900 likes | 1.05k Views
State of Education. Urban vs. Suburban Graduation Rates 2005. Worst High School Graduation Rates of 50 Largest Cities. Omaha, NE 55.1% Houston 54.6 Portland, OR 53.6 Las Vegas 53.1 San Antonio 51.9 Chicago 51.5 Tulsa 50.6 Jacksonville 50.2 Philadelphia 49.6 Miami 49.0
E N D
Worst High School Graduation Rates of 50 Largest Cities Omaha, NE 55.1% Houston 54.6 Portland, OR 53.6 Las Vegas 53.1 San Antonio 51.9 Chicago 51.5 Tulsa 50.6 Jacksonville 50.2 Philadelphia 49.6 Miami 49.0 Oklahoma City 47.5 Denver 46.3 Milwaukee 46.1% Atlanta 46.1 Kansas City, MO 45.7 Oakland, CA 45.6 Los Angeles 45.3 New York 45.2 Dallas 44.4 Minneapolis, MN 43.7 Columbus 40.9 Baltimore 34.6 Cleveland 34.1 Indianapolis 30.5 GRAND PRIZE – Detroit 24.9% America’s Promise Alliance 2008
K-12 Education Cost vs. Achievement of 17-year-olds since 1970
Public School Enrollment vs. Public School Employment Since 1970
Tracking Graduation Rates http://apps.arcwebservices.com/edweekv3/default.jsp
U.S. Education Attainment25 Years and Over, 1940-2010 High School Diploma Percent of Population Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011
Unemployment by Education Level Unemployment Rate Data Source: Federal Reserve, 2011
History of Retirement Retirement: a complete and permanent withdrawal from paid labor. Historically, retirement has been solely for the rich, however, since 1880 there has been a steady increase in retirement rates. If the current retirement trend continues, 20 year olds today in the US, UK, France and Germany can expect to live 1/3 of their lives in retirement.
Union Pensions Union army veterans retired at a higher rate at all ages than the general public. Union pensions reflect a pure income effect on labor supply. In 1900, a 1% increase in pension benefits increased retirement rates by .73%.
% of Population Aged65 and Older Source: Evolution of Retirement, Costa.
Who We Support Today with Entitlement Spending Population currently over 65 Thousands
Population over 65 by 2025 Who We Will Support in the Future Population currently over 65 Thousands
Why 65? “Age 65 is generally set as the threshold of old age since it is at this period of life that the rates for sickness and death begin to show a marked increase over those of the earlier years” -Issac Rubinow, 1916 “It is a commonplace fact that physical ability, mental alertness and cooperativeness tend to fail after a man is 65” -Federal Government before the Supreme Court, 1936
Age Discrimination Retirement rates increased from age discrimination at the beginning of the 20th century resulting from: Shorter workdays Scientific Management
Importance of Social Security Benefits to Those Aged 65+ 34% 35% 90% to 100% of Income Less than 50% of Income 50% to 90% of Income 31% Source: SSA 2005
Unfunded Entitlement Obligations In $trillions Includes Social Security and Medicare $46 trillion Addition of Medicare Part D Source: The White House, US Treasury
Rats off the Pension Ship Companies cannot afford to offer pensions, so shift burden to individuals If companies, with consultants and resources, cannot figure out how to provide income over a person’s retirement, what makes an individual qualified to do so?
State Pension Funding Levels 2008 Source: Pew Center, The Trillion Dollar Gap, February 2010
Estimated State Government OPEB Funding Source: Pew Center, The Trillion Dollar Gap, February 2010
Bargaining With Public Employees After Wagner Act (private unionization), public employees petitioned for same right, they were denied by FDR JFK signed executive order #10988, which allowed collective bargaining by public employees – setting up current failure of system
State vs. Private Employee Hourly Compensation Source: “A Hidden Toll as States Shift to Contract Workers,” New York Times. 11/6/2011
State and Local Government Revenues Source: Internal Revenue Service
Income and Sales Tax Dropped, but Almost Back Source: Rockefeller Institute, State Revenue Report; February, 2011
State Budget Gaps Source: CBO & Pew Center
Property Tax Revenue Still Falling Source: Rockefeller Institute, State Revenue Report; July, 2011
The “State” of California www.lao.ca.gov
State and Local Revenue Adjusted for Inflation, estimated through 2011 Data Source: Rockefeller Institute, 2011
Tax Receipts Fell Most taxes come from levies on three things: Income (personal and corporate) Consumption (sales, vehicle, fuel, etc.) Assets (property, inventory, etc.) All three main areas fell, but property taxes are greatest worry Article #31, DOT
So States Are Raising Rates Revenue Increases Have Helped to Lessen Cuts to Services Several states facing large budget shortfalls have averted deep cuts in vital services by enacting temporary or permanent revenue increases. In late 2007 and 2008, some ten states enacted tax increases, closed loopholes, restricted tax credits, or implemented other revenue-raising measures. Major packages were enacted in Maryland, Michigan, and New York. Since the recession began, over 30 states have raised taxes, sometimes quite significantly. Increases have been enacted or are under consideration in personal income, business, sales, and excise taxes. Major state revenue packages have been enacted in California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Nevada, New York, North Carolina, Washington and Wisconsin, among other states. Center on Budget Policy & Priorities, 8/4/10
Money Flows, But at What Cost? Source: Rockefeller Institute, State Revenue Report; July, 2011
Government Revenue as Percent of GDP Data Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve
Distribution of Federal Spending Data Source: Office of Management and Budget, 2011
“Other” Spending Explained Other Discretionary Spending Represent all Federal Agencies Other Mandatory Spending is allocated to rebates and Federal assistance programs such as the Earned Income tax credit, Veteran’s Benefits, Unemployment Insurance, Federal Employee Retirement and Disability, Supplemental SS and Food Stamps Data Source: Office of Management and Budget, 2011
Federal Government Expenditures and Receipts In billions of USD Data Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve, 2011
Effective Federal Tax Rates, All Payers Data Source: Congressional Budget Office
Taxes and the Rich Source: IRS, Statistics of Income, 2008
2010 Federal Tax Schedule 33% 35% 28% 25% 15% 10% $8,375 S $16,750 M $34,000 S $68,000 M $82,400 S $137,300 M $171,850 S $209,250 M $373,650 S $373,650 M Source: IRS