Polish Academy of Sciences Institute of Hydro-Engineering (IBW PAN), Gdansk

1. Polish Academy of SciencesInstitute of Hydro-Engineering (IBW PAN), Gdansk Participating in FLOODSite Integrated Project 2004 - 2009 DanutaLeśniewska GOCE-CT-2004-505420 23.01.2007 Warsaw

2. 2 Floods Warsaw

3. 3 FLOODsite will deliver Integrated Flood Risk Analysis and Management Methodologies • An integrated, European, methodology for flood risk analysis and management • Consistency of approach to the causes, impacts and control of flooding from rivers, estuaries and the sea • Techniques and knowledge to support integrated flood risk management in practice • Dissemination of this knowledge • Networking and integration with other EC national and international research Warsaw

4. 4 Why have the FLOODsite IP? - Great natural disasters 1950-2002 • Flood damages are increasing • Insurance data • Flood risk arises from human activity • Floods appear to be happening more often • Better publicity or climate change? Warsaw after Frans Klijn, 2006

5. 5 Why have the FLOODsite IP? - River floods 1998-2002 Source: European Environment Agency • Floods do not respect administrative or national borders • Public intolerance to flooding from whatever source Warsaw after: Frans Klijn, 2006, Paul Samuels, 2006

6. 6 FLOODsiteoverview • EC grant to budget of €9.68 Million (IBW EC budget ~ €130 000) • Complemented by other funds (IBW ~€80 000) • Start March 2004 • Duration 5 years • 36 Research partners http://www.floodsite.net/html/project_team • Over 150 research team members (IBW – 5 registered team members, 13 persons partly involved) • 13 Countries(BE, CZ, DE, ES, FR, GR, HU, IT, NL, PL, PT, SE, UK) Countries Involved Real Cases Warsaw after Frans Klijn, 2006, Paul Samuels 2006

7. 7 Building a project • Starts months before the call (EoI 2002) • Get to know the Commission officers and policies • EC RTD project experience within the team • Partners should offer something unique • Achieve a spread geographically and by organisation type • Inner management team (about 6 to 8) on large projects • Connect to “end-users” after Paul Samuels, 2006 Warsaw

8. 8 2.1 – Pre-Flood Measures Risk Management Rivers & estuaries Coasts & estuaries 2.2 – Flood Event Management 2.3 – Post-Event Activities Theme 4 – Pilot Application Sites Estuaries Research set-up: Theme Structure Theme 6- Project Networking & Harmonisation Theme 1 – Advancing Scientific Knowledge & Understanding Theme 2 – Innovative Mitigation & Sustainable Management Theme 7- Project Management Risk Analysis 1.1 – Hazard (Sources) 1.2 – Hazard (Pathways) 1.3 – Vulnerability: receptor exposure & consequences Theme 3– Integration (Rivers, Estuaries & Coasts) Theme 5 – Training Activities Knowledge Transfer, Training and Uptake, Guidance & Tools - subthemes contibuted by IBW after Frans Klijn, 2006 Warsaw

9. 9 Objectives and methodology of Theme 1 • Improve understanding of the primary drivers of flood risk (waves, surges, river flow, rainfall, etc.), incl. uncertainty • Improve understanding, models and techniques for the analysis of the performance of the whole flood defence system and its diverse components • Understand the vulnerability of the receptors of risk and to improve the methods to evaluate societal consequences Warsaw

10. 10 Sub-Theme 1.1 Department of Coastal Engineering and Dynamics IBW PAN – participates in Task 2, Activity 2, Action 2 (IBW): Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) - to study whether and how much variations in sea level are coupled with variations of water table in a large river in the conditions of high seasonality and diverse climate patterns. Warsaw

11. 11 Task 2, Activity 2, Action 2:Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) Warsaw

12. 12 Sub-Theme 1.1 Department of Wave Mechanics and Structural Dynamics IBW PAN – participates in Task 2, Action 10 (IBW): Neural Network Analysis of floods in the area connected to the South Baltic as well as archives of multi-decadal atmospheric, wave and sea level data. Warsaw

13. 13 INPUT History of wind and sea level and wave parameters OUPUT: 4-hour forecast Significant Wave Height Increase of Sea Level Neural Network calibrated model Task 2, Action 10:Application of neural networks to the storm surges prediction Case study: Baltic SeaNW Mediterranean Warsaw

14. 14 Sub-Theme 1.1 Department of Wave Mechanics and Structural Dynamics IBW PAN – participates in Task 2, Activity 2, Action 1 (IBW): Review of existing approaches in the Flood Hazard Mapping A review of existing approaches to Flood Hazard Mapping to document how this mappingis being done by national agencies. Warsaw

15. 15 Sub-Theme 1.2 Department of Geotechnics IBW PAN: participates in Task 4, Geotechnical instability (Activity 2), Action 2, Air trapping phenomenon and cracking (IBW). Analysis of the role of entrapped air in an embankment body. Warsaw

16. 16 Task 4, Acivity 2, Action 2: Air trapping phenomena and cracking Warsaw

17. 17 Task 4, Acivity 2, Action 2: Air trapping phenomena and cracking Warsaw

18. 18 What more... • Except these particular activities, all FLOODsite team members take part in • Annual partners meetings • Scheduled and organized ad hoc task meetings • Also • Prepare common task reports and documents • Cross-check other team members input to common documents • Write scientific papers (some prepare PhD thesis) • Take part in panel discussions • Have access to unique data bases • and other... Warsaw

19. 19 To conclude… • It is all challenging but fruitful experience for IBW as a FLOODsite partner and can help to tackle practical flood problems in Poland, as we believe FLOODsite will improve the management of all types of flooding However ... • Floods are natural and random • We cannot eliminate floods but we can prepare for them • For further information www.floodsite.net Warsaw