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MONITORING SOCIAL DEVELOPMENTS IN INDONESIA

BPS-STATISTICS INDONESIA. INTERNATIONAL FORUM ON MONITORING NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT: ISSUES AND CHALLENGES, Beijing , People’s Republic of China, 27 to 29 September, 2011. MONITORING SOCIAL DEVELOPMENTS IN INDONESIA. KECUK SUHARIYANTO Director of Statistical Analysis and Development

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MONITORING SOCIAL DEVELOPMENTS IN INDONESIA

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  1. BPS-STATISTICS INDONESIA INTERNATIONAL FORUM ON MONITORING NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT: ISSUES AND CHALLENGES, Beijing, People’s Republic of China, 27 to 29 September, 2011 MONITORING SOCIAL DEVELOPMENTS IN INDONESIA KECUK SUHARIYANTO Director of Statistical Analysis and Development BPS-STATISTICS INDONESIA email: kecuk@bps.go.id

  2. INDONESIA PROFILE

  3. DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY IN INDONESIA

  4. UNEMPLOYMENT DATA: Source of Data: National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas), conducted every Feb and August, number of sampel 68,000 HH Unemployment Rate and Development Target 2004-2014 MTDP: Medium Term Development Plan • PROBLEMS: • Unemployment Rate: 6,80% • 66% work in informal sector • 49,5% elementary school • 30,7% under employed

  5. Scatter Plot between RGDP and Unemplyment Rate (UR) by Districts 2010 Unemployment Rate 2010 • INDICATION: • High RGDP, high UR • High RGDP, low UR • Low RGDP, high UR • Low RGDP, low UR RGDP per capita 2010

  6. POVERTY DATA

  7. MACRO POVERTY DATA: Source of Data: National Socioeconomic Survey (Susenas), conducted every March, number of sampel 68,000 HH Poverty Rate and Development Target 2004-2014 • PROBLEMS: • Poverty disparities across region • 63% of the poor live in rural area • 58% of the poor work in agriculture • Many households are clustered around poverty line

  8. EXAMPLE OF POVERTY MAP

  9. .. Many people easily move out from poverty and move in to poverty (TRANSIENT POVERTY) Between 2008 and 2009: 53,29% poor people move out from poverty. On the other hand, 27,69% move in to poverty.

  10. MICRO POVERTY DATA: Source of Data: Census (2005, 2008, 2011) Poverty Alleviation Program in Indonesia

  11. TREND OF POVERTY AND GINI RATIO 2004-2011 Poverty decreases but income inequality tends to increase .... Gini Ratio Poor People (%)

  12. HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX (HDI) DATA: • Source of Data: National Socioeconomic Survey (Susenas) and Regional GDP, calculated annualy, districts level • The usage of HDI:one of the General Allocation Fund allocators HDI Indonesia, 1996-2010 Life Expectancy By Province, 2009

  13. SCATTER PLOT BETWEEN RGDP AND HDI BY DISTRICTS 2010 II I Human Development Index III IV Regional GDP

  14. PLANS AND PRIORITIES FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT (1)

  15. PLANS AND PRIORITIES FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT (2)

  16. CHALLANGES • Poverty and HDI: • The results obtained from new methodology will not be comparable with the previous results  need to do back-casting • The results using new method may change significantly compared to the results obtained from current methodology. It may create long debate  need to socialize intensively the new poverty and HDI methods to data users. • Social Protection Index: • The term of social protection is very broad. It is difficult to obtain the data because there is no centralized source for the required information. The information available from published reports is limited. • Need socializationof the concept and definition of SP → all stakeholders have to have the same perception of SP.

  17. THANK YOU TerimaKasih

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