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Weather, Climate, Water Operational Service Delivery

Weather, Climate, Water Operational Service Delivery. Dissemination and Communication of Forecasts, Warnings and other Products. Purpose of Session. Service Delivery: Public Weather Services Haleh Kootval Climate Leslie Malone Hydrology and Water Resources Wolfgang Grabs. WMO provides.

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Weather, Climate, Water Operational Service Delivery

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  1. Weather, Climate, WaterOperational Service Delivery Dissemination and Communication of Forecasts, Warnings and other Products

  2. Purpose of Session • Service Delivery: • Public Weather Services • Haleh Kootval • Climate • Leslie Malone • Hydrology and Water Resources • Wolfgang Grabs

  3. WMO provides Servicesto meet the requirements of the community in response to: Immediate needs of the public and specialized users Tropical cyclones: strong wind, storm surge Air pollution Floods: flash, river, coastal Drought Health: vector borne diseases, heat (Humanitarian organizations) Channels for delivery Toolsfor such response.

  4. Elements of Successful Warning Service • Elements of a successful warning service = recipients: • Receive the warning; • Understand the information presented; • Believe the information; • Personalize the information; • Make correct decisions; and, • Respond in an adequate manner.

  5. The Need to Warn • Met/hydro experts crucial role • Scientific knowledge alone not sufficient • NMHSs + Hazards Community (other government organizations +local and national officials +emergency managers +media +voluntary + humanitarian organizations +weather sensitive businesses) …….

  6. By Working Together Jointly create preparedness plans, warning systems, mitigation strategies, public education

  7. Warning System • Goal WS: maximizing actions for safety • Components of a WS: • Detection and warning • Communication: complete only after information received and understood (vs Fire and Forget) • Response: actions of recipients depend on: • Message content and clarity • Credibility of issuing organization • State of preparedness of receiving authorities supported by NMHSs

  8. Dissemination and Communication • Effective dissemination: • Need to cover as large an audience as possible: • Backups and redundancies (Haiti) • Must reach: • Hazards community (including media) • Other government orgs • NGOs and Humanitarian orgs • Businesses (tourism, transport, others) • Media: indispensable partner in PWS • multiple channels: traditional, mobile and Social networking • Public education: avoid reinterpretation

  9. Dissemination & Communication Tools Floods

  10. Communication and EWS Communication of the message as important as the message Communication and/or dissemination inadequacies can lead to catastrophes Forecasts of impacts and uncertainty required “sole authority” principle in preparing and issuing warnings: Contradictory information from different sources leads to confusion

  11. Severe Weather Information Centre, SWIC Centralized source for media access to tropical cyclone warnings and information issued by NMHSs and RSMCc WMO Members in all tropical cyclone basins participate Displays alltropical cyclone warningsand information Displays allheavy rain/snow/thunderstormsobservations Partnership with Google Ultimate goal: to develop SWIC into a Multi-hazard Information and Resource Centre

  12. Severe.worldweather.wmo.int

  13. World Weather Information Service (WWIS) website WWIS (worldweather.wmo.int) Coordinated by Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) Available in 8 languages: Arabic, Chinese, English, French, German, Italian, Portuguese and Spanish 152 Members participating in the Website Provides official weather forecasts and climatological data from NMHSs for 1,316 cities to public and media Over 10 million page visits per month

  14. Visualizing Weather Warnings Meteoalarm • www.meteoalarm.eu

  15. Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Common Alerting Protocolis a standard message format designed for All-Media, All-Hazard communications: any and all media:(television, radio, telephone, fax, highway signs, e-mail, Web sites, RSS "Blogs", ...) any and all kinds of hazard:(weather, fires, earthquakes, volcanoes, landslides, child abductions, disease outbreaks, air quality warnings, beach closings, transportation problems, power outages, ...) to anyone:the public at large; designated groups (civic authority, responders, etc.); specific people Requested by WMO Members

  16. CAP and PWS Existing warning systems are a mix of different technologies and procedures CAP will allow consistent warning messages disseminated simultaneously over many different warning systems, thus increasing warning effectiveness

  17. Climate Floods

  18. Bridging the gap between providers and users of climate information 19

  19. Elements of Climate Services Information System 20

  20. Climate Risk Management Concept An integrated climate-environment-society system Multidisciplinary cross-sectoral planning Undertanding of the user’s environment for decision-making Knowledge of the historical climate of the location(s), and potential future conditions; and improvements to present knowledge to meet user needs A sustained, collaborative, participatory process

  21. Climate information, products, predictions, services for CRM

  22. …engagement of NMSs in CRM Data Information Predictions Scenarios Tools Knowledge Decision making Climate Observations Climate Data Management Climate Monitoring Seasonal Climate Outlooks Interaction with users Specialised climate products Decadal Climate Prediction Long-term Climate Projections Customized climate products Climate Application Tools

  23. Global Seasonal Climate Update • Effective products (El Nino..)….expand on these • Capability (GPC, RCC, RCOF…)…growing • Demand…growing • GSCU vision: • timely; regular; expert; consensus-based; • Monitoring/prediction of major features/anomalies • Global/continelntal scale temperature, prediction patterns • Info on robustness, uncertainty • Invitation! Help shape this process/product

  24. HYDROLOGY AND WATER RESOURCES Floods

  25. Integrated Flood Management (IFM) Integration of land and water management in a river basin Provides guidance on flood-related issues http://apfm.info

  26. Quick accessto flood management information Guidancefor activities towards IFM A continuous and sustainablecapacity development mechanism A link between flood managementpractitioners or decision makersandexpertsin various fields Alinkbetweentechnical and financial partners IFM HelpDesk provides:

  27. Development and Implementation of Flash Flood Guidance Systemwith global coverage • Implemented in defined Regions (SADC, Black Sea/Middle East, Mekong Basin, Hispaniola..) • To strengthenregional capacityfor timely and accurate flash flood warnings • A diagnostic tool for Flash Flood Alerts and Warnings • Indicates amount of rainfall required to cause a flash flood insmall flash flood prone basins

  28. Flash Flood Guidance System Benefits Early awarenessof impending local flash flood threats for all potentially vulnerable areas Enhancement ofcollaborationwith meteorologists and hydrologists and disaster management agencies Improvement ofcommunity awarenessof flash flood disaster threat and mitigation – torespondto warnings Development of products for high risk flash flood areas to effectivelyplanfuture development.

  29. WMO FLOOD FORECASTING INITIATIVE (FFI) Improved Meteorological and Hydrological Cooperation For Improved Flood Forecasting Overall Objective of global/regional activities Improve the capacity of meteorological and hydrological services to jointly deliver timely and more accurate products and services required in flood forecasting and warning.

  30. SELECTED ACTIVITIES OF THE FFI STRATEGY AND ACTION PLAN • Strengthening of Observing and Information Systems • Improvement of Hydrological and Meteorological Forecasting Practices and Products • Strengthening of Institutional Coordination, Cooperation and Integration between NMSs and NHSs Formulation of Technical Documentation and Guidelines related to Flood Forecasting • Supporting Disaster Management • Addressing Climate Variability and Change in the Light of Extreme Events • Demonstrating the Value of Meteorological and Hydrological Data, Information and Products

  31. Key Deliverable of the FFI Development tailor-made: Options for development of NMSs and NHSs for improved service delivery in flood forecasting Development of Integrated Products Development and Implementation of Demonstration Projects

  32. Coastal Inundation Forecasting Demonstration Project (CIFDP) WMO Expected outcome: Integrated software coupling meteorological (tropical cyclone), hydrological (river) and ocean (storm surge) forecasting models Regions/countries for the implementation: • 1. Bay of Bengal (Bangladesh) • 2. Caribbean (Dominican Republic) Partners: WMO, IOC-UNESCO, Oceanographic and Hydrographic Institutions

  33. Storm Surge Watch Scheme provides WMO • Open source numerical models forocean waves and storm surgesconnected with tropical cyclones, and guide to conducting operational experiments with these models • Open access to all products and guide to using these products for operational forecast • Assistance with processing capabilities andimplementation of warning services Partners: WMO, Global-Advanced Centres, IOC-UNESCO

  34. Contacts in WMO Haleh Kootval HKootval@wmo.int Leslie Malone LMalone@wmo.int Wolfgang Grabs: WGrabs@wmo.int Eliot Christian: EChristian@wmo.int

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