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What's the Future of Smart Growth in America?

What's the Future of Smart Growth in America?. presented by Don Chen Cleveland State University 15 December 2006. Governors. 25 governors re-elected, 11 new governors elected Democrats picked up 6 seats 28 Democratic Governors 22 Republican Governors. Gubernatorial Election. Governors.

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What's the Future of Smart Growth in America?

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  1. What's the Future of Smart Growth in America? presented by Don Chen Cleveland State University 15 December 2006

  2. Governors • 25 governors re-elected, 11 new governors elected • Democrats picked up 6 seats • 28 Democratic Governors • 22 Republican Governors

  3. Gubernatorial Election

  4. Governors

  5. Governors & Smart Growth • Not a campaign issue in most states • However some DID campaign on it - mostly very low key • Patrick (MA) [TOD]; O’Malley (MD); Rell (CT); Baldacci (ME) [endorsed Brookings rpt and rail]; Lynch (NH); Bredesen (TN) [transit] • For others it was moot; they had governed on it already • Granholm (MI); Napolitano (AZ); Schwarzenegger (CA) [form-based codes];Richardson (NM); Douglas (VT); Doyle (WI)

  6. Governors & Smart Growth • However, several more appear poised to govern on these issues: • Spitzer (NY) • Strickland (OH) • Ritter (CO)

  7. Energy • Energy Security an Issue • Renewables • Alternative energy sources • Transportation • Rarely linked • “Household” energy security • Not on the agenda

  8. Legislatures • Democrats gained control of 5 state legislatures • Democrats control both houses in 25 states, Republicans control both in 14 states, 10 are split • Democrats picked up roughly 323 seats

  9. LegislaturesControl of both houses

  10. LegislaturesParty control switch

  11. Government ControlGovernor’s seat & Control of both houses

  12. Ballot Initiatives • Voter fatigue likely led to a smaller percentage of ballot initiatives passing • Anti-government initiatives failed • Term limits • Limits on the judiciary • Tax limitations • Regulatory takings

  13. Ballot Initiatives & Smart Growth • Transportation • All 7 statewide transportation initiatives passed (CA-4, MN, NJ, RI) • 3 involved funding for transit • Environment & Natural Resources • 23 states approved nearly 100 ballot measures • $5.73 billion increase state or local funding for land conservation

  14. Colorado

  15. Oregon Measure 37 • Earlier version (Measure 7) passed in 2000, but found unconstitutional • Measure 37 passed in 2004 • Land Use • Retroactive • Pay or Waive

  16. Exporting Measure 37 • The libertarian movement’s plan is to export the success they have had in Oregon to other states. • Kelo-Plus strategy

  17. Eminent Domain

  18. Ballot Initiatives & Smart Growth • Regulatory Takings • California: failed 48%-52% • Washington: failed 41%-59% • Idaho: failed 24%-76% • Arizona: passed 65%-35% • Nevada & Montana

  19. What does is mean for Smart Growth? • We can go on the offensive • Educate administrators and political leaders • Engage at the state level • Make Smart Growth the answer (relate to topical issues- energy, climate, economic prosperity, transportation) • Inoculate ourselves • Fix eminent domain

  20. A Grassroots Effort? • How do the initiatives get on the ballots? • Where does the money come from?

  21. Following the Money • In Arizona, California, Idaho, and Washington proponents reported having raised more than $5.7 million through September 21. • Organizations led by Howard Rich have contributed nearly 85 percent of the total. 15% other 85% Howard Rich-Funded Organizations

  22. California Prop 90 Polling and Results

  23. Washington I-933 Polling and Results

  24. Insert series of map slides here

  25. What is our preliminary framework for policy reform? 2 4 Grow the Middle Class Fix the Basics 1 Build on Economic Strengths Create Neighborhoods of Choice Transform the Physical Landscape 3 5 3

  26. What does is mean for Smart Growth? • Opportunity to build new alliances and constituencies • Reach out to new groups outside our traditional alliances • Build grassroots support

  27. For More Information www.smartgrowthamerica.org

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