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This article explores the significance of precipitation in marine boundary layer (MBL) clouds and its impact on the radiation budgets and general circulation. It discusses the uncertainties in future climate prediction related to cloud changes and highlights the pioneering studies on the importance of drizzle in cloud thermodynamics. The article also presents observations and analyses of drizzle occurrences and their effects on MBL dynamics. Future directions for research are proposed, including the use of satellite remote sensing and field programs to develop climatologies of precipitation in low clouds.
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The importance of precipitation in marine boundary layer cloud Robert Wood, Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington
Motivation • Marine boundary layer (MBL) clouds cover about 1/3 of the world’s oceans and have an enormous impact on • top-of-atmosphere (TOA) and surface radiation budgets • the general circulation • How clouds change remains one of the major uncertainties in future climate prediction • Until recently, precipitation in MBL clouds was assumed to be of secondary importance – this view is changing
ERBE net cloud forcing SST anomaly from zonal mean
Tropical-subtropical general circulation from Randall et al., J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 125-130, 1980 warm SST cold SST
Prescribed ISCCP clouds Climatology SST and wind stresscoupled ocean-atmosphere GCM Model clouds from Gordon et al. (2000)
GFDL Clouds in climate models- change in low cloud amount for 2CO2 CCM model number from Stephens (2005)
Precipitation in MBL clouds? • Pioneering study by Albrecht (1989) • importance of drizzle in cloud thermodynamics • suggestion of microphysical controls upon cloud coverage/lifetime • Early 1990s saw the development of sensitive radars that can detect even light drizzle (few tenths of a mm/day) • Petty (1995) highlighted prevalence of drizzle in volunteer ship observer reports
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% >50% Fraction of precipitation reports indicating “drizzle” Drizzle is prevalent form of precip. in MBL cloud regions
Field campaigns with focus on low clouds ISCCP stratus/stratocumulus cloud amount
The southeast Pacific Low cloud amount (MODIS, Sep/Oct 2000) Mean cloud fraction Mean MBL depth
The EPIC Stratocumulus study • Part of the East Pacific Investigation of Climate (EPIC) field program • Ship cruise (NOAA R/V Ronald H Brown,10-25 October 2001) under the stratocumulus sheet • Surface meteorological measurements, 3 hourly radiosondes, aerosols • Suite of remote sensors: scanning C-band radar, 35 GHz profiling radar (MMCR), lidar, ceilometer, microwave radiometer Bretherton et al. (2004), BAMS
Drizzle challenges • What is the frequency and strength of drizzle over the subtropical oceans? • What are the structural properties of precipitating MBL cloud systems? • Can drizzle affect cloud dynamics, structure and coverage - how does it do so? • What controls drizzle production in MBL clouds?
visible reflectance (MODIS) EPIC Sc. SST (TMI) & winds (Quikscat) Wood et al. (2004)
Diurnal cycle and drizzle Surface-derived LCL Ceilometer cloud base
Quantifying drizzle Marshall-Palmer Z-R relationships derived using MMCR are then applied to the scanning C-band radar
u 20 km 10 km
Mesoscale dynamics -10 -5 0 5 10 15 dBZ 23:09 UTC VRAD [m s-1] -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 1.5 km 23:18 UTC 0 10 20 30 [km]
Animation of scanning C-band radar 30 km mean wind
Echo Tracking Comstock et al. (2004)
Average cell reflectivity (dBZ) 15 10 5 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 Time to reflectivity peak (hours) Structure and evolution of drizzle cells • Drizzle cell lifetime 2+ hours • Time to rain out < ~ 30 minutes • Implies replenishing cloud water Comstock et al. (2004)
Summary of drizzle observations from previous field programs
Closed Cells Open Cells Satellite Ship Radar
Drizzle and cloud macrostructure MODIS brightness temperature difference (3.7-11 mm), GOES thermal IR, scanning C-band radar
Summary • Precipitation is common in MBL clouds • The mean precipitation rates 1 mm day-1 are observed and can have significant thermodynamic impact upon the MBL • Precipitating MBL clouds display interesting mesoscale dynamics that may influence their macroscopic properties • Results suggest that drizzle is modulated by cloud LWP and by cloud droplet number
Future directions • Broaden the scope of EPIC using a combination of satellite remote sensing, reanalysis, and buoy data (NSF funded, 2004-2007) • Plan and participate in a more extensive field program in the SE Pacific (VOCALS 2007) • Use Cloudsat (launch summer 2005) to begin to develop climatologies of precipitation in low cloud
Fraction of areal mean precipitation observed How long do we need to average?