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More-than-Moore Roadmapping Update. More than Moore: Diversification. Analog/RF. Passives. HV Power. Sensors Actuators. Biochips. Interacting with people and environment Non-digital content System-in-package (SiP). 130nm. 90nm. Baseline CMOS: CPU, Memory, Logic. 65nm.
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More-than-Moore RoadmappingUpdate ITRS public conference – San Francisco
More than Moore: Diversification Analog/RF Passives HV Power Sensors Actuators Biochips Interacting with people and environment Non-digital content System-in-package (SiP) 130nm 90nm Baseline CMOS: CPU, Memory, Logic 65nm Information Processing Digital content System-on-chip (SoC) Combining SoC and SiP: Higher Value Systems More Moore: Miniaturization 45nm 32nm 22nm 16 nm . . . V Beyond CMOS Moore’s Law & More ITRS public conference – San Francisco
Visual Representation Digital Processing &Storage Interact More Moore Power & Power Mgt More than Moore July 14, 2010 ITRS public conference – San Francisco
Why a More than Moore roadmap ? • ITRS has demonstrated value of roadmapping for CMOS • Identify pre-competitive research domains, enabling cooperation between industries, institutes and universities. • Sharing of R&D efforts • Reduction of development costs and time • Synchronization of the E&M community with the Manufacturing community • Increase resource efficiency through focus • Promote market growth and job creation • More than Moore roadmapping offers a similar but more challenging opportunity • Need to propose a roadmapping methodology • White paper ITRS public conference – San Francisco
Necessary conditions for an industry-wide technical roadmap effort • restricted set of figures of merits (FOM) • convergence of opinion among a majority of the key players on the progress trends that these figures of merit are expected to follow (LEP) • potential market of significant size inducing a wide applicability of the roadmap (WAT) • willingness to share information (SHR) • existence of a community of players (ECO) ITRS public conference – San Francisco
Example of technology evaluation draft FOM = Figure Of Merit; LEP = Law of Expected Progress SHR = Willingness to SHaRe information ; WAT = Wide Applicability of Technology ECO = Existing COmmunity ITRS public conference – San Francisco 6
Process scenarii roadmap functions needed applications FOM designs and devices lead markets size, suitability designtools societal needs processes ITRS public conference – San Francisco
From markets to applications“Smart grid” example July 14, 2010 ITRS public conference – San Francisco
From markets to applications Automotive example • Possible segmentation • Powertrain Electronics • Entertainment Electronics • Safety Systems • Convenience Systems • Vehicle and Body Controls • In-Cabin Information Systems ITRS public conference – San Francisco
From applications to functions, then devices Applications Functions Devices ADC Transistor Power metering d2 f2 Capacitor A2 f3 A3 Gas detector Cantilever MEMS Car air quality monitoring d5 Fluid detector d6 Pollution control f5 d7 PLC Inductor ITRS public conference – San Francisco
Assessing the technology “potential for roadmapping” • Assume similar evolution performance requirements for the gas detector in the automotive convenience system and in the environment air quality control system. Then • We can define figures of merit for the gas detector and its constitutive devices (FOM) • We have convergence on law of expected progress (LOP) of the gas detector and its constitutive devices • Knowledge of markets allows to estimate • readiness to share (SHR) of the market actors • existence of a community between these actors (ECO). • Device or technology applicability (WAT) depends on • Predictable evolution of markets • Pervasion of gas detectors in those markets ITRS public conference – San Francisco
Parallel actions COMPLETED • ITRS White Paper on MtM • Why is roadmapping important & successful? • MtM is different from CMOS • General roadmapping methodology • General map Methodology for selectingnew MtM domains ITRS roadmapson selected MtM domains (2011 edition) • CATRENE SC Initiative on MtM • Experiment the roadmapping methodology……on dedicated domains • « Topical » meetings • Provide • great challenges • technical tables Inputs forroadmapping new MtM domains IN PROGRESS ITRS public conference – San Francisco
Template for the report (general) • Scope & taxonomy • segmentation of devices / technologies • Eligible technologies for roadmapping? • devices / technologies vs. roadmapping criteria • selection of few devices / technologies • Available roadmaps • critical review • Technical challenges • qualitative wording • Technology requirements • figures of merit → quantitative evolution over time • Potential solutions • critical assessment of potential solutions ITRS public conference – San Francisco
In Summary • Off to a good start… • Some MtM devices / functions already adressed ! Wireless • Historical relationships between some iTWG and « downstream » roadmapping organizations (iNEMI…) • More than Moore roadmapping methodology • In progress / to be done • Methodology implementation • By Catrene scientific committee working group • By iTWG • Strengthening of links with other roadmapping organizations • Reuse whenever possible • Involvement of new communities into ITRS ITRS public conference – San Francisco