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Kala Seetharam Sridhar Public Affairs Centre Bangalore Conference on the 21 st Century Indian City: Towns, Metros and the Indian Economy University of California Berkeley and Indian Institute of Human Settlements Bangalore March 26, 2013. Suburbanization of India ’ s Cities.
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Kala Seetharam Sridhar Public Affairs Centre Bangalore Conference on the 21st Century Indian City: Towns, Metros and the Indian Economy University of California Berkeley and Indian Institute of Human Settlements Bangalore March 26, 2013 Suburbanization of India’s Cities
Presentation Overview • General and b-suburbanization • Theory • Bangalore and other cities’ suburbanization • Estimated and calculated density gradients for India’s cities • Determinants of population and employment suburbanization • Policy implications
Suburbanization of Population and Jobs in India, 1981-2001 Sources: Sridhar (2007), 2001 Census PCA and author’s analyses
Population Suburbanization in India’s Metropolitan Areas, 1981-01 Sources: Sridhar (2007), 2001 Census PCA and author’s analyses
Suburbanization: Theoretical Framework • Standard exponential population density function • Gradient
Bangalore: Density Function, 1991 1991 municipal area: 126 sq km
Bangalore: Density Function, 2001 1991 municipal area: 226 sq km
Estimates of Population Density Functions for Bangalore, India, 1991 and 2001, Conventional City Center Number of observations=57 (wards) for 1991 regressions and 97 for 2001 regressions Source: Sridhar (2007)
Estimates of Population Density Functions for Bangalore, India, 1991 and 2001, New City Center Number of observations=57 (wards) for 1991 regressions and 97 for 2001 regressions Source: Sridhar (2007)
Rc Lc L R Two-Point Gradient Technique
Summary of Population Density Gradients (Calculated) Source: Sridhar (2007)
The Impact of Land Use Regulations on Population Suburbanization Dependent variable mean= 0.44 R-squared= 0.57 Adjusted R-squared = 0.50 Number of observations= 68 Source: Sridhar (2007)
The Impact of Land Use Regulations on Employment Suburbanization Dependent variable mean= 0.43 R-squared= 0.48 Adjusted R-squared = 0.38 Number of observations= 68 Source: Sridhar (2007)
Estimation of Welfare Gains Source: Brueckner & Sridhar 2012
Policy Implications • Impact of various factors on suburbanization and spatial area of Indian cities • Suburbanization of population and jobs • Data limitations • Conflict between suburban development and rural land uses
Thank you for your attention!Questions? You can write to me atkala@pacindia.org