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Progress for the MIRAGE-SH/GURME project

Progress for the MIRAGE-SH/GURME project. Xuexi Tie NCAR/ACD. NCAR, Jan/19/2009. Motivations: Large cities are rapidly growing (cluster) Rapid development of economics has important effect on air pollutants and climate (regional  global)

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Progress for the MIRAGE-SH/GURME project

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  1. Progress for the MIRAGE-SH/GURME project Xuexi Tie NCAR/ACD NCAR, Jan/19/2009

  2. Motivations: • Large cities are rapidly growing (cluster) • Rapid development of economics has important • effect on air pollutants and climate • (regional  global) • Establish a chemical weather (ozone, visibility • etc) forecast system in the Shanghai Region • (YRD)

  3. PP GDP 100B Population (Millions) SH NJ SZ WX HZ NP CZ ZJ NT SX YZ TZ HZ JX ZS TZ SH 16 Large cities (> 1M) in the YRD region 1 Mage city; 8 cities (above 5M); 3 cities (close to 5M)

  4. YZ NT ZJ NJ CZ WX SZ WH SH HZ JX ZS HZ NB SX

  5. GDP/Person 8-16K 28-40K 3-6K 6-8K 16-28K

  6. The impacts on environment High Pollutants around Large Cities Shanghai

  7. The worst is not over (yet) ! 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Aerosols (AOD) trend from 2000-2007 in Shanghai

  8. Typical visibility In Boulder Typical visibility In Shanghai

  9. Scientific objectives (1) Establish an effective measurement network to study ozone and ozone precursors, and use the measured result to evaluate WRF-Chem calculations. (2) Study whether the ozone formation is NOx inhibited or VOC limited in the city. How strong is the VOC-limitation to ozone formation in different locations in the Shanghai region? (3) Understand the impacts of different anthropogenic activities (e.g., traffic, chemical industry) on ozone formation in this region.

  10. (4) Study the impact of high aerosol loading on photochemistry. How strong is the photon-limitation to ozone formation in different locations in the Shanghai region? (5) Understand the effect of biogenic emission on ozone concentrations in Shanghai and the surrounding region. How do biogenic emissions interact with anthropogenic emissions to form ozone ? (6) Assess the interactions between the city and surrounding area for ozone formation. (7) Establish a chemical weather forecast system (CWFS) to forecast O3 and visibility and to assess the impact of the rapid economical development on the future air quality in YRD

  11. Current measurement sites Rural Remote Edge of Urban Urban Urban center Chemical Indu

  12. Date Ozone trend from 2006/7 to 2007/7

  13. Date C3H6 (VOC) trend from 2006/7 to 2007/7 It is doubled !

  14. Surface data analysis

  15. WRF-Chem model in Shanghai Currently is adopted in Pudong and used as Daily forecast for ozone (ozone evaluation (Aug/02-Aug/10/2007)

  16. Super sites during Sept/2009 campaign Rural Remote Edge of Urban Urban Urban center Chemical Indu

  17. PD

  18. JS

  19. DT

  20. Instruments for 2009 ____________________________________________________________________ PD - O3, NO, NO2, met, BC, PM1, PM2.5, PM10, CO, JNO2, SO2, NH3, Lidar VOCs(SH), HNO3(TAM) HONO(TAM), O3, NO, NO2, NOy, AERO_COMP(XA), AERO_BIN(PKU) JS - O3, NO, NO2, Met, VOCs, AERO_COMP(XA), AERO_BIN(FD), CO?? DT - O3, NO, NO2, CO, met, BC, PM1, PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NH3, JNO2,VOCs, VOC(TAM), AERO_COMP(XA) XJH - O3, NO, NO2, Met BS - O3, NO, NO2, Met, ozonesonde (10 times) CM - O3, NO, NO2, met SS - O3, NO, NO2, met ______________________________________________________________________ SMB, NCAR/ACD, Texas A&M (TAM), Peking U(PKU), Xi-An Insti(XA), Fudan U(FD)

  21. Table, Results of the measurements PD - GAS O3, NO, NO2, NOx, NOy, CO, HNO3, HONO, VOCs, SO2, NH3 AERO BC, PM1, PM2.5, PM10, Bins(10nm-10um), Aerosol composition, Lidar J[NO2] MET JS - GAS O3, NO, NO2, NOx, VOCs, CO?? AERO Bins(10nm-10um), Aerosol composition MET DT - GAS O3, NO, NO2, NOx, CO, VOCs AERO BC, PM1, PM2.5, PM10, Aerosol composition J[NO2] MET (O3-NOx-VOCs-Aerosols-Met system in the 3 super-sites)

  22. Enhanced Ozone Sounding (10 times during campaign)

  23. Lidar (aerosol profile) and the PBL

  24. 1KM fine resolution based on surface data 16 KM coarse resolution Streets et al (2002)

  25. Thanks and Questions

  26. Discussions of MIRAGE-Shanghai on Jan/19/2009

  27. Instruments for 2009 ____________________________________________________________________ PD - O3, NO, NO2, met, BC, PM1, PM2.5, PM10, CO, JNO2, SO2, NH3, Lidar VOCs(SH), HNO3(TAM) HONO(TAM), O3, NO, NO2, NOy, AERO_COMP(XA), AERO_BIN(PKU) JS - O3, NO, NO2, Met, VOCs, AERO_COMP(XA), AERO_BIN(FD), CO?? DT - O3, NO, NO2, CO, met, BC, PM1, PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NH3, JNO2,VOCs, VOC(TAM), AERO_COMP(XA) XJH - O3, NO, NO2, Met BS - O3, NO, NO2, Met, ozonesonde (10 times) CM - O3, NO, NO2, met SS - O3, NO, NO2, met ______________________________________________________________________ SMB, NCAR/ACD, Texas A&M (TAM), Peking U(PKU), Xi-An Insti(XA), Fudan U(FD) Enhanced Soundings (PBL), Wind profilers (?)

  28. The experiment duration The experiment will take place from Sept/1/2009 to Sept/21/2009. The second Phase of the experiment The experiment will take place fin spring (NW winds), May/2012???

  29. Participants from NCAR Guy Brasseur (ESSL Director), a few day trip in SMB to oversee the experiment Bill Randel (ACD director), oversee the experiment Sasha Madronich, oversee the experiment Xuexi Tie, Coordinator between NCAR and SMB, and WRF-Chem modeling Alex Guenther, Jim Greenberg and Andrew Turnipseed: VOC fluxes at DT and XJH Sites and VOC measurements at XJH, CM, BS and SS sites Eric Apel+1 VOC measurement at JS site Frank Flocke + 1 NO, NO2, NOx, NOy, O3 measurements and inter-comparison at XJH Bob Henson – UCAR P-R (1 week) Total = 12 (3 for short period, and 9 for 4 weeks)

  30. Participants from SMB?

  31. NCAR cost Airline tickets; 10 x $1500 = $15K Shipment cost; 3 x $9000 = $ 27,000 Materials and Supplies (e.g., GC gases, standards, cartridges): $8K Mis cost 5K Estimated total cost by NCAR ~$55K x 1.5 (over-head) = 82.5K

  32. SMB matching cost; Hotel cost: 30 day x $80 x 13 people = $31,200 Per diem cost (food + transportation) 30 day x $40 x 13 = $ 15,600 Some other cost; $15,000 Data management cost; $7,000 Enhancement Ozonesonde cost; $10,000 Estimated total matching cost by SMB; $78K - $80K Additional instrument purchase (J[NO2]) etc, $30K

  33. Pre-campaign activities • More WRF-tracer study, improve in emissions • Intensive VOC measurements by SMB 1-week each in XJH, JS, and DT (diurnal cycle during daytime in May/2009?? • Data analysis by ACD and SMB for 2005-2008 period

  34. Pre-campaign Preparations • Coordinate with other Institutes and Universities? • (Xi-An; Texas AM; Peking University; Fudan University; CMA) • Shipments of NCAR instruments? When and How? • Preparations in the field sites (Hotels and transportations) • Data managements, Web-site establishment

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