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The Changing Demographics In Southeast Michigan

The Changing Demographics In Southeast Michigan . Xuan Liu November 13, 2008. Outline. Regional Population Trends Structural Changes of Population by Age Variations by Community Implications. Regional Population Trends. Population History.

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The Changing Demographics In Southeast Michigan

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  1. The Changing Demographics In Southeast Michigan Xuan Liu November 13, 2008

  2. Outline • Regional Population Trends • Structural Changes of Population by Age • Variations by Community • Implications

  3. Regional Population Trends

  4. Population History

  5. Population and Annual Net MigrationSoutheast Michigan, 2001-2035 5,100,000 5,000,000 4,900,000 4,800,000 20,000 10,000 0 -10,000 -20,000 -30,000 2013 2001 2014 2031 2021 2009 2025 2017 2034 2011 2022 2003 2019 2029 2020 2004 2005 2016 2023 2032 2033 2035 2024 2008 2010 2026 2002 2012 2018 2028 2030 2015 2006 2007 2027 Source: SEMCOG 2035 Regional Development Forecast

  6. Annual Natural Increase and Net MigrationSoutheast Michigan, 2001-2035

  7. Population History and Forecast

  8. Structural Change Of Population Age Groups

  9. Population by Age, 1970

  10. Population by Age, 2000

  11. Population by Age, 2035

  12. Population by Age

  13. Age DistributionSoutheast Michigan, 2000 & 2035 2000 2035

  14. Regional Implications 1. Dramatic increase of senior population 2. Labor shortage 3. Decline of school enrollment 2035

  15. Three Groups of Seniors 2008 Young-Seniors (65-74) Mature-Seniors (75+)

  16. 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Number of Persons 0 -5,000 -10,000 -15,000 -20,000 5 - 9 10 - 15 - 20 - 25 - 30 - 35 - 40 - 45 - 50 - 55 - 60 - 65 - 70 - 75 - 80 - 85+ 14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 Age in 2000 (age 5 and over) International In-Migration Migration by AgeSoutheast Michigan, 1995-2000 Source: Census 2000

  17. Migration by AgeSoutheast Michigan, 1995-2000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Number of Persons 0 -5,000 -10,000 -15,000 -20,000 5 - 9 10 - 15 - 20 - 25 - 30 - 35 - 40 - 45 - 50 - 55 - 60 - 65 - 70 - 75 - 80 - 85+ 14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 Age in 2000 (age 5 and over) Source: Census 2000 International In-Migration Net Domestic Migration

  18. Migration by AgeSoutheast Michigan

  19. School Age (5-17) Population

  20. Population Age GroupsSoutheast Michigan, 2005 and 2035 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 0 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 plus 2005 2035 Source: SEMCOG 2035 Regional Development Forecast

  21. Aging by Community

  22. Percent Population 65+, 2000 10% or less (109) More than 10% to 15% (92) More than 15% to 20% (23) More than 20% to 25% (7) More than 25% (2)

  23. Percent Population 65+, 2015 10% or less (1 vs. 109) More than 10% to 15% (126 vs. 92) More than 15% to 20% (79 vs. 23) More than 20% to 25% (25 vs. 7) More than 25% (2 vs. 2)

  24. Percent Population 65+, 2035 10% or less (0) More than 10% to 15% (0) More than 15% to 20% (27) More than 20% to 25% (114) More than 25% (92)

  25. Percent Population 65+ 2000 2035 10% or less More than 10% to 15% More than 15% to 20% More than 20% to 25% More than 25%

  26. Communities with 20% or More Population 65 or Older, 2000

  27. Communities with 10,000 or MorePopulation 65 or Older, Year 2000

  28. Implications

  29. Opportunities • Significant consumers in the market • Senior oriented business growth, and support of new businesses • Community engagement and volunteerism “Aging in place!” Keep our seniors!

  30. Challenges • Health Care – Physical and Mental • Housing – Availability, Affordability, Modification, and Maintenance • Transportation – Accessibility, Walkability, and Transit • Services and Safety - Public and Private • Quality of Life and Recreation Build high-quality communities!

  31. Disabled Persons

  32. Disabled Persons

  33. Disabled Persons

  34. Challenges • Health Care – Physical and Mental • Housing – Availability, Affordability, Modification, and Maintenance • Transportation – Accessibility, Walkability, and Transit • Services and Safety - Public and Private • Quality of Life and Recreation Build high-quality communities!

  35. Assisted Living and Nursing Homes

  36. Challenges • Health Care – Physical and Mental • Housing – Availability, Affordability, Modification, and Maintenance • Transportation – Accessibility, Walkability, and Transit • Services and Safety - Public and Private • Quality of Life and Recreation Build high-quality communities!

  37. Get Ready! Here they come !

  38. Additional Data • Age Forecast by Community • Community Profiles at www.semcog.org • 2035 SEMCOG Forecast

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