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National Adaptation Strategies - UK. 21 March 2005 Andy Deacon Global Atmosphere Division. Outline. What is needed? Building adaptive capacity Tools and understanding Delivering Adaptation Action Experience of adaptation in practice Next Steps. Guidance
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National AdaptationStrategies - UK 21 March 2005 Andy Deacon Global Atmosphere Division
Outline • What is needed? • Building adaptive capacity • Tools and understanding • Delivering Adaptation Action • Experience of adaptation in practice • Next Steps
Guidance Risk and uncertainty in decision making: “Climate adaptation: Risk, uncertainty and decision-making” Costing the impacts of climate change Handling uncertainty in climate scenarios Scenarios UKCIP02 climate change scenarios Socio-economic scenarios Web-based tools (in development) Adaptation Wizard: How to use all UKCIP resources in planning for adaptation Adaptation case studies: Examples of adaptation being implemented in the UK UKCIP toolkit
Climate adaptation: risk, uncertainty & decision-making (UKCIP 2003) Criteria for Stage 5 – legislation, risk attitude, thresholds Main drivers behind decision Is climate change a risk to project, programme, agency,etc ? Tiered risk assessment – climate and non-climate factors Bring info together Final checks No-regret, low-regret, win-win options Flexible options Delay/Do nothing? Evaluate against Stage 2 criteria
Climate change proofing within Defra Risk-based & identifies priorities for early action : Long-term investment and infrastructure decisions Long-term policies and regulation Contingency planning Win-wins Evidence base Stakeholders Work within other government Departments Climate Change Proofing
What is needed (1):Adaptation Policy Framework Purpose : Set objectives and measure progress • Provide structure • for policies and measures • for different actors (regional, local) • Communication • Longer term view
What is needed (2):Better understanding at regional scale • Regional research in the UK, 2004–06 • To inform regional decision-making and help target effective adaptation responses • Six priority topics, identified by stakeholders: • Planning, land-use and the built environment • Business • Water • Countryside and the rural economy • Quantifying the costs • Guidelines for adaptation strategies
What is needed (3):Guidelines for adaptation • Project underway to explore what adaptation means in practice to date • Two tasks: • inventory of adaptation options and strategies at different scales in the UK, from individual companies, to sectoral responses • assessment of • (a) why these options and strategies were formulated, and • (b) how they relate to other options and strategies
Next Steps • Adaptation in practice project report • UKCIP Integration report • Synthesis report on impacts of climate on Central Government Departments • Work on indicators and targets for adaptation • Adaptation Policy Framework - before end 2005