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O’CONNOR OFFICE FORECAST LUNCHEON January 25, 2012. ATLANTA AUSTIN HOUSTON DALLAS ORANGE COUNTY SAN ANTONIO. ATLANTA. LOOKING BACK AT 2011. TOP CLIENTS. Occupancy by Submarket. ATLANTA. LOOKING BACK AT 2011. Office Trends. Flight to quality/efficiency
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O’CONNOR OFFICE FORECAST LUNCHEON January 25, 2012 ATLANTA AUSTIN HOUSTON DALLAS ORANGE COUNTY SAN ANTONIO
ATLANTA LOOKING BACK AT 2011 TOP CLIENTS Occupancy by Submarket
ATLANTA LOOKING BACK AT 2011 Office Trends • Flight to quality/efficiency • Consolidations/Relocations – Exxon, Noble, BG Group, Schlumberger, BBVA, Nexxen • Significant Growth – BP, GE Oil & Gas, Cameron, Worley Parsons, Weatherford, Talisman, FMC Technologies • Long-term commitments from global companies – Shell, Hess, DOW Chemical, BBVA, BP • Increasing depth of demand through natural growth and new tenants to the market • Record sales prices in the CBD and Energy Corridor – Hess Tower, 1254 Enclave, DNA II
ATLANTA LOOKING BACK AT 2011 Large Leases Executed *Renewals or Expansions
ATLANTA LOOKING BACK AT 2011 Notable Office Sales - 2011 Hess Tower 1254 Enclave Class A Built in 2011 844,763 SF 100% Leased Buyer – H&R Reit Seller – Principal/Trammell Crow Closed December 2011 Class A, LEED Built in 2008 381,327 SF 100% Leased Buyer – Azrieli Group Seller – CORE/Baynorth Closed Jan 2012 Westway II CityCentre One Class A , LEED Built in 2009 242,000 SF 100% Leased Buyer – Wells REIT Seller – DNA Closed Sept 2011 Class A Built in 2008 119,195 SF 100% Leased Buyer – Stockbridge Seller – L&B / Midway Cos Closed Jan 2012
ATLANTA LOOKING BACK AT 2011 Houston Economy • Houston ranked as North America’s fastest growing metropolitan areas (19th in the world) by the Brookings Institute when comparing gross domestic product, employment, income and population rate. • Houston added 75,800 jobs in 2011 and the 10-county Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown Metropolitan Statistical Area surpassed its pre-recession employment peak in the fall, according to estimates released by the Texas Workforce Commission (TWC). Nonfarm payroll employment is now at the highest point in Houston’s history. • A record 17.7 million tons of container cargo moved through the Port of Houston in 2011, officials said we had our highest volume ever recorded. • Houston led the nation with a 149 percent increase in technology job growth in 2011, according to CyberCoders, an Irvine, Calif.-based tech recruiter
ATLANTA LOOKING BACK AT 2011
ATLANTA LOOKING BACK AT 2011 Population Growth • Houston gaining more residents over the past decade than any of the nation's other 365 cities, according to a new study by Kinder Institute for Urban Research at Rice University. • Between 2000 and 2010, the Greater Houston metropolitan area grew by a whopping 1.2 million people, increasing by more than 123,000 individuals per year over the decade • Houston's growth represents more people than the population growth in the New York and Chicago metropolitan areas combined during the past decade
ATLANTA HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TOP CLIENTS Occupancy & Absorption vs. Employment Growth Rentable SF Absorbed Occupancy % Total Occupancy % Source: CoStar
ATLANTA HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TOP CLIENTS Average Annual Rates, Class A & B Source: CoStar
ATLANTA HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TOP CLIENTS Net Absorption, by Submarket Source: CoStar
ATLANTA HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TOP CLIENTS Net Absorption, Old vs. New Product Source: CoStar
ATLANTA OFFICE FORECAST FOR 2012 • Absorption through expansion - Tenants are in less space than they expect to be over the next 36 months • Concessions expected to leave the market • Rental Rate Increases • Pre-leased Developments • Large Tenants Currently in the Market – Phillips 66, Repsol, Transcanada, PWC, Bechtel, BHP, Samsung Engineering • The Greater Houston Partnership has forecasted 84,600 new jobs in 2012