Steven Rose (USEPA) and Bob MacGregor (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada)

1. Case Studies: How can we vertically integrate biophysical, economic, and policy analyses into credible mitigation programs? Steven Rose (USEPA) and Bob MacGregor (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada) Forest and Agriculture GHG Modeling Forum Workshop #3, Oct 14, 2004

2. Motivation & Strategy • Motivation: lacking cohesive picture of how sinks activities might be included in registries or emission trading regimes or other policy tools • Currently discipline- and site-specific analyses • Strategy: assemble a vision of how mitigation might work by integrating different perspectives with respect to a location and activity to understand how stakeholders are going to respond

3. Case Studies • Three case studies--region/primary mitigation activity • Canadian Prairies/Soil Carbon Management • U.S. Corn Belt/Soil Carbon Management • U.S. Mississippi Alluvial Valley/Afforestation • Three perspectives: biophysical, economic, and land owner/implementation

4. Case Study Goals • Evaluate technical, economic, and implementation mitigation potential • Identify current analytical alternatives and limitations for characterizing mitigation activity • Identify research and data gaps and opportunities for improving our understanding and project/program implementation

5. Guidance to Presenters • Define program & project scenario, specifying 2015 mitigation target, location/location type, and mitigation strategy • Panels may assess other feasible mitigation activities • Apply existing work--ad hoc characterization • Try to address: • What mitigation practices seem promising • GHG effects • Economic costs--direct, opportunity costs • Implementation issues: baselines, measurement, monitoring, uncertainty, permanence, leakage, transaction costs, environmental co-effects, aggregation and contractual issues, payment approaches • Landowner participation perspective