologiques O rientées aux R isques E nvironnementales Leader: ARPA Piemonte Start date of the project: JULY 1 st 2004 Duration: 27 months
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AMPHORE - Interreg III B Medocc • Application des Méthodologies de Prévisions Hydrométéorologiques • Orientées aux Risques Environnementales • Leader: ARPA Piemonte • Start date of the project: JULY 1st 2004 • Duration: 27 months • Partners: ARPA Piemonte (I), ARPA-SIM Bologna (I), ARPA Liguria (I), CIMA (I), Regione Calabria (I), Department of Civil Protection (I), MeteoFrance (F), University J. Fourier - Grenoble (F), University of Barcelona (E), University of Balearic Islands (E) • Overall objective: • Improvement of meteo-hydrological forecast for the prevention of natural hazards, in particular for sever precipitation and flood events • Experimentation of new techniques, based on ensembles, for the high resolution forecast of precipitation over defined zones
Test Cases (super-ensemble): • Cambrils (Spain), 6 September 2004 • Calabria (Italy), 12 November 2004 • Gard (France), 2 November 2004 • Piedmont (Italy), 15 September 2004 • Test Cases (poor-man ensemble): • Piedmont (Italy), 25 November 2002 • Reno-Emilia Romagna (Italy), 7 November 2003 • Montserrat (Spain), 9 June 2000 • Gard (France), 8 September 2002 • Meteorological models involved: • ECMWF 0.5° (00 UTC and 12 UTC) • ALADIN (France), 7 km • BOLAM (Italy), 21 km • COSMO LEPS (Italy), 10 km • MM5 (Spain), 7 km
Aladin 00 Bolam 00 ECMWF 00 ECMWF 12 COSMO LEPS 12 MM5 00 POOR-MAN SUPER-ENSEMBLE PIEDMONT 15 September 2004: +24/+48 Forecast
Spring School on Mediterranean storms driven flash flood 14-19 May 2006 Montpezat en Provence, France • Objectives • One week courses dedicated to thesis students, scientist and engineers from Universities, research institutes and operational services. • High level international course on the meteo-hydrological features of the Mediterranean storms related to flash floods. Designed as a multidisciplinary course with a wide diversity of scientific matter and methods. • Excellent opportunity for the participants to broaden their scientific horizon and to improve their knowledge of flood risk management. • General multidisciplinary courses • Convection, Climatology of Mediterranean storms, Synoptic environments, Flash-flood hydrological science, Specificities of Mediterranean basins, Introduction to the vulnerability of the territory, Risk predictors, Meteo-hydrological field experiments, Radar hydrology, Predictabilities issues.
Conclusions • In the project we implemented this method for the first time with LAM’s and GCM’s. • In the selected test cases, results are really good for temperature fields, reasonable (or at least promising !) for precipitation fields. • Results are quite interesting and deserve a deeper analysis to explore the application of multimodel methods for QPF.