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Information, methods and tools

Information, methods and tools. Session 3 World Bank Institute Maarten van Aalst. Information, methods and tools for climate risk reduction. Global warming. Rising disaster impacts. Climate risk management. Key Source of Information on Climate Change. Global Climate Models.

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Information, methods and tools

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  1. Information, methods and tools Session 3World Bank InstituteMaarten van Aalst Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  2. Information, methods and tools for climate risk reduction Global warming Rising disaster impacts Climate risk management Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  3. Key Source of Information on Climate Change Global Climate Models Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  4. Challenges/limitations of model simulations: • Uncertain future GHG emissions • Model uncertainties/shortcomings • Spatial resolution • Difficulties of modeling extremes Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  5. Climate information at shorter timescales Enhanced climate risk management by using information at intermediate timescale: climate forecasts for the next few months (getting better quickly) Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  6. Example 1-2 week global hazard forecasts Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  7. Sources of information (1) People/Institutions • Meteorological Office • Climate Change Focal Point (often in Ministry of Environment) • National and international science institutes Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  8. Sources of information (2) Online information • IPCC www.ipcc.ch • UNFCCC www.unfccc.int • national communications • national adaptation programs of action (NAPAs) • International research institutes, such as IRI • Specialized agencies, such as WHO Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  9. Sources of information (3) • Visualization tools • e.g. SERVIR Viz http://servir.nsstc.nasa.gov/ Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  10. Examples of methods and tools (1) Project design/risk screening • ADAPT (investments projects) • CRISTAL (community level) ADAPT RISK FLAGS Red flag – adaptation issues are important and further follow up is strongly recommended Yellow flag– some concerns, which should be checked Orange flag– Not enough known to assess Green flag – No adaptation issues foreseen Blue flag – Positive action for adaptation Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  11. Adapt (1) Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  12. Adapt (2) Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  13. Cristal (1) Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  14. Cristal (2) Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  15. Examples of methods and tools (2) Portfolio screening processes, e.g. • OECD • DGIS • ORCHID Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  16. Climate change and disasters assessment Adaptation / Risk reduction options Options assessment Cost benefit analysis Adaptation options integrated Risk screening of future programming Orchid Sensitization and awareness-raising Strategic Overview Climate change and disasters profile Initial Portfolio Screening Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  17. Examples of methods and tools (3) Climate risk management process guidance Climate Change and Disaster Risk

  18. Key elements of climate risk reduction for DM organizations • Preliminary climate risk assessment: assess how risks are changing • Assess priorities and plan follow up • Implementation within regular programs Cross-cutting elements: • Raising awareness on changing risks; • Establishing and enhancing partnerships; • Documenting and sharing experiences and information. Climate Change and Disaster Risk

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