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Contents. Pros and ConsQualitative VfM CriteriaQuantitative VfM CriteriaChallenges. Why Assess VfM ?. Starting Point: Major capital investmentDesired End point: Optimum and enforceable risk allocation to the private sector partner . When is the VfM assessment made?. Programme levelSuitability of using private financeProject level
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1. Difference between Quantitative and Qualitative VfM Criteria Owain Ellis12 June 2008
2. Contents Pros and Cons
Qualitative VfM Criteria
Quantitative VfM Criteria
Challenges
3. Why Assess VfM ?
Starting Point:
Major capital investment
Desired End point:
Optimum and enforceable risk allocation to the private sector partner
4. When is the VfM assessment made? Programme level
Suitability of using private finance
Project level – pre market launch
Important decision point
Procurement level
Check that procurement will deliver the forecast VfM benefits
5. Qualitative assessment - Viability
Measurable and definable outputs, clear scope
Operational flexibility
Inclusion of soft services
Equity/efficiency reasons for private sector service provision
Strategic/ regulatory issues
6. Qualitative assessment - Desirability
Risk Management
Innovation
Duration, requirement and asset life
Lifecycle costs
Do the benefits outweigh the costs?
7. Qualitative assessment - Achievability
Market capacity and interest
Timing
Procurement time scales
Value
Procuring authority skills and resources
8. Balanced Approach Balanced qualitative and quantitative assessment
Evidence-based approach
Generic VfM model
9. VfM Quantitative analysis
10. Measuring VfM - Public Sector Comparator (PSC) Same outputs specified under PFI
PSC helps to determine:
indicative costs (as benchmark)
risk transfer
VfM of private sector bidders’ solutions
11. Public Sector Comparator
12. Measuring VfM - Public Sector Comparator (PSC)
Key considerations:-
sensible costing
proper use of advice
benchmarking with similar schemes
recognition of risk and uncertainty
optimism bias
established public sector discount rate
13. Technical Adjustments Unbundled discount rate - time preference rate of 3.5%
Optimism Bias factored in to investment appraisal
Monetisation of non financial benefits and costs
Material tax differentials recognised and monetised
14. VfM Analysis – Input Sheet
15. VfM Model - Challenges Timing: Decision making tool or demonstrator?
Optimism Bias: availability of a reliable evidence base (PFI & PSC)
Data management - double counting
Limitations of a standardised approach
Care over presenting numbers
16. Conclusions Qualitative VfM Assessment assists with decision at Programme and Project levels
Quantitative VfM Assessment assists with demonstration of VfM at Procurement level
Limitations - Part of Business Case approach