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Priorities for Climate Research in West Africa : outreaching farmers community. Dr Ousmane NDIAYE Civil aviation and Meteorology Agency (ANACIM). Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Predictions 16 th session UK MetOffice , Exeter, 10-12 March 2014.
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Priorities for Climate Research in West Africa : outreaching farmers community. Dr Ousmane NDIAYE Civil aviation and Meteorology Agency (ANACIM) Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Predictions16th sessionUK MetOffice, Exeter, 10-12 March 2014
STRONG CLIMATE VARIABILITY IMPACTS : EXAMPLE OF THE SAHEL “inter-annual” • Short rainy season : 4 months • Strong climate variability • Huge socio-economical impacts : • Health : malaria, meningitis • Agriculture : rain fed and shepherd • limited economic resources Sahel GHCN Series: 12-20N, 18W-30E
EXTREME EVENTS IN OUAGADOUGOU, BURKINA-FASO One single eventcan change the wholeseason
FOOD SECURITY : rainfed agriculture Rainfall and cropyield of millet in Senegal 2011 isbadyear for bothrainfall and cropyield R²=0.68 From B. Sultan RFE2 rainfall and FAO yield data
NEED OF SEAMLESS FORECAST FROM SEASONAL TO SUB-SEASONAL TIME SCALES to plan farm activities. Before During the Crop season Maturity/end Decade forecast optimum harvesting period Seasonal forecast varieties Onset forecast farm preparation Nowcastingflooding saving life (thunder) Daily forecast use of fertilizer / pesticide Decade forecast weeding, field work
Challenges : detecting “false onset” True Start False Start Same period of onset but followed by dry spell which require : re-planting
Regional Climate Outlook Fora PRESANOR PRES-AO (16) GHACOF (31) PRES-AC (8) SARCOF (16) Updated from Climate Information for Public Health Summer Institute, IRI
Testing the added value of climate with farmers in Kaffrine under CCAFS funded project
Climate information Seasonal forecast Weather forecast Nowcasting Local authority Pastoralism Seed Producers Local Pluri-disciplinary Working Group Farmers Local working Group (Customize Climate information) Agriculture Rural radio Extensions Forestery Community Rural radio Text messaging Social gatherings Bulletin
BUILDING TRUST FOR LONG TERM PARTNERSHIP LINKAGE TO INDIGENEOUS KNOWLEDGE Building on local knowledge:
“KNOWLEDGE SHOULD PRECEDE ACTION”Farmer in kaffrine team work : farmers, climatologist, World Vision, Agriculture expert, sociologist
Sénégal Colombia South-South exchange Learning from Kaffrine experience