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Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation. Possibilities of using i nformation technologies for KNI evaluation. Auditor of Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation Alexander Piskunov. KNI transparency problem. Progress definition. Freedom as possibility of self-realization ( A. Sena ).
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Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation Possibilities of using information technologies for KNI evaluation Auditor of Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation Alexander Piskunov
Progress definition Freedom as possibility of self-realization (A. Sena) Freedomasrealizednecessity (F. Engels) Freedom as the realized potential possibilities of realization of final goals Development of socio-economic capabilities as ends and means of development
Using the capabilities approach fora comprehensive evaluation of a project • Capability: property of a system, probability that the system will succeed in achieving the goal of its functioning. • The correspondence between required and predicted state sets in the functioning of a system can be represented as the probability of the following binary predicate being true: predicted state set required state set
Problem of development management evaluation Measurement of social-economical capability as progress measurement
Evaluation of key assets indexes of providing competitive ability potentials Indexes ofpotentials ofcompetitive ability Countries Key assets
Key National Indicators Knowledge Base Terms and definitions Databases provided by national statistics agencies and international institutions, including UN, OECD, WB, IMF, Eurostat Atributes Computation methodologies Strategic goals International standards and agreements
Cluster analysis results (based on 410 KNI provided by World Bank with 2000-2008 time frame)
Cluster analysis results (based on 119 competitiveness indicators provided by WEF 2010)
KNI identification with Data Mining techniques 410 indicators 36 countries time frame 2004 – 2008 Global Competitiveness Index Uncovering hidden patterns with DataMining techniques Revealed dependencies of Global Competitiveness Index on KNI
Statistically significant KNI Significant indicators identified with convenient statistical techniques Significant indicators identified with Data Mining techniques
Results of complex KNI assessment Country C Country B
Results of KNI assessment with imitation modeling of development programs
The architecture of comprehensive audit Performance audit Analyze and diagnose the results of FA and PA