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This session outline discusses the evaluation and assessment of weatherization programs, their goals, and strategies to achieve high savings. It also explores factors associated with high savings and highlights findings from program evaluations.
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Achieving High Savings from Weatherization Programs With New Evidence from The National WAP Evaluation Jackie Berger David Carroll ACI Mid-Atlantic Conference – October 2015
CONCEPTS 8
Natural Gas Usage Definition of high usage varies by geography Mountain North Census Division 950 Therms Midwest Census Region 950 Therms Northeast Census Region 900 Therms Pacific Census Division 450 Therms South Census Region 600 Therms Mountain South Census Division 450 Therms 9
Energy Savings A B 12 Months Pre-Wx Energy Usage Weather Normalize 12 Months Post-Wx Energy Usage Weather Normalize Wx Date A-B Gross Energy Savings C-D 1-12 Months Pre-Wx Energy Usage Weather Normalize 13-24 Months Pre-Wx Energy Usage Weather Normalize Comp. Group Wx Date Comp. Group Savings D C Net Savings Comparison Group Savings Gross Energy Savings C-D A-B 11
Major Measures Measures for single family homes In order of average impacts in comprehensive program 12
Major Measures Major Measures for Single Family Homes Refers to These Measures 13
Average Measure SpendingWAP Programs SPENDING MAJOR MEASURES 2008 2010 Note: A home with 0 major measures may have air sealing, floor/rim/ foundation insulation, setback thermostat, duct sealing/insulation, other important measures. 14
Intersection of… SUCCESS! 17
FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH SAVINGS: Targeting High Usage 18
Treating High UsageAcross Program Analysis Seven low-income electric efficiency program evaluations over past eight years. Seven low-income gas efficiency program evaluations over past four years. 19
Usage Impact Analysis National Weatherization Program Single Family Homes – Gas Savings 20
State #1WAP Energy Impacts for Single Family Site-Built HomesNet Gas Savings for Natural Gas Main Heat by Pre-Weatherization Gas Usage (therms/year)
State #2PY 2010 WAP Energy Impacts for Single Family Site-Built HomesNet Gas Savings for Natural Gas Main Heat by Pre-Weatherization Gas Usage (therms/year)
FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH SAVINGS: Install Major Measures 23
Usage Impact Analysis National Weatherization Program Single Family Homes – Gas Savings 24
State #1WAP Energy Impacts for Single Family Site-Built HomesGas Savings for Homes with Natural Gas Main HeatBy Measure Combination (therms/year)
State #2PY 2010 WAP Energy Impacts for Single Family Site-Built HomesGas Savings for Homes with Natural Gas Main HeatBy Measure Combination (therms/year)
State #1Gas Impact Results by Agency for Gas Heated Single Family Site-Built Homes
State #2 PY 2010 Gas Impact Results by Agency for Gas Heated Single Family Site-Built Homes (therms/year) *Agencies with less than 30 homes with energy savings results are not shown. but are included in the total savings figures.
State #3 32
WAPAudit Findings Opportunities Strengths 46