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SYSTEM LEVEL EXPLANATION. = interaction between units within boundaries of the system STRUCTURE PROCESS EQUILIBRIUM STABILITY. usefulness of military power declined?. 1. moral legitimacy of war? 2. economic costs 3. domestic political cost 4. fungibility. Tragedy of the Commons.
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SYSTEM LEVEL EXPLANATION = interaction between units within boundaries of the system STRUCTURE PROCESS EQUILIBRIUM STABILITY
usefulness of military power declined? 1. moral legitimacy of war? 2. economic costs 3. domestic political cost 4. fungibility
Tragedy of the Commons private good high rivalry low ? public good low high excludability When the world is dominated by a hegemon, more international public goods will be provided ???
BIPOLAR SYSTEMS zero sum confrontation mutual gain from collusion 1. few cases 2. stability = ? 3. nuclear weapons 4. time 5. compared to what?
MULTIPOLAR SYSTEMS 1. stable? 2. unstable? If offensehas advantage If defense has advantage
NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION MAKES WAR MORE LIKELY? 1. RISK ACCEPTANT “ROGUE” STATES 2. ACCIDENTS & MALFEASANCE NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION MAKES WAR LESS LIKELY? 1. DETERRENCE VALUE 2. SIGNALLING VALUE
GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE 1. what causes it? 2. what are the results? 3. has it been increasing? 4. so what?
CAUSES OF INTERDEPENDENCE? 1. Economic Sensitivity Vulnerability 2. Political Cultural Constraints on sovereignty Political groups cross boundaries “Stateless” econ. organisations
Result:“complex interdependence”(vs old Realist world) IO D F B C state 1 state 2 classical Realist international politics interdependence new lines of influence A society 1 society 2 E 1. states 2. means 3. goals