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Choosing between different air-sea flux products to drive ocean models Deciding between NCEP and ERA40 winds, Air temp, and Air humidity. Common Data Downward LW Downward SW Precipitation (ISCCP&CMAP). NCEP 10 m Wind vector 10 m Air Temperature 10 m Specific humidity. ERA40
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Choosing between different air-sea flux products to drive ocean models Deciding between NCEP and ERA40 winds, Air temp, and Air humidity Common Data Downward LW Downward SW Precipitation (ISCCP&CMAP) NCEP 10 m Wind vector 10 m Air Temperature 10 m Specific humidity ERA40 10 m Wind vector 10 m Air Temperature 10 m Specific humidity Bulk Formulae (COARE Algorithm) SST Observations River Runoff CORE Fluxes QnetE-P-Rtx,ty HYB Fluxes QnetE-P-Rtx,ty
Choosing between different air-sea flux products to drive ocean models Deciding between NCEP and ERA40 winds, Air temp, and Air humidity COREFluxes (1984-2000) QnetE-P-Rtx,ty Comparison of these data sets (mean and variability) will exhibit differences and similarities HYBFluxes (1984-2000) QnetE-P-Rtx,ty Can we predict the effect of these differences on the solution of an Ocean GCM?
Ocean/sea-ice model integrated from 1984 to 2000 Forcing Set Downward LW Downward SW Precipitation From NCEP (CORE forcing) or From ERA40 (HYB forcing) 10 m Wind vector 10 m Air Temperature 10 m Specific humidity SST Bulk Formulae (COARE Algorithm) MODEL Fluxes Qnet E-P-R tx,ty River Runoff Compare MODEL-CORE , MODEL-HYB, CORE, and HYB fluxes With observed SST
CORE HYB MODEL-CORE MODEL-HYB Zonally averaged net heat flux for the various cases • HYB suggest that more heat in the ocean, and should produce a warmer ocean • Fluxes diagnosed by the ocean model are similar • And it is CORE forcing which shows the greatest heating trend CORE forcing HYB Forcing Time evolution of the annual globally averaged ocean model temperature
MODEL-CORE MODEL-HYB CORE HYB Annual global net heat flux imbalance for the various cases • Global imbalance (always positive here) is generally greater in HYB than in CORE suggesting that HYB should produce a warmer SST. • The global imbalance diagnosed by the model is reduced in both runs, but is always greater in CORE, and long term trends are different. • Meanwhile, trens and variability are similar in HYB and CORE. CORE forcing HYB Forcing Evolution of the annual globally averaged SST
Choosing between different air-sea flux products to drive ocean models Deciding between NCEP and ERA40 winds, Air temp, and Air humidity COREFluxes (1984-2000) QnetE-P-Rtx,ty Comparison of these data sets (mean and variability) will exhibit differences and similarities HYBFluxes (1984-2000) QnetE-P-Rtx,ty Can we predict the effect of these differences on the solution of an Ocean GCM? No It is necessary to run the ocean model