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Krogh Seminar – Research Presentation. Zach Kay, Matthew Quallen. Foreign aid as a retaliatory mechanism?. Research Question. Retaliation in the Literature (Davis, Bermeo ) 15-20% of Cases “Power Hypothesis” (Guzman, Simmons) Strong states muscle out weaker ones. Background.
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Krogh Seminar – Research Presentation Zach Kay, Matthew Quallen
Foreign aid as a retaliatory mechanism? Research Question
Retaliation in the Literature (Davis, Bermeo) 15-20% of Cases • “Power Hypothesis” (Guzman, Simmons) Strong states muscle out weaker ones Background
We hypothesize states will use aid to control WTO outcomes, filings Hypothesis
Our Data – -dichotomous indicators -Vreeland et. Al • Independent variable Lagging and leading versions • Dependent variable Odadis_USA, Ln? Delta? • Controls Baseline from Vreeland et. al; Population? Ln? Methodology
Natural Log Raw Data Oadis_USA, to Ln or not to Ln? *What effect will this have on our results?
The effects of methodological choices on out outcomes -Population, ln? -Odadis_USA, ln? -Odadis_USA, delta? -Leading and lagging effects? Results
Methodology affects both significance and sign • Evaluating our hypothesis? Conclusions