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John Heathershaw Department of International Relations, London School of Economics and Political Science j.d.heathershaw@lse.ac.uk. Understanding Kyrgyz-Russian relations: New Great Game or Same Old Ideas? . Outline. New Great Game: failure of regional cooperation or failure of understanding?
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John Heathershaw Department of International Relations,London School of Economics and Political Science j.d.heathershaw@lse.ac.uk Understanding Kyrgyz-Russian relations: New Great Game or Same Old Ideas?
Outline • New Great Game: failure of regional cooperation or failure of understanding? • Same Old Ideas? Neo-Sovietism in Central Asia • An Illustration: reacting to Uzbekistan’s Andijon uprising • Post-revolutionary Kyrgyz-Russian Relations
1. The New Great Game: A Failure of Regionalism or a Failure of Understanding? • Failure of Regional Cooperation? • Central Asian ‘orphans’ that must be forced (according to realists) or persuaded and socialised (neo-liberals) into regional order • New Great Game • Regional elites • Regional academics (links to ‘Heartland’) • New Great Game in the West – Neo-Realism; Geopolitics • The Failure of Understanding • Assumes international competition and conflict; • Exaggerates international interest and intervention; • Under-estimates local and regional factors
2. Same Old Ideas? Neo-Sovietism in Central Asia • The locating of ‘Central Asia’ (Tsentralnaya Aziya) • The idealising of ‘stability’ (stabilnost) • The identification of political ‘authority’ (avtoritet) • What’s new in Neo-Sovietism? • Authoritarianism over Totalitarianism • Dispersed production – discursive quality
3. An Illustration: Regional Reaction to the Andijon Uprising Central Asian regionalism based in Neo-Sovietism conditioned the aftermath in four ways.. • It produced ‘Central Asian’ versions of the ‘Facts’ which departed from the understandings of the international community • It transmitted the imperatives ‘Stability’ and ‘Authority’ • It, thus, provided the immaterial basis for Uzbekistan’s Split With the United States • It provides space for the increased influence of Russia and China across the region
4. Post-revolutionary Kyrgyz-Russian Relations • Regional reaction to the revolution • Post-revolutionary dynamics • Military • Economic relations • Political norms/institutions • Spatial and identity basis of relationship • Alliance as association (soyuznicheskiye otnosheniya) • Possibility of a formal blok?