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Computing Capability

Computing Capability. “reliable, timely and accurate”. Transition to IBM Power 6 complete Declared operational August 12, 2009 73.1 trillion calculations/sec Factor of 4 increase over the IBM Power5 156 POWER6 32-way nodes 4,992 processors 20 terabytes of memory

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Computing Capability

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  1. Computing Capability “reliable, timely and accurate” • Transition to IBM Power 6 complete • Declared operational August 12, 2009 • 73.1 trillion calculations/sec • Factor of 4 increase over the IBM Power5 • 156 POWER6 32-way nodes • 4,992 processors • 20 terabytes of memory • 330 terabytes of disk space • 3.5 billion observations/day • 27.8 million model fields/day • Primary: Gaithersburg, MD • Backup: Fairmont, WV • Guaranteed switchover in 15 minutes • Web access to models as they run on the CCS Popularity of NCEP Models Web Page 2009 2007 2005 2001 2003 2011

  2. Record Scores Record Improvement

  3. Day at which forecast loses useful skill (AC=0.6) N. Hemisphere 500hPa height calendar year means 8 d Forecast day

  4. Forecaster (HPC) Skill Annual Threat Scores: 1.00 Inch

  5. NOAA Seamless Suite of ForecastProducts Spanning Climate and Weather Outlook Guidance Threats Assessments Forecast Lead Time Forecasts Watches Warnings & Alert Coordination Benefits NCEP Model Perspective Forecast Uncertainty Years Seasons Months Climate Forecast System 2 Week North American Ensemble Forecast System Climate/Weather Linkage 1 Week Ocean Model HYCOM Wave Watch III Global Forecast System Short-Range Ensemble Forecast Days GLOFS Bays Chesapeake Tampa Delaware North American Forecast Hours Hurricane – GFDL, WRF Rapid Update Cycle for Aviation Minutes Dispersion Models for DHS Health Maritime Aviation Agriculture Recreation Commerce Ecosystem Hydropower Environment Fire Weather Life & Property Emergency Mgmt Energy Planning Space Operations Reservoir Control

  6. NOAA’s Model Production Suite Oceans HYCOM WaveWatch III Forecast Climate Forecast System • NOS – OFS • Great Lakes • Bays • Chesapeake • Tampa • Delaware Hurricane GFDL HWRF Coupled GFSMOM4 NOAH Sea Ice ~2B Obs/Day Satellites + Radar 99.9% Dispersion ARL/HYSPLIT Regional NAM NMMB Regional DA Global Forecast System Global Data Assimilation Severe Weather WRF NMM/ARW Workstation WRF Short-Range Ensemble Forecast Space Weather (Future) North American Ensemble Forecast System Regional DA WRF: ARW, NMM ETA, RSM Air Quality GFS, Canadian Global Model ENLIL NAM/CMAQ Rapid Update for Aviation 9 9 NOAH Land Surface Model

  7. 2011

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