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r egional Land use s cenario Planning Study

r egional Land use s cenario Planning Study. General Introduction to Scenario Planning. Scenario planning 101:. General overview Exploration of Multiple Futures Reality check Roll Call. Study Area. General Overview. What is scenario planning?.

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r egional Land use s cenario Planning Study

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  1. regional Land use scenario Planning Study General Introduction to Scenario Planning

  2. Scenario planning 101: General overview Exploration of Multiple Futures Reality check Roll Call

  3. Study Area General Overview What is scenario planning? • Scenario planning provides a forum, process, set of tools, and measurable outcomes for communities of all sizes to contemplate future possibilities. Regional Applications of Scenario Planning include: • Strategic Development Plans • Long Range Transportation Plans • Capital Improvements Prioritization • Growth Audits

  4. Study Area General Overview Why do scenario planning? • Explore the “what if’s” of a region’s future • Consider the tradeoffs between different • growth scenarios or policy decisions • Re-frame local growth questions • Answer what, where, when, and how growth • should occur to meet a common vision “We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used to create them.” -- Albert Einstein

  5. Study Area Exploration of Multiple Futures Traditional Approach… Stakeholders carry forward current trends to a pre-defined future planning horizon (i.e., business-as-usual). “Future Year” “Base Year”

  6. Study Area Exploration of Multiple Futures Scenario Planning Approach… Stakeholders consider several plausible futures for a region assuming a pre-defined planning horizon. “Future Year Alternatives” “Base Year”

  7. Study Area Exploration of Multiple Futures Scenario Planning Approach… Stakeholders evaluate competing development alternatives and establish a common vision for regional policies and decision-making related to new growth and anticipated changes in the region. C A B D

  8. Study Area Reality Check Evaluate the Alternatives… The different futures (alternatives) can be compared with one another or evaluated on their own merits with regard to many different quantitative and qualitative measures ranging from cost (or allocation of resources) in dollars to effects on transportation, open space, schools, and community facilities

  9. Study Area Scenario Planning Roll Call Regions, cities, counties, and towns throughout the nation and nearby are doing scenario planning: • Atlanta Regional Commission • Nashville, TN • Memphis, TN • Charleston, SC (BCD COG) • Durham, NC • And many others…

  10. Scenario planning toolkit: Planning process Available tools Key stakeholders

  11. Study Area Typical Scenario Planning Process Public Outreach Resource Maps Concept Maps Model Calibration Land Suitability Analysis Synthesize Growth Scenarios Scenario Analysis Growth Allocation Trend Analysis Reality Check

  12. Study Area Scenario Planning Toolbox Development Chip Game Growth Forecasts Scenario Planning Software Regional TDM Project Website Focus Area Studies

  13. Study Area Key Stakeholders Who can be Involved in a Regional Scenario Planning Study? • Regional Planning Agencies • County Governments • Local Cities & Towns • - Elected and Appointed Officials • - Local Staff • Business and Real Estate Professionals • Public Institutions • General Public

  14. The End Game: the Big Questions Sharing the Results Linkage to Other Planning Initiatives

  15. Study Area Answers to the Big Questions Scenario planning helps to answer the big questions: • How big do we want to be? • Where do we want to grow? • Are we growing sustainably? • Can we pay for our growth? • Are we still be proud of where we live?

  16. Study Area Results are Shared in Many Forms The outcomes of the plan are shared in graphical and data-intensive forms to clearly communicate ideas and findings to a broad cross section of people and to increase the utility of the findings for local and regional staff in decision-making.

  17. Study Area Linkage to Other Planning Initiatives • Regional Plans • - Long Range Transportation Plan • - State of the Region Report • Local Government Plans • - Comprehensive Plan • Zoning & Subdivision Ordinances • Capital Improvements Plan

  18. regional Land use scenario Planning Study General Introduction to Scenario Planning

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