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Open Collaboration in Policy Modelling Presentation @ OSE 2011, Ludwigsburg 15th April 2011

Open Collaboration in Policy Modelling Presentation @ OSE 2011, Ludwigsburg 15th April 2011. Prof. Dr. Maria A. Wimmer wimmer@uni-koblenz.de. Agenda. Challenges to use ICT in policy making / OCOPOMO project Approach to systematic, structured policy analysis Concluding remarks.

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Open Collaboration in Policy Modelling Presentation @ OSE 2011, Ludwigsburg 15th April 2011

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  1. Open Collaboration in Policy ModellingPresentation @ OSE 2011, Ludwigsburg15th April 2011 Prof. Dr. Maria A. Wimmer wimmer@uni-koblenz.de

  2. Agenda • Challenges to use ICT in policy making /OCOPOMO project • Approach to systematic, structured policy analysis • Concluding remarks

  3. Current Demands for Open Government in Policy Contexts Transparency, accountability, coherence, openness, participation …

  4. Challenges in Policy Development • Complexity in strategy and policy formation • Lack of online participation means in strategic decision making • Lack of open collaboration and therewith transparency in identifying the crucial features of complex social environments to inform policy models • Development, visualisation and simulation of appropriate policy models usually done by experts • Appropriate ICT support in policy planning not deployed widely

  5. OCOPOMO Facts • OCOPOMO: Open Collaboration in Policy Modelling • Project start: 1st January 2010 • Duration: 36 months • Efforts: 398,5 person months • Budget: 3,185.990 Euro • EC funding: 2,519.000 Euro • 10 partners from 5 EU countries • 5 Universities (research) • 3 SMEs (ICT development and policy consultancy) • 2 public administrations (pilot partners) • URL: www.ocopomo.eu

  6. OCOPOMO’s Vision OCOPOMO’s vision is to transform the European Government landscape to enable open, well-informed, as well as efficient and effective public governance and policy-modelling based on an interactive platform that allows absorbing the cumulative knowledge existent in society in order to better ground and qualify public decisions

  7. Aims of Project • Support key stakeholders to participate in the processes of policy formulation • Policy analysts, policy operators, wider stakeholder groups of specific policy domains • Integrate methods and tools of scenario-based policy formation with policy modelling • Develop an integrated ICT platform for efficient policy making • Mechanisms of open collaboration along the policy process • Supporting engagement of wide stakeholder groups • Piloting two cases on EU structural funds • Renewable energy in Kosice (SK), Knowledge transfer from Universities to SMEs in Campania (IT)

  8. Agenda • Challenges to use ICT in policy making /OCOPOMO project • Approach to systematic, structured policy analysis • Concluding remarks

  9. OCOPOMO’s Integrated Policy Process and Involved Actors 2 1 Development ofevidence-based, stakeholder-generatedscenarios Definition ofinitialscenarioandcollectionofbackgroundinformation 3 Development ofconceptualmodels 6 Evaluation ofevidence-based vs. model-basedscenarios 5 4 Programmingofpolicymodel Simulation andgenerationof model-basedscenarios Consistent policy models Domain Experts (PolicyPlanner / Strategic DecisionMaker) Legend: # Actors: Prodessphase Stakeholdersinvolved Transition to nextphase ExpertsforPolicy Analysis / PolicyModelling

  10. Integrating Scenario and Formal Model • Goals, scope and social processes specified by participating stakeholders • Stakeholder-generated scenarios inform model design • Key in model design: agent descriptions & if-then rules • Stakeholders see natural-language pseudo code • Enforces precision in use of language, expectations, goals • Models produce simulations, which are formal scenarios • Participating stakeholders evaluate model generated scenarios • Surprises involve further investigation of model & scenarios • Iterations in developing formal policy models

  11. Artefacts along the Process Phases 1 2 4 3 CCD: (Consistent Conceptual Descriptions) Init. SC D E Simulation model SC 1 Stakeholder-generated SC: Init. SC 5 SC3 Model generated SC: SC2 SC 1 SC D 6 6 Legend: E Relevant aspect # Expert knowledge Processphase Network ofsocialrelationships Documents D Information flow Information flowdetailedsteps Rule-Dependency-Graph Scenarios SC

  12. Transformation Needs 5 4 1 2 3 Unstructured scenarioand Background data Structured data in conceptual models (CCD) (ConsistentConceptual Description) Formal policy models (Multi-agent model) Narrative scenariotexts Agent types Relationships Agent rules Actors Behavior Individual facts Themes Aims Background doduments [Alternative] actions Simulation world Context Assumedcontext World facts World Facts

  13. Integrated Approach for CCD Fromdocumentanalysis via qualitative dataanalysisto formal policymodel 2 3 4 Documentbasis Consistentconceptualdescriptions (CCD) Simulation model Network of social relations Fact templates and Facts Document1 If condition1, condition2, .. Then action1, action2, … Document2 R1 R2 R3 Rule-Dependency Graph Legend: Phrases in document basis Relation among actors Rules (If-Then) R Actor‘s rule-base Dependency among rules Extraction and trans- formation of elements of the policy descriptions Transformation from conceptual models to formal statements Actor

  14. Step 1 of Transformation: Identification of Aspects of Relationships (-> Ontology)

  15. Step 2 of Transformation: Identification of Rules (Rule-dependency Graph)

  16. Conceptual Model for Policy Description in CCD and Formal Policy Model structured in Theme (Policy Domain) described via Embedded in Context Time stamp World facts Relatedto Aims acts in Acts on basisof / believes in Relatedto Trigger / influence influence has Behaviour influences has Time stamp Carries out Agent Action Interactswith / Member of influence Structured in / Part of Acts on Basis of Relations

  17. Agenda • Challenges to use ICT in policy making /OCOPOMO project • Approach to systematic, structured policy analysis • Concluding remarks

  18. Why Scenario-based Policy Modelling? • Stakeholder participation and collaboration in the development of different views on a policy context • Bottom-up approach, evidence-based • Deployment of integrated ICT based participation platform • Comparison of model-generated scenarios with evidence-based narrative scenarios generated by stakeholders

  19. Expected impact • Contribution to transform government and administration to an open, effective and efficient participative governance (good governance principles) • New opportunities for open discourse among stakeholders of the policy domain and the policy experts • in stakeholder-oriented scenario generation • in evaluation of formal policy models • Improving transparency and traceability in strategic decision making through the OCOPOMO approach

  20. Many thanks for your attention! Project partners:

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