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What Comes Next

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What Comes Next

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    1. 1 What Comes Next ? Tim Finin University of Maryland, Baltimore County February 17, 2004 http://ebiquity.umbc.edu/v2.1/resource/html/id/16/

    2. 2 Caveat “It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” -- Yogi Berra

    3. 3 (0) Opening thoughts Some current research at UMBC (1) Pervasive computing (2) Wearable computing ( ) Intelligent agents ( ) The semantic web (3) Final thoughts

    4. 4 IT Evolution

    5. 5 IT Evolution

    6. 6 IT Evolution

    7. 7 Human Evolution?

    8. 8 Human Evolution?

    9. 9 Human Evolution?

    10. 10 (1) Pervasive Computing “The most profound technologies are those that disappear. They weave themselves into the fabric of everyday life until they are indistinguishable from it ” – Mark Weiser Think: writing, central heating, electric lighting, … Not: taking your laptop to the beach, or immersing yourself into a virtual reality

    11. 11 Practical Pervasive technology: the ambient orb

    12. 12 Communication is a key enabler

    13. 13 We have many standards

    14. 14 The devices must be more social

    15. 15 Ongoing research issues Languages for devices to exchange and share information using common vocabularies User configurable policies for trust and privacy Context aware systems that can anticipate the needs of users and act in advance by “understanding” their situation Intelligent middleware and agents to Sense, acquire and share context knowledge Reason about and maintain consistent context knowledge Enforce policies for security, trust, safety & privacy

    16. 16 A Bird’s Eye View of CoBrA

    17. 17 Our intelligent room

    18. 18 A Typical CoBrA Use Case

    19. 19 A Typical CoBrA Use Case

    20. 20 (2) Wearable computing A new form of human-computer interaction with small body-worn computing components Always on, always ready, always accessible Supporting hands busy and eyes busy interactions Not hand held devices, laptop computers and personal digital assistants (PDAs). Will lead to a new form of synergy between human and computer, characterized by long-term adaptation through constancy of user-interface.

    21. 21 Wearable computer, not

    22. 22 Wearable computing, maybe

    23. 23 Wearable computing, today

    24. 24 (3) Final Thoughts two enabling technologies The Web continues to evolve Web services and the semantic web are enabling more automation and agents The web is not just for people anymore Its a universal acid, consuming all in its path Wireless communication makes it easy and cheap for things to sense and interoperate

    25. 25 The Evolution of Useful Things The Evolution of Useful Things, Henry Petroski, 1994. Before 1900, papers were held together with straight pens! The development of “spring steel” allowed the invention of the paper clip in 1899. It took about 25 years (!) for the evolution of the standard “gem paperclip” considered to be optimal for general use. Things take time, but the incremental results pay the way.

    26. 26 Climbing Mount Improbable “The sheer height of the peak doesn't matter, so long as you don't try to scale it in a single bound. Locate the mildly sloping path and, if you have unlimited time, the ascent is only as formidable as the next step.” -- Richard Dawkins, Climbing Mount Improbable, Penguin Books, 1996. Mount Improbable rears up from the plain, lofting its peaks dizzily to the rarefied sky. The towering, vertical cliffs of Mount Improbable can never, it seems, be climbed Dwarfed like insects, thwarted mountaineers crawl and scrabble along the foot, gazing hopelessly at the sheer, unattainable heights. They shake their tiny, baffled heads and declare the brooding summit forever unscalable. Our mountaineers are too ambitious. So intent are they on the perpendicular drama of the cliffs, they do not think to look round the other side of the mountain. There they would find not vertical cliffs and echoing canyons but gently inclined grassy meadows, graded steadily and easily towards the distant uplands. Occasionally the gradual ascent is punctuated by a small, rocky crag, but you can usually find a detour that is not too steep for a fit hill-walker in stout shoes and with time to spare. The sheer height of the peak doesn't matter, so long as you don't try to scale it in a single bound. Locate the mildly sloping path and, if you have unlimited time, the ascent is only as formidable as the next step. Mount Improbable rears up from the plain, lofting its peaks dizzily to the rarefied sky. The towering, vertical cliffs of Mount Improbable can never, it seems, be climbed Dwarfed like insects, thwarted mountaineers crawl and scrabble along the foot, gazing hopelessly at the sheer, unattainable heights. They shake their tiny, baffled heads and declare the brooding summit forever unscalable. Our mountaineers are too ambitious. So intent are they on the perpendicular drama of the cliffs, they do not think to look round the other side of the mountain. There they would find not vertical cliffs and echoing canyons but gently inclined grassy meadows, graded steadily and easily towards the distant uplands. Occasionally the gradual ascent is punctuated by a small, rocky crag, but you can usually find a detour that is not too steep for a fit hill-walker in stout shoes and with time to spare. The sheer height of the peak doesn't matter, so long as you don't try to scale it in a single bound. Locate the mildly sloping path and, if you have unlimited time, the ascent is only as formidable as the next step.

    27. 27 http://ebiquity.umbc.edu/

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