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Science in a Populist Era Challenges and Opportunities SLAC October 9, 2014

Science in a Populist Era Challenges and Opportunities SLAC October 9, 2014. Michael Lubell Director of Public Affairs, APS Mark W. Zemansky P ro fessor of Physics, CCNY. Washington Spinning Wheels. How bad can it get?. Until the Budget Accord Last Year’s Pinnacle of Success. Helium.

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Science in a Populist Era Challenges and Opportunities SLAC October 9, 2014

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  1. Science in a Populist EraChallenges and OpportunitiesSLACOctober 9, 2014 Michael Lubell Director of Public Affairs, APS Mark W. Zemansky Professor of Physics, CCNY

  2. WashingtonSpinning Wheels How bad can it get?

  3. Until the Budget AccordLast Year’s Pinnacle of Success Helium

  4. The Political Context

  5. 113th Congress October 20144

  6. 113th CongressOctober 2014 Tea Party Members

  7. Voteview.com

  8. Voteview.com

  9. The Budget Context

  10. The Budget Future No Grand Deal Constrained Spending

  11. The Political Future Populism

  12. Populism A political philosophy supporting the rights and power of the people in their struggle against the privileged elite.

  13. The Public Context

  14. What the Public Thinks • Science is important (93%) • Federal research support research is an appropriate use of tax dollars (68%) • Few people see how research affects their lives • Science is 2nd on a list of programs to cut • Trust in government is low (15-20%) • More than 50% of voters say they want to replace their own representative – first time in more than 20 years

  15. What the Public Thinks Matters More than Ever • When spending is rising • An inside Washington game works • When spending is falling • Elected officials evaluate which cuts voters will most easily accept

  16. A Snapshot of Science Appropriations Revealing Some Policy & Priority Differences

  17. Science AppropriationsBy the Numbers Bedtime Reading

  18. Selected Science Accounts in $B

  19. Science Wars Playing Out in the House SST Committee

  20. Messaging Matters • Providing you with jobs rather than growing the economy • Saving your life rather than improving health care • Saving you money and time at the supermarket rather than improving quality of life • Saving you money at the pump: giving you more miles per gallon rather than providing better fuel efficiency • Connecting you with family and friends rather than creating social media • Images rather than words

  21. 2014 Election Forecast • House: All seats up • Changes only at the margin • Senate: 33 seats up (20 D and 13 R) • Republicans need a pickup of 6 seats to gain control • Certain Republican pickups: Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia (all vacated Democratic seats) • Likely Republican pickups: Alaska, Arkansas and Louisiana • Possible Republican pickup: Iowa • Possible but unlikely Republican pickup: Colorado • Possible but unlikely Democratic pickup: Kentucky • Possible Democratic pickup: Georgia • The wildcard: Kansas

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