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2. . Weather, OceanographyClouds, temperature, wind, precipitation, currents, tides, land use . Nowcasting, Forecasting Routine weather, disasters, military ops Imagers, sounders, [active and passive]. NPOESS Environmental Regimes. 3. Top requirements. Operational Needs. . Soil moisture. Army.
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1. 1
2. 2 Nowcasting, Forecasting
Routine weather, disasters, military ops
Imagers, sounders, [active and passive]
3. 3 Top requirements
4. 4
5. 5 NPOESS Certified Program 2 EMD Satellites plus 2 production
Bus sized to carry all sensors
VIIRS, CrIS, ATMS, CERES, OMPS-N, SEM, ADCS,SARSAT remain
APS, TSIS, OMPS-L, ERBS, Alt, SuS, SESSde-manifested from C1& C2 [accommodationremains]
CMIS deleted from C1, MIS planned for C2 and beyond
Ground architectureessentially unchanged
6. 6 Orbit Benefits Afternoon [13:30 LTAN]
Critical input [>90%] for worldwide weather forecast models
Example of products:
Northern coverage [Alaska for cloud, fire, and volcano detection]
Tactical air, sea, and ground operations
IR and Micro-wave temperature and moisture profiles
Tracks size and location of Ozone hole
Measures radiation threat to airline passengers and astronauts
Impact on space-based communications and GPS operations
Early Morning [17:30 LTAN]
Critical input for global cloud forecast models
Example of products:
Supports short term forecast models
Traditional support to IC mission
Tactical support to air, sea, and ground operations
Hurricane intensity and accuracy at landfall
Mid Morning [21:30 LTAN]
Enhances worldwide forecast models
Supports short term forecast products
7. 7 Concept of Operations Unchanged
8. 8 NOAA Satellite Operations Facility
9. 9 DoD is not only dependent on data from DMSP in the 0530 and 0930 orbit for direct military support but also the NOAA POES the 1330 orbit for data into both DOC and DoD global NWP models which form the basis of every DoD weather forecast
NCEP statistics show roughly a 25% improvement in forecast accuracy attributable to over 150M observations/day from polar orbiters
POES and DMSP are not only crucial for weather forecasting but for oceanography, space weather, short and long term climate science, emergency search and rescue, data retrieval from remote environmental observing sensors, and ozone monitoring. Interruption in these missions have broad reaching implications including failure of the USG to meet international treaty obligations
Removal of the either microwave or Infrared sounders from the polar orbiters will significantly degrade 1-3 day hurricane forecasts 15% of the time (JCSDA Study). Result: on average, 2-3 Atlantic hurricanes forecasts per year will be substantially erroneous
USN is particularly susceptible to tropical storms both in the Atlantic and around the world. Errors in hurricane forecasts lead to incorrect resource protection actions at the major naval ports. Fleet sorties cost millions.
Polar satellites provide key role in storm center location, track and intensity forecasts especially in the Pacific and Indian Ocean regions.
$7M savings from one accurate hurricane forecast that allowed USN to avoid fleet sortie from Norfolk
Reliance on DMSP is even more critical in the Pacific basin where vast expanses of ocean make manned weather reconnaissance flights impractical
DMSP high spatial resolution is used for short term target weather forecast needed for aircraft weapons load out, mission execution and recovery operations. DoD precision guided munitions have weather sensitivities which, if not forecasted, can cause guidance failure, mission failure and heavy collateral damage.
POES and DMSP are the only platforms for monitoring space weather conditions in LEO which impacts spacecraft operations, astronaut safety, and the location of the aurora which is critical to navigation, communications, and national missile defenseDoD is not only dependent on data from DMSP in the 0530 and 0930 orbit for direct military support but also the NOAA POES the 1330 orbit for data into both DOC and DoD global NWP models which form the basis of every DoD weather forecast
NCEP statistics show roughly a 25% improvement in forecast accuracy attributable to over 150M observations/day from polar orbiters
POES and DMSP are not only crucial for weather forecasting but for oceanography, space weather, short and long term climate science, emergency search and rescue, data retrieval from remote environmental observing sensors, and ozone monitoring. Interruption in these missions have broad reaching implications including failure of the USG to meet international treaty obligations
Removal of the either microwave or Infrared sounders from the polar orbiters will significantly degrade 1-3 day hurricane forecasts 15% of the time (JCSDA Study). Result: on average, 2-3 Atlantic hurricanes forecasts per year will be substantially erroneous
USN is particularly susceptible to tropical storms both in the Atlantic and around the world. Errors in hurricane forecasts lead to incorrect resource protection actions at the major naval ports. Fleet sorties cost millions.
Polar satellites provide key role in storm center location, track and intensity forecasts especially in the Pacific and Indian Ocean regions.
$7M savings from one accurate hurricane forecast that allowed USN to avoid fleet sortie from Norfolk
Reliance on DMSP is even more critical in the Pacific basin where vast expanses of ocean make manned weather reconnaissance flights impractical
DMSP high spatial resolution is used for short term target weather forecast needed for aircraft weapons load out, mission execution and recovery operations. DoD precision guided munitions have weather sensitivities which, if not forecasted, can cause guidance failure, mission failure and heavy collateral damage.
POES and DMSP are the only platforms for monitoring space weather conditions in LEO which impacts spacecraft operations, astronaut safety, and the location of the aurora which is critical to navigation, communications, and national missile defense
10. 10 DoD is not only dependent on data from DMSP in the 0530 and 0930 orbit for direct military support but also the NOAA POES the 1330 orbit for data into both DOC and DoD global NWP models which form the basis of every DoD weather forecast
NCEP statistics show roughly a 25% improvement in forecast accuracy attributable to over 150M observations/day from polar orbiters
POES and DMSP are not only crucial for weather forecasting but for oceanography, space weather, short and long term climate science, emergency search and rescue, data retrieval from remote environmental observing sensors, and ozone monitoring. Interruption in these missions have broad reaching implications including failure of the USG to meet international treaty obligations
Removal of the either microwave or Infrared sounders from the polar orbiters will significantly degrade 1-3 day hurricane forecasts 15% of the time (JCSDA Study). Result: on average, 2-3 Atlantic hurricanes forecasts per year will be substantially erroneous
USN is particularly susceptible to tropical storms both in the Atlantic and around the world. Errors in hurricane forecasts lead to incorrect resource protection actions at the major naval ports. Fleet sorties cost millions.
Polar satellites provide key role in storm center location, track and intensity forecasts especially in the Pacific and Indian Ocean regions.
$7M savings from one accurate hurricane forecast that allowed USN to avoid fleet sortie from Norfolk
Reliance on DMSP is even more critical in the Pacific basin where vast expanses of ocean make manned weather reconnaissance flights impractical
DMSP high spatial resolution is used for short term target weather forecast needed for aircraft weapons load out, mission execution and recovery operations. DoD precision guided munitions have weather sensitivities which, if not forecasted, can cause guidance failure, mission failure and heavy collateral damage.
POES and DMSP are the only platforms for monitoring space weather conditions in LEO which impacts spacecraft operations, astronaut safety, and the location of the aurora which is critical to navigation, communications, and national missile defenseDoD is not only dependent on data from DMSP in the 0530 and 0930 orbit for direct military support but also the NOAA POES the 1330 orbit for data into both DOC and DoD global NWP models which form the basis of every DoD weather forecast
NCEP statistics show roughly a 25% improvement in forecast accuracy attributable to over 150M observations/day from polar orbiters
POES and DMSP are not only crucial for weather forecasting but for oceanography, space weather, short and long term climate science, emergency search and rescue, data retrieval from remote environmental observing sensors, and ozone monitoring. Interruption in these missions have broad reaching implications including failure of the USG to meet international treaty obligations
Removal of the either microwave or Infrared sounders from the polar orbiters will significantly degrade 1-3 day hurricane forecasts 15% of the time (JCSDA Study). Result: on average, 2-3 Atlantic hurricanes forecasts per year will be substantially erroneous
USN is particularly susceptible to tropical storms both in the Atlantic and around the world. Errors in hurricane forecasts lead to incorrect resource protection actions at the major naval ports. Fleet sorties cost millions.
Polar satellites provide key role in storm center location, track and intensity forecasts especially in the Pacific and Indian Ocean regions.
$7M savings from one accurate hurricane forecast that allowed USN to avoid fleet sortie from Norfolk
Reliance on DMSP is even more critical in the Pacific basin where vast expanses of ocean make manned weather reconnaissance flights impractical
DMSP high spatial resolution is used for short term target weather forecast needed for aircraft weapons load out, mission execution and recovery operations. DoD precision guided munitions have weather sensitivities which, if not forecasted, can cause guidance failure, mission failure and heavy collateral damage.
POES and DMSP are the only platforms for monitoring space weather conditions in LEO which impacts spacecraft operations, astronaut safety, and the location of the aurora which is critical to navigation, communications, and national missile defense
11. 11 Global Earth Observation System of Systems [GEOSS]
12. 12
A coordinated Earth observation system is an excellent example of science serving society.
Rather than building observation systems for a specific application and adapting it to other uses as we have in the past, we are now looking at an integrated approach focused on these nine societal benefit areas:
Weather Forecasting
Reduce Loss of Life and Property from Disasters
Protect and Monitor Our Ocean Resources
Understand, Assess, Predict, Mitigate, and Adapt to Climate Variability and Change
Support Sustainable Agriculture and Combat Land Degradation
Understand the Effect of Environmental Factors on Human Health and Well-Being
Develop the Capacity to Make Ecological Forecasts Protect and Monitor Water Resources
Monitor and Manage Energy Resources
A coordinated Earth observation system is an excellent example of science serving society.
Rather than building observation systems for a specific application and adapting it to other uses as we have in the past, we are now looking at an integrated approach focused on these nine societal benefit areas:
Weather Forecasting
Reduce Loss of Life and Property from Disasters
Protect and Monitor Our Ocean Resources
Understand, Assess, Predict, Mitigate, and Adapt to Climate Variability and Change
Support Sustainable Agriculture and Combat Land Degradation
Understand the Effect of Environmental Factors on Human Health and Well-Being
Develop the Capacity to Make Ecological Forecasts Protect and Monitor Water Resources
Monitor and Manage Energy Resources
13. 13
14. 14
15. 15
16. 16 Integrated Polar Constellations
17. 17 NPOESS Preparatory Project IPO-NASA Cooperative Program
19. 19
20. 20 Way Forward Nunn-McCurdy validated the national security need for NPOESS
Stakeholders unanimous – “No operational data gap” is top priority
Program plan for the future
Technical baseline understood
Detailed planning complete
Baseline in place Spring ’07
Good Momentum from FY06 into FY07
World-class team assembled to get the job done Ity Ity