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Project Related Trends For SS Africa 2012 General/Macro-Economic

Project Related Trends For SS Africa 2012 General/Macro-Economic. Growth in the Sub-Region (Varying growth rates, consumer spending) Trade (Intra-African trade, support infrastructure) Foreign Direct Investment (Top recipients & trouble spots)

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Project Related Trends For SS Africa 2012 General/Macro-Economic

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  1. Project Related Trends For SS Africa 2012General/Macro-Economic • Growth in the Sub-Region (Varying growth rates, consumer spending) • Trade (Intra-African trade, support infrastructure) • Foreign Direct Investment (Top recipients & trouble spots) • Resources & Commodities Boom (High prices & fluctuations) • Involvement of BRIC Countries (China & the juniors, Brazilian strategies) • Globalisation (BRICS, European economic crisis, South African participation) • Environmental Considerations (Categorisation by donors, global warming & CDM credits)

  2. Project Related Trends For SS Africa 2012Infrastructure 1 • Development Corridors (Existing & new) • Growth Nodes (Mozambique, Zambia, Uganda, Tanzania, Guinea, Angola) • Concessionaire-Funded Infrastructure (Vale & Nacala, Total/CNOOC in Uganda) • Rail & Port Bulk-Handling Facilities (Moatize & Nacala, Belinga & Owendo, Mmamabula & Walvis Bay)

  3. Project Related Trends For SS Africa 2012Infrastructure 2 • Power Supply (Thermal, hydro, gas, geo-thermal, nuclear, mini hydros, regional interconnectors) • Airports (International & regional) • Public-Private-Partnerships (‘Silver bullet?’ utility capacities) • ICT/Telecommunications (Communications boom, continued expansion of mobile telecoms, undersea cables, ‘last mile’ regional connectivity, financial services innovations)

  4. Project Related Trends For SS Africa 2012Mining, Oil & Gas • Juniors & Independents (Junior take-overs, emergence of private national oilco’s) • Mining Development Nodes (New Zambian copper belt, Zambezi Valley, West African iron ore, remote site servicing) • Claims & Disputes (Zambia & DRC copper belt, review of concessions, local beneficiation) • Social Development Programmes (Outsourcing of non-mining requirements, role of NGO’s)

  5. Project Related Trends For SS Africa 2012Other Sectors • Agriculture (Renewed emphasis, national programmes, support infrastructure, bio-fuels) • Health Sector (Private sector expansion, new health insurance strategies, boutique hospitals, medical tourism) • Commercial Property/Hotels (Major city extensions, mixed-use developments, strategic hotel locations) • Housing (New products, cultural legacy, civil service programmes, connection to resources sectors) • Relief Aid (food & non-food, UN agencies & NGO’s, under supply from Africa)

  6. Project Related Trends For SS Africa 2012Funding Trends • Wide Range of Funders (Commercial & development banks, donors, DFI’s, specialised funds, sovereign wealth funds, ECA’s, angel investors) • ‘Trade not Aid’ (Emphasis on commercially viable initiatives) • Brettenwoods Institutions & the BRICS (Co-ordination of financial instruments) • Expanding Range of Financial Services (Mortgage, short & long term insurance, medical insurance) • Mobilisation of Local Finance (Pension funds, diaspora remittances) • Debt Equity Ratios (Debt for consistent revenue, equity for more volatile ventures)

  7. Project Related Trends For SS Africa 2012Final Word • Unrest & Volatility Should Insufficient Attention be Paid to Local Value-Add & Beneficiation by Investors & Operators

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