1 / 22

Number of recorded murders per month, 1994-99

Analyzing crime rates, convictions, societal factors, and future scenarios for crime in South Africa, with a focus on the impact of the criminal justice system, firearms, and demographics. Important statistics and sources are cited.

celentano
Download Presentation

Number of recorded murders per month, 1994-99

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Number of recorded murders per month, 1994-99

  2. % individuals experiencing crime, by age (1997)

  3. % of victims who knew the offender

  4. Number of recorded assaults per month, 1994-99

  5. Crime rates in the provinces, Jan-Sept 2001

  6. Murder rates in the provinces, Jan-Sept 2001

  7. Aggravated robbery rates in the provinces, Jan-Sept 2001

  8. Rape rates in the provinces, Jan-Sept 2001

  9. Burglary rates in the provinces, Jan-Sept 2001

  10. Reasons for high crime levels & future scenarios • Period of transition • Cycles of violence • Proliferation of firearms • Organised crime • Rapid urbanisation & income inequality • Youthful population • Weak criminal justice system

  11. Conviction rate (all offences) per 100,000 of the population, 1995/96

  12. Age distribution, South Africa (1996)

  13. CJS Performance • Cases recorded in 2000 • 2 575 617 • Cases referred to court • 609 928 (24%) • Convictions: 211 762 (8%)

  14. No. of SAPS officers and violent crimes, 1996-2000

  15. No. of prosecutions, convictions, referrals and crimes recorded

  16. Number of DCS personnel and prisoners, 1994-2000

  17. Future crime scenario: Positive developments • More effective criminal justice system, dependant on: • Communication • Credibility • Capacity • Focus of law enforcement & legislation on organised crime • Transitional period ending • Slowdown in urbanisation rate

  18. Future crime scenario: Unknown • Proliferation of firearms • Firearms Control Act • Developments in Angola and DRC • Eastward NATO expansion

  19. Future crime scenario: Negative developments • Cycles of violence • Changing age demographics • Effect of HIV/AIDS epidemic

  20. Number of AIDS orphans (millions) in SA, 1998-2010

  21. Conclusion • Decline of crime where impact of criminal justice system is strong • Continued high level of crimes driven by ‘culture of violence’ • Increase in certain crimes because of HIV/AIDS epidemic • Greater state, private sector and civil society partnership needed

  22. Thank you! Institute for Security Studies http://www.iss.co.za Sources used: Interpol SAPS CIAC www.saps.gov.za Stats SA national Victims of Crime Survey, 1999

More Related