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Transition to Carbon Reduction Campus Carbon and AB32. Lecture 8 EECE 449/549. Main Components of WU Carbon Emissions: On Campus Energy Use in Buildings and Transportation. On Campus Energy Use Carbon Impact. Heating.
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Transition to Carbon ReductionCampus Carbon and AB32 Lecture 8 EECE 449/549
Main Components of WU Carbon Emissions: On Campus Energy Use in Buildings and Transportation On Campus Energy Use Carbon Impact Heating The impact on carbon arises from on-campus energy use and from transportation Cooling Appliances Transportation Carbon Impact Commuting Air Travel Students University Fleet Faculty/Staff
Linear Causality Model for Campus Carbon Emissions Carbon/BTU Fuel Cons.BTU/yr C EmissionTon C/yr $/Student Sq. Ft./$ BTU/Sq.Ft. • The carbon impact of on-campus energy is due to direct fuel consumption and indirectly from electricity use • The overall carbon impact for on campus energy consumption has increased 50% from 1990-2007 • Electricity use contributed about 80 percent to the on-campus carbon impact PopulationStudents Activities$ Expend./yr Buildings Sq. Ft Kw-hr/Sq.Ft. Electr. ConsKw-Hr/yr Fuel Cons. BTU/yr C Emission Ton C/yr BTU/Kw-hr Carbon/BTU
The student population increased only by 10% since 1990 • However, the expenditures/student have increased by 60 percent • The buildings/expenditure has barely changed and the increased expenditures were matched by 60% growth in campus building area • Neither the energy use/sq ft nor the C emission/energy use has changed much • Hence, the key driver for the 60% carbon emission growth were the increased expenditures (prosperity) and the associated growth in the physical campus expansion.
Washington University Transportation Emission • Incomplete analysis – More work needed
Next Steps for Campus Carbon Project • Stationary source forecasting the transition to sustainability • Verification and improvement of transportation inventory • Researching transportation inventory methods • Additional data gathering • Transportation forecast to transition toward sustainability
Connection between AB 32 and Campus Carbon • AB 32 is a goal (compass) to transition • GHG should be at1990 levels by 2020 • With it came a scoping plan for how CA could implement the required reductions • We can study the scope plan and apply it to Wash. U.’s carbon emissions. • AB32 looks to link with national efforts, but it is calling all citizens to make changes.
Introduction to AB 32 • Law passed in 2006, marks turning point that BAU is not acceptable • States that by 2020 CA should reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels • Used as a method to mitigate global warming • Designed to allow CA to flourish while reducing GHG emissions • This is not the only process we’ll look at.
What lead to AB 32? • 1988 – AB 4420 directed CA Energy Commission (CEC) to study global warming impacts and develop an inventory of GHG emission sources • 2000 – SB 1771 established the CA Climate Action Registry for voluntary GHG emission reporting • 2002 – AB 1493 required CA Air Resource Board (ARB) to reduce GHG emissions from passenger cars and light trucks • 2005 – Gov. Schwarzenegger signed Exec. Order to reduce CA GHG emissions to 1990 levels by 2020 and further reduce emissions by 80% of 1990 levels by 2050. • 2006 – SB 1368 created GHG performace standards for new long-term investments in base-load electricity. • 2006 – AB 32 created the law that requires CA emissions to be reduced to 1990 levels by 2020.
AB 32 Timeline 2012 2011 2010 2008 2009 2020 2007 Identification/ implementation of further emission reduction strategies Publish list of early actions GHG reduction measures enforceable Early action regulations enforceable Mandatory reporting & 1990 Baseline Adopt scoping plan by 1/1/09 Reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels Adopt GHG reduction measures Adopt enforceable early action regulations Kathleen Mead
Proposed Scoping Plan Describes how California will reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels by 2020 Identifies measures to achieve GHG reductions Addresses individuals, individual sectors, State government and local government Combines Early Actions, CAT efforts, voluntary reductions, market-based regulatory approaches, other regulations Evaluates economic and public health impacts Kathleen Mead
Proposed Scoping PlanCap and Trade Program • Links with other Western Climate Initiative partner programs to create regional market system • Majority of reductions from capped sources • Offsets must be real, additional, quantifiable and enforceable • No geographic limits • 100% auction of allowances is worthwhile goal, but careful consideration needed. Kathleen Mead
Proposed Scoping PlanNew Regulations and Policies • Land-use and community design to increase walking, biking and transit options • High global warming potential gases • Oil and gas industry/refinery measures • Medium and heavy-duty vehicle regulations Kathleen Mead
Sector-Based MeasuresCapped Sectors • Transportation • Pavley I and II, Low carbon fuel standard, Regional transportation-related targets, Light, medium and heavy-duty vehicle efficiency, High speed rail • Electricity/Energy • Energy efficiency, 33 percent renewables, Million solar roofs Kathleen Mead
California 2020 GHG Emissions and Recommended Reduction Measures Kathleen Mead
References • AB32 Legislation: http://www.leginfo.ca.gov/pub/09-10/bill/asm/ab_0001-0050/ab_32_bill_20081201_introduced.pdf • AB32 Scoping Plan: http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/psp.pdf • Kathleen Mead, Presentation Nov. 6, 2008http://www.caltransit.org/files/resources/AB%2032-Mead.ppt