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Alan Dunster Associates Past Present and Future Insight

Alan Dunster Associates Past Present and Future Insight. FRESA FSO3 Natural Balance Supply and Demand Activity Sub-Group The South West Skills Market – A review of Supply and Demand. Understanding of skills market Joint planning and development Responding to skills shortages.

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Alan Dunster Associates Past Present and Future Insight

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  1. Alan Dunster AssociatesPast Present and Future Insight

  2. FRESA FSO3 Natural BalanceSupply and Demand Activity Sub-Group The South West Skills Market – A review of Supply and Demand • Understanding of skills market • Joint planning and development • Responding to skills shortages

  3. Activity 1 - SLIMAnalysis of the Supply and Demand for Skills in South West EnglandActivity 2 - ADAAssessment of Organisations’ Policies and Capacity to Anticipate and Respond to Skills ShortagesOverview of Methodology – Activity 2

  4. Activity 2 - Broad Objectives • Analyse policies of FRESA organisations against skills market • Analyse steps and barriers to improving joint planning, including role of data/research • Assess barriers to responding to skills shortage

  5. Key Research Questions – Issues raised in:Project Spec, Regional Skills Partnership Spec, and FRESA • What are the key strategies, structures and processes in place to identify and respond to skills shortages? Strategies: Policies, plans and actions Structures: Roles, relationships and boundaries Processes: Approaches and practices, including use of data/research Drivers and barriers to coherence Impacts/gaps in relation to the skills market • What is the contextual relationship between data/research and the strategies, structures and processes? Drivers and barriers to coherence Impacts/gaps in relation to the skills market • What steps need to be taken to improve coherence and joint planning to identify and respond to skills shortages? Gaps, barriers and actions required

  6. Managing Expectations • Objective 2 of Master Project Examine impact of ‘interventions’ on skills market – not an evaluation exercise! • Objective 3 of Master Project Analysis of relationship between research and action – infinite web of influence above and below SW Regional context • Focus more upon: • Research, data and intelligence role in policy, rather than all elements of skills policy interaction (been done before – SW-RA) • Regional relevancy rather than national or localised issues (reflecting strategic regional level of FRESA)

  7. Method • Desk Research (50 documents so far) • Telephone Interviews (x 40-50 Jan) • Face to face interviews (x 10-15 Feb) • Early finding reporting (March) • Scenario workshops (x 3 April) • Reporting (June)

  8. Development of Research Stages KRQs Desk Research Further RQs Telephone Interviews Further RQs Face to face Interviews Refine RQs Early Findings Scenario Workshops Reporting

  9. Development of Research Stages Desk Research Telephone Interviews Face to face Interviews Scenario Workshops Identify Issues Identify Solutions Test Solutions

  10. Magenta Book (Cab Office) Policy review The intervention The target population The expected outcomes Strategic Cohesion Impact of other strategies Impact upon other strategies Cross-referencing and gaps Strategy/Policy Analysis Frameworks • Decision Drivers • Research/data • Other intelligence • Policy drivers • Other drivers • Joint Planning • Partnerships • Organisational roles • Organisational culture

  11. Analysis Methods • Policy Review Frameworks • Matrices • Indexed commentaries • By organisation type, theme, etc • Strategy and Organisational Interrelationships? • Systems Dynamics Thinking (partnership with University of Plymouth) • Causal feedback loop diagrams • Principal-agent analysis

  12. Resources Margin Applicants R Staff Turnover R R Productivity Redundancies Skills Shortage Delay Skilled Labour Force Skills Gaps B Recognition Delay B Meet the Need FE/HE/WBL B WFD Training Reduce the Need Automate Move production Skills Shortages - Causal Feedback

  13. LMI and Principal-Agent Knowledge Flows Employer Organisations Interpretation Private Provision RDA Live LMI Regional Strategic LMI SSCs Employers’ Needs BL/SBS LSC Local LMI LSC Funded Provider Plans National Strategic LMI National LSC Targets

  14. Analysis Methods • Policy Review Frameworks • Matrices • Indexed commentaries • By organisation type, theme, etc • Strategy and Organisational Interrelationships? • Systems Dynamics Thinking (partnership with University of Plymouth) • Causal feedback loop diagrams • Principal-agent analysis • Qualitative Data • Analysis Framework • Key research questions, themes and issues • Keeping strategic regional focus

  15. Non-Statutory Organisations Federation of Small Businesses* CBI* TUC SW* HERDA SW* SW AOC* SWFET Key private providers Key VCS providers – Learning+ South West Forum* CVSs Local Learning Networks Statutory Organisations DfES DWP DTI GOSW * SW RDA* SW Regional Assembly* Regional LGA/Local Authorities* National LSC Local LSCs*, Somerset & WoE Local Learning Partnerships Job Centre Plus* Connexions SBS/Business Link* – Business West & B SSCs/SSDA* Skills for Business Network Education Business Partnerships SW HE institutions – University of Plymouth FE Colleges and 6th Forms - SW AOC? IAG providers Economic/Sub-regional Partnerships – Exeter & Bristol Organisations

  16. Thoughts? • LSC Local Annual Plans? • SSCs with regional plans – NHS WDC? • Private providers? • Sub-regional partnerships with own plans on skills shortages? • Voluntary sector?

  17. Alan Dunster AssociatesPast Present and Future Insight T: 01752 222859M: 07816 753351E: adunster@eurobell.co.uk

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