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U.S. Housing Outlook

U.S. Housing Outlook. Presented By: Stanley F. Duobinis, Ph.D. President Crystal Ball Economics, Inc. Real GDP. Percent Change. U.S. Unemployment Rate. Percent. Total Payroll Employment. Percent Change. Payroll Employment. Percent Change. Total. Manufacturing.

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U.S. Housing Outlook

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  1. U.S. Housing Outlook Presented By: Stanley F. Duobinis, Ph.D. President Crystal Ball Economics, Inc.

  2. Real GDP Percent Change

  3. U.S. Unemployment Rate Percent

  4. Total Payroll Employment Percent Change

  5. Payroll Employment Percent Change Total Manufacturing

  6. U.S. Manufacturing Employment Millions 2.6 Million jobs lost 3.0 Million jobs lost

  7. U.S. Industrial Output Millions of Jobs Index: 1996 = 100 Employment (L) Output (R)

  8. Manufacturing Output vs. Employment Percent Change – Annual Rate

  9. Manufacturing’s Share of Employment

  10. Total Employment GrowthNovember 2003 to November 2004

  11. Total Employment Growth Pct Chg. Year Ago

  12. Consumer Confidence Index 1985 = 100 Stock Market Tumbles September 11th The War in Iraq

  13. Consumer Confidence Index 1985 = 100 Current Situation Expectations

  14. GDP Inflation Percent Change

  15. Federal Funds Rate Target Percent

  16. Mortgage Rates Percent Fixed Adjustable

  17. Single-family Housing Starts Thousands

  18. Homeownership Rate Percent

  19. Total Employment vs. Total Housing Starts Thousands Pct Chg. Year Ago Housing Starts - L Employment - R

  20. Total Employment GrowthNovember 2003 to November 2004

  21. Single-family Starts Pct Chg 2003-2004 U.S. = 6.4

  22. Single-family Starts Pct Chg 2004-2005 U.S. =-2.8

  23. Rental Vacancy Rates Percent Buildings with 5 or More Units

  24. Multifamily Housing Starts Thousands

  25. Condo Share Of Multifamily Starts Percent 40.7

  26. Multifamily Housing Starts Pct Chg 2003-2004 U.S. =-0.5

  27. Multifamily Housing Starts Pct Chg 2004-2005 U.S. =-5.7

  28. Total Housing Starts Thousands

  29. Starts Per Capita 2005 U.S. = 6.6

  30. Manufactured Home Shipments Thousands

  31. Existing Home Sales Thousands

  32. Residential Remodeling Billions of 2000 Dollars

  33. Median New Home Size Square Feet 2218 Single-family 2137 1375 1100 1077 887 Multifamily

  34. Residential Fixed Investment Billions of 2000 Dollars

  35. Nonresidential Construction Billions of 2000 Dollars

  36. Nonresidential Construction Billions of 2000 Dollars Other Other Commercial Office Manufacturing Lodging

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