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This marketing report analyzes the on-farm and off-farm strategies for corn marketing, including futures hedges, options, forward sales, crop storage, crop insurance, and farm bill programs. It provides details of cash price, basis, gross revenue, net return, and costs for both on-farm and off-farm scenarios.
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ECON 337: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Associate Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911
Example Transaction for Marketing Report Details Cash Price Basis Gross Revenue Net Return after Prod. Costs Futures/Options Return Storage and Opportunity Costs Final Net Return
25,000 Bushels of Corn Stored at Home Timeline Harvested Nov. 1 Hedged with futures Jan. 10 Offset hedge and sold Mar. 31 So the corn was in storage for 5 months
Relevant Prices and Costs Cash Prices: Nov. 1 $3.05 Mar. 31 $3.24 Basis at Sale: -$0.42 Prod. Costs: -$3.23 Futures Prices: Jan. 10 $3.65 Mar. 31 $3.64 Storage Costs: $0.01/month Interest Rate: 5%
Costs of Ownership Storage Costs 5 months * $0.01/bu/month * 25,000 bu $1,250 or $0.05/bu Opportunity Costs (5/12) * $3.05/bu * 5% * 25,000 bu $1,588.54 or $0.0635/bu Total $2,838.54 or $0.1135/bu
Futures/Options Return Sold 5 May ’17 corn futures on Jan. 1 @ $3.65 Offset by buying 5 May ’17 corn futures on Mar. 31 @ $3.64 Paid broker $0.01/bu for the service Per Bushel Return: ($3.65 - $3.64) - $0.01 = $0.00 Return on Hedge: $0.00
25,000 Bushels of Corn Stored at Coop Timeline Harvested Nov. 1 Sold some & bought put Jan. 10 Sold more Feb. 22 Sold the rest & offset put Mar. 31 Some of the corn was in storage for 2.3 months, some for 3.7 months, and the rest was in storage for 5 months
Relevant Prices and Costs Cash Prices: Nov. 1 $3.05 Jan. 10 $3.16 Feb. 22 $3.23 Mar. 31 $3.24 Basis: Jan. 10 -$0.49 Feb. 22 -$0.55 Mar. 31 -$0.42 Prod. Costs: -$3.23 Storage Costs: $0.03/month Interest Rate: 5%
Relevant Prices and Costs Put Option: May 2017 Corn @ $3.50 Futures Prices: Jan. 10 $3.65 Mar. 31 $3.64 Put Premium: Jan. 10 $0.08 Mar. 31 $0.01
Costs of Ownership Storage Costs 2.3 months * $0.03/bu/month * 5,000 bu $345 or $0.069/bu Opportunity Costs (2.3/12) * $3.05/bu * 5% * 5,000 bu $146.15 or $0.0292/bu Total $491.15 or $0.0982/bu
Costs of Ownership Storage Costs 3.7 months * $0.03/bu/month * 15,000 bu $1,665.00 or $0.111/bu Opportunity Costs (3.7/12) * $3.05/bu * 5% * 15,000 bu $705.31 or $0.0470/bu Total $2,370.31 or $0.1580/bu
Costs of Ownership Storage Costs 5 months * $0.03/bu/month * 5,000 bu $750 or $0.15/bu Opportunity Costs (5/12) * $3.05/bu * 5% * 5,000 bu $317.71 or $0.0635/bu Total $1,067.71 or $0.2135/bu Grand Total $3,929.17 or $0.1572/bu
Futures/Options Return Bought 1 May ’17 corn put option w/ $3.50 strike price on Jan. 10 @ $0.08 Offset by selling 1 May ’17 corn put option w/ $3.50 strike price on Mar. 31 @ $0.01 Paid broker $0.01/bu for the service Per Bushel Return: ($0.01 - $0.08) - $0.01 = -$0.08 Return on Option: -$400.00
Other Information/Decisions Expected Production Futures Hedges Options Forward Sales Crop Storage Crop Insurance Farm Bill Programs
Class web site: http://www2.econ.iastate.edu/faculty/hart/Classes/econ337/Spring2017/index.htm