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Reducing Passenger Vehicle GHG Emissions

Reducing Passenger Vehicle GHG Emissions. Tom Cackette California Air Resources Board SEI Roundtable Next Steps Post-Kyoto: U.S. Options Session 1: Where Are We Now?. Climate Change In CA. Climate Change in CA Past 100 Years. Higher temperature (0.7 °F) Sea level rise (3-8 inches)

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Reducing Passenger Vehicle GHG Emissions

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  1. Reducing Passenger Vehicle GHG Emissions Tom Cackette California Air Resources Board SEI Roundtable Next Steps Post-Kyoto: U.S. Options Session 1: Where Are We Now?

  2. Climate Change In CA

  3. Climate Change in CAPast 100 Years • Higher temperature (0.7 °F) • Sea level rise (3-8 inches) • Spring run-off decrease (12%) 1984 2002

  4. Climate Change in CANext 100 Years • Temperature increase 7 to 10 oF • Heat stress related deaths • Sea level rise 11 to 16 inches • Property damage • Saltwater contamination of fresh water supply • Sierra snow pack reduced 73 to 89 percent • Winter/spring flooding • Not enough irrigation water in summer

  5. Pavley Bill • Signed by Governor - 2002 • Requires reduction of greenhouse gas emissions • New passenger vehicles sold in California • 2009+ models • Maximum feasible reduction • Cost beneficial to consumer

  6. Clear Public Support “What about the state law that requires all automakers to further reduce the emissions of greenhouse gases from new cars in California by 2009? Do you support or oppose this law?” • 2004: 81% support • 2003: 80% support • 2002: 81% support

  7. Nitrous Oxide HFCs Catalyst CO2 A/C compressor Vehicle Sources of Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO2 Methane Transmission Engine

  8. 2005 Chrysler 300C Hemi Automated Manual Transmission Audi TT Audi TT 3.2 V6 Cylinder Deactivation Available Technologiesto Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions 6%1 7% 1 % CO2 reduction, large car

  9. Acura RSX Honda Accord Toyota Matrix Available Technologiesto Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions Variable valve timing & lift 4%

  10. 2005 Audi Volvo S60 BMW 5 Series Available Technologiesto Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions Gasoline Direct Injection w/dual cam phasers 1% BMW Valvetronic (continuously variable valve timing & lift) 6% 8% Turbocharger w/ engine downsize

  11. 2005 Chevrolet Silverado Integrated Starter/Generator Homogeneous Combustion Compression Ignition Camless valve actuation Emerging Technologiesto Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions 4% 16% 6%

  12. Fleet Average Emission Standards ~22% reduction in 20121 ~30% reduction in 20161 1 Compared to 2002 models

  13. Regulation Reduces CAClimate Change Emissions* -19% -27% * Fleetwide

  14. Average Price Increase of New, Low GHG Vehicles

  15. Average Price Increase of New, Low GHG Vehicles

  16. Net Savings for Vehicle Purchaser

  17. Net Savings for Vehicle Purchaser

  18. Economic Impacts • More jobs (53,000) • Higher income ($5 billion/year) • Positive impacts on low income communities • Increase in number of businesses • Slightly lower smog emissions (3 tpd) • Vehicle sales (~4% lower after 2015)

  19. Further InformationCalifornia Air Resources Board Tom Cackette tcackett@arb.ca.gov 916-322-2892 Chuck Shulock cshulock@arb.ca.gov 916-322-6964

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