Presentation Transcript

1. Governance Innovation for Security and DevelopmentDesign Meeting

   Video Teleconference Fort Bragg, NC and Mountain View, CA 17 October 2013 - 1000-1300 Pacific
2. Agenda Introductions Discussion on goals Methodologies Working structure Roles of working groups Sponsor communications Certificate updates SSDCO ROL Governance Human behavior Conferences ISA - March PSOTEW - 13-16 January 2014 Washington DC Funding opportunities Minerva fellowship Topic area discussions Governance, Safe and secure environment, rule of law (Karen and Charles) Sustainable economy and infrastructure, Social well-being (Marc and Maria) Homeland integration (Paula) Human behavior, Tech enablers (Mark and Margarita) Specify goals for project deliverables: reports, literature reviews, surveys, case studies, articles, manuscripts, web-based materials, tools Identify timelines for identified projects plenary (ies) monthly seminars survey 38G analysis Other
3. Introductions Fort Bragg BG Hugh Van Roosen COL Terry Lindon, IMSG COL Jay Wolff COL Rich Thewes COL Rob Levalley COL Mike Barger (USACAPOC) LTC Hanhauser (USACAPOC) LTC Scotty Lene (USACAPOC) LTC Jon Mapley-Brittle MAJ Mike Chagaris MAJ Tony Vacha Mountain View Karen Guttieri, Principal Investigator, Naval Postgraduate School Marc Ventresca, Naval Postgraduate School Paula Philbin, Naval Postgraduate School Maria-Dubravka Pineda, Naval Postgraduate School Herman Semes, Naval Postgraduate School (22nd Century Contract) Margarita Quihuis, Stanford Mark Nelson, Stanford Charles Palmares, Stanford Charlie Jenks, 351 CACOM LTC Joel Smith, 351 CACOM MAJ Brendan McAlary, 1st Training Brigade, USACAPOC
4. Goals
5. Civil Affairs Function: Support Civil Military Operations (CMO) Conduct Civil Affairs Operations (CAO) Core Tasks: Population Resource Control (PRC) Foreign Humanitarian Assistance (FHA) Nation Assistance (NA) Support to Civil Administration (SCA) Civil Information Management (CIM) Civil Affairs Functional Areas Public Health & Welfare Infrastructure Economic Stability Rule of Law Governance Public Education & Information Capabilities: Civilian Liaison Team Civil Reconnaissance Key Leader Engagement Civil Military Support Elements (CMSE) Civil Affairs Team Civil Reconnaissance Key Leader Engagement Project Management CMOC Key Leader Engagement Project Management CIM Civil Affairs Planning Team (CAPT) CMO Planner Project Tracking Functional Experts Civil Reconnaissance Key Leader Engagement Project Management Advisor CMO Staff (S/G 9) Principle CMO Advisor CMO Planner Key Leader Engagement Project Tracking Army Civil Affairs (FM 3-57 2011)
6. Terms of Art
7. Statement of Work Research cross-disciplinary team …in an analytic dialogue producing academic reports, articles and monographs on military support to governance… will consider throughout the changing environment and information communications technologies... analysis on human behavior dynamics technological enablers of peace and stability operations military governance areas 38G Educational value
8. Methodologies
9. Certificate Updates
10. Certificate Programs SSDCO 90 Day Program of Instruction Phase 1: Distributed (6 weeks, reading assignments, online lectures, discussion) Phase 2: Resident (intensive 4 week academic workload) Phase 3: Distributed (2 weeks, completion of papers) 12 graduate credits GP3100 Global Challenges and Governance GP3200 Security and Development GP3300 Analytical Methods in Support of Stability Operations Certification Status NPS Certificate and Official Transcript USACAPOC (A) Advanced Operations Course (AOC) certification PKSOI/AWC and Naval War College onsite at NPS
11. Rule of Law Program Overview Concurrent courses GP 3110 Legitimacy, Law and Society Rules, role of legitimacy, social context Comparative Legal Systems Legal traditions, culture of lawfulness Public Order and Accountability Institutions to provide physical security and rebuilding/creating state legitimacy Intensive, interdisciplinary, integrated, faculty-led environment Connecting themes and multiple perspectives on common issues No counterparts to other courses at NPS in terms of content
12. Human Behavior Dynamics The Human Dimension analytic skills, and general understanding of the problem for Military Information Support Operations (MISO) and others. Students will survey relevant social science literatures (e.g., psychology, sociology, anthropology) and military doctrine to develop a robust understanding of human behavior dynamics and their own roles, across the spectrum of conflict. Influence methods for addressing the challenges of information and communication in influence operations. Students will be introduced to communications theory, cultural considerations, influence methods, and media. Measures of Effectiveness tools for evaluating both performance and effectiveness, familiarity with ongoing efforts, and skill in both analysis and communication of research findings.
13. Conferences andRelated Projects PSOTEW ISA Minerva
14. Sectors Research priorities and ideas
15. Research Ideas Transitional Regimes – Interim Governments Direction of State Formation Top-down and bottom-up state formation Development as a Product of Political and Economic Institutions Development through reform in governance and markets Authoritarian Regimes and Violent Non-State Actors as Community Stakeholders Exclusive and inclusive governance processes Participatory and deliberate democratic processes Emphasis on authoritarian regimes (e.g. Syria and China) and VNSAs (e.g. warlords, militias, insurgencies, and terrorist organizations)
16. Interim Governments Revolutionary Provisional (Transition managed by counter-elite) Power-sharing (Transition is managed by ancient regime and opposition) International (Transition is managed by international actors) Incumbent Caretaker (Transition is managed by elites of the ancient regime) Administrative Authority (Domestic organs have full legislative authority, international body has reserve power and is the main administrative authority) Executive Authority (International body has full executive authority; legislative and executive authority is shared with domestic powers) Supervisory Authority (International transitional authority has full legislative/ executive & administrative authority) Degree of International Authority
17. Michael Doyle - War Making and Peace Making:The United Nations’ Post-Cold War Record
18. Study Ideas Behavioral Analysis in Counterinsurgency Behavioral analysis of authoritarian regimes and violent non-state actors (e.g. warlords, militias, insurgencies, and terrorist orgs) vis-à-vis COIN Hypothesis: predicts a significant and positive relationship between a modified model of community-driven development and the reduction in conflict and promotion in development Methodology: test various models of diplomacy, governance, and rule of law; controlled field experiments and computer simulation
19. 2010 QDR: Civil Affairs “the vanguard” of Dept. of Defense support to Rule of Law USIP and PKSOI Guiding Principles for Stabilization and Reconstruction
20. Study Ideas Compensation Payments Text: Rule of Law Rule of Law Through Formal and Informal Judicial Institutions Merits and challenges of rule of law through formal judicial institutions, informal and customary laws, and religious codes Second and third order effects with respect to human rights and conflict resolution Constitutional Design in Post-Conflict States Merits and challenges of “accommodation” and “integration” as approaches in constitutional design Second and third order effects on security and development
21. Infrastructure & economic development (Pineda & Ventresca) – draft p1 Research overview: ‘Infrastructure’ is a multi-disciplinary field with relevant focus on planning, policy, socio-technical systems, innovation and risk. The links with economic development are several: Large-scale systems project management and oversight, due diligence for financial, human capitals Alignment of large projects to build capacity in local firms/SMEs and supply chains/value chains Management of innovation and entrepreneurial activity in support of broader economic and societal/well-being goals Risk management across the range of potential risks – physical, material, cyber, governance/ethics
22. Infrastructure & economic development, p 2 Research programme for GISD / CA community Produce ‘translation research’ matrix to guide our research and engagement with the CA community Develop integrative literature review that digests ‘infrastructure’ conceptions and theory, compare/contrast with relevance for policy and CA practice Define academic research on specific (infrastructure) topic to produce working paper -> journal article, edited workshop proceedings, conference presentations and/or panel.  Sample research topics: ‘Alternative energy generation and delivery’; Community-based models of water & sanitation capacity’; ‘System building’ across specific infrastructure domains, e.g., Lessons from off-grid electricity in Africa for community-building. Convene ‘Think Tanks’ with selected sets of CA community and partners to hear views, experiences and identify practice needs Advise on specific, relevant CA expertise needed, to complement or extend existing field competencies
23. Project Proposal: Analyses Social Capital and Dynamic Stability A New Era for Humanitarian Assistance Institutional Drivers of Human Development Analysis of political institutional drivers—namely, capacity, autonomy, and incentive—and their potential relationship with human development (e.g. income, education, and health) Hypothesis: predicts drivers will have a significant and positive relationship with human development; individually, the drivers will no relationship Methodology: cross-provincial and regression analysis, Philippines 1997-2009
24. Homeland IntegrationConvenor: Paula Philbin Questions for Sponsor: What purpose(s) to add focus on homeland integration? Will CA functional areas remain the same once ISMG is up and running? How much is your intent to support Homeland Defense Doctrine 3-27 or to explore “the problem you don’t yet know about?” Potential Areas of study: Posse Comitatus: Origins, variant claims, and a new reading for policy Military response in complex catastrophes: Beyond Katrina Strategic communication: Managing crisis and political challenge
25. Study Ideas Persuasive Technology Develop framework to utilize “persuasive technologies” to engage key leaders and social movements to facilitate diplomatic relations in non-permissive environments Project will review literature and test engagement effectiveness in local cities and possibly OEF operations
26. Study Ideas Civil Information Management Develop framework for geo-spatial analysis which will quantitatively assess and forecast the effectiveness of Support to Civil Administration in conflict mitigation and prevention Application of Bayesian statistics to a previously developed equation on the size and frequency of attacks in conflict Project will make recommendations to hardware and software to improve visualization and functionality Potential Partners: Quid and Palantir
27. Timelines Plenary (ies) Monthly seminars Survey 38G analysis
28. Dr. Karen Guttieri Naval Postgraduate School - Global Public Policy Academic Group Guttieri: 831-656-2294 - guttieri@nps.edu Monterey Custom House Commodore Sloat was the first of six U.S. military governors in California
29. Backup Slides
30. Factors Affecting the Decision to Renew Major Fighting
31. Factors Relating to the Prospects for Sustained Peace
32. Factors Relating to the Prospects for Sustained Peace (contd.)
33. Other Factors Related to Peace