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Pakistan Punjab Female Stipend Program

Pakistan Punjab Female Stipend Program. Evaluating the Impact. Outline. CCT Program Evaluation question Data and methodology Impact estimates. Female Secondary School Stipends. Part of Punjab Education Sector Reform Program (PESRP) , World Bank financed education program

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Pakistan Punjab Female Stipend Program

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  1. Pakistan Punjab Female Stipend Program Evaluating the Impact

  2. Outline • CCT Program • Evaluation question • Data and methodology • Impact estimates

  3. Female Secondary School Stipends • Part of Punjab Education Sector Reform Program (PESRP), World Bank financed education program • PERSP – quality, access and governance • Female Stipends – CCT for middle school started in 2004

  4. Stipends Program • Eligibility: girls enrolled in 6-8 grades in government schools in target districts • Target districts: 15 of the 34 districts were chosen based on the district’s female literacy rate • Conditionality: 80% average attendance • Amount: Rs 200 ($3) transferred directly to student via postal money order from EDO

  5. Evaluation Question • Impact on enrolments • School switching • Impact across welfare quintiles • School Quality • Externality: male enrolments • Externality: health, marriage, malnutrition

  6. Data • Government School Censuses 2003, 2005 • LSMS-type national household surveys (PIHS 2001-02, LSMS 2004-05) • Growth in enrolments (absolute and relative) • Changes in school participation rates

  7. Methodology • Estimating impact requires choosing a suitable comparison group • Simple before and after or between program and non-program groups are misleading • Combination of techniques • Difference-in-Difference (DD) • DD-in-Difference (DDD) • Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD)

  8. Impact Estimates (net growth of girl enrolments per school )

  9. Impact Estimates II (net change in school participation rate)

  10. Findings and next steps • Modest but statistically significant impact on enrolments • Evidence from national household survey data indicates stipends helping poor children attend schools • Preliminary evidence from primary survey data points to similar findings on enrolments • In the process of analyzing the linkage between stipends and quality (test scores)

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