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orth. entral Research Station. MOFEP Data to Adds to Other Studies -- Coarse Woody Debris Estimation -- Landscape-scale Forest Planning -- Cavity Tree Estimation. Stephen R. Shifley Zaofei Fan Frank R. Thompson III William Dijak David R. Larsen Josh Millspaugh. Michael Larson

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  1. orth entral Research Station MOFEP Data to Adds to Other Studies -- Coarse Woody Debris Estimation -- Landscape-scale Forest Planning -- Cavity Tree Estimation • Stephen R. Shifley • Zaofei Fan • Frank R. Thompson III • William Dijak • David R. Larsen • Josh Millspaugh • Michael Larson • Martin Spetich • John Kabrick • Randy Jensen • Brian Brookshire, • Laura Brookshire

  2. Harvest Patterns Year 10 Even-aged harvesting MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  3. Harvest Patterns Year 20 Even-aged harvesting MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  4. Harvest Patterns Year 30 Even-aged harvesting MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  5. Harvest Patterns Year 40 Even-aged harvesting MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  6. Harvest Patterns Year 50 Even-aged harvesting MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  7. Harvest Patterns Year 60 Even-aged harvesting MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  8. Harvest Patterns Year 70 Even-aged harvesting MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  9. Harvest Patterns Year 80 Even-aged harvesting MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  10. Harvest Patterns Year 90 Even-aged harvesting MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  11. Harvest Patterns Year 100 Even-aged harvesting MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  12. Wind/weather disturbances creating crown openings affecting 0.1 to 2.5 ha per event have a return interval of approximately 670 years Tornados are a factor, but one we could not simulate spatially with LANDIS Wind and Weather Disturbance

  13. Fires once were common -- Every 5-10 years in 1800’s With active suppression the mean fire return interval is now about 300 years. -- Crown fires are rare -- Prescribed fires can be simulated

  14. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Initial Age Classes MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  15. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 10-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Even-aged harvesting

  16. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 20-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Even-aged harvesting

  17. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 40-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Even-aged harvesting

  18. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 60-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Even-aged harvesting

  19. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 80-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Even-aged harvesting

  20. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 100-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Even-aged harvesting

  21. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Initial Age Classes MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  22. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Initial Age Classes MOFEP sites 7 and 8

  23. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 10-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Uneven-aged harvesting

  24. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 20-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Uneven-aged harvesting

  25. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 40-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Uneven-aged harvesting

  26. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 60-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Uneven-aged harvesting

  27. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 80-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Uneven-aged harvesting

  28. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 100-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 Uneven-aged harvesting

  29. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 20-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 100-year simulation No harvest

  30. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 40-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 100-year simulation No harvest

  31. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 60-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 100-year simulation No harvest

  32. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 80-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 100-year simulation No harvest

  33. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 100-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 100-year simulation No harvest

  34. 0- 29 yrs 30- 59 yrs 60- 89 yrs 90-119 yrs 120-149 yrs 150-179 yrs > 180 yrs Age Classes after 100-year simulation MOFEP sites 7 and 8 EAM No Harvest UAM

  35. Tree size classes - year 100 Even 10% 5 km Uneven 5% No Harv.

  36. Ovenbird Late successional Edge sensitive

  37. 0.25 km Ovenbird Habitat Model Tree age & Landtype Pine Edge

  38. Ovenbird Habitat Suitability Even-age 10% No harvest Year 50 Year 200

  39. photo courtesy of Elaine Bindler Black bear habitat • Fall food • Hard mast • Summer food • Soft mast (tree age & land type) • Interspersion of food types • Circular moving window • Road density • Auxiliary map

  40. Black Bear Habitat Suitability 4 km wide

  41. Habitat model links Gray squirrel Black bear Bobcat Red bat Northern bat Redback salamander Ovenbird Prairie warbler Hooded warbler Pine warbler Wild turkey Ruffed grouse

  42. Could we create a working hypothesis of MOFEP change over the life of the experiment? • Vegetation pattern • Woody species composition • Volume • CWD • Cavities • Wildlife habitat • …

  43. Cavity tree estimation at multiple spatial scales Tree level Stand level Landscape level

  44. Probability of cavity trees • Tree level • Live, dead • Dbh • Species group • Decay class if dead • Stand level • Landscape level

  45. Probability of cavity trees • Tree level • Stand level • Stand age class • Dbh class probability distribution • Landscape level

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