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OPENING THE MATAPIHI

OPENING THE MATAPIHI. Why investing in taiohi is good for New Zealand. Dr Tahu Kukutai NIDEA University of Waikato. Ara Taiohi Wananga Wellington 23 October 2013. Breaking it down. We are wasting a precious resource: our taiohi We have a small window of opportunity to change things

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OPENING THE MATAPIHI

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  1. OPENING THE MATAPIHI Why investing in taiohi is good for New Zealand Dr Tahu Kukutai NIDEA University of Waikato Ara Taiohi Wananga Wellington 23 October 2013

  2. Breaking it down • We are wasting a precious resource: our taiohi • We have a small window of opportunity to change things • This requires a massive psychological shift AND active investment • As youth champions, you are key to making it happen

  3. Back it up … how are we wasting youth?

  4. NZ can’t afford to waste this potential

  5. New Zealand’s ageing population 13.3% aged 65+

  6. Source: US Census Bureau International Database http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb/ Population ageing = end of growth

  7. More developed countries: The twilight of our youth? US Census Bureau International Database: More Developed Countries by age and sex

  8. some inconvenient truths about population ageing

  9. Source: Statistics NZ 2012 Projected population of New Zealand by age and sex, 2011(base)-2061 Already crossed over in 16% TAs More elderly than children within 13 years Projected

  10. We face a massive shift in the ratio of young to old = 2/3 of NZ’s growth at 65+ years Statistics New Zealand Subnational Population Projections by Age and Sex, 2006(base)-2031 (2012 Update)

  11. ..Who you ‘gonna call? 28,000 fewer school leavers over the next ten years Source: Statistics NZ 2012 Projected population of New Zealand by age and sex, 2011(base)-2061

  12. The end of growth … coming to a town near you More than 1/3 of New Zealand’s TA’s already in decline These declines are unlikely to reverse Who will provide the services? Suppy the labour? Buy houses? Ultimately it matters to the whole country

  13. Move towards tight labour market Percentage TAs with fewer at labour market entry age than exit age Observed Projected Source: Statistics New Zealand, Subnational Population Projections: 2006(base)–2031 (October 2012 update)

  14. There will be increasing competition generally The Economist, April 9th 2011

  15. Thank God You’re Here.. Introducing Gen TGYH Birth Notices • Between 2004 and 2011, to the mums and dads of New Zealand, almost half a million bouncing baby boys and girls. Parents overjoyed, Government [should be] ecstatic..

  16. Our blips and echoes are ever-more precious Baby Boomers Gen Y (1991 Blip) GEN TGYH Statistics New Zealand, median variant projections

  17. There is much potential for young Māori Baby Boomers TGYH

  18. The MāoriDemographic Gift Where Tame meets Thelma

  19. We cannot afford to waste even one Public Notices • To the young people of New Zealand, the Government is aware that you are in short supply and great demand...that you may be our last large cohort ever.. We must show you that we need you

  20. Investing in our taiohi • Changing the way we think – a taonga to be nurtured; not a risk to be managed • Policy environment that maximises the realisation of youth potential • Strategic investment in education and training

  21. So … WIIFM ? • Your engagement with taiohi is shaped by massive global demographic shifts • These shifts are largely irreversible but how we respond to them is up for debate • Individuals’ actions matters in making every sure every taiohi counts

  22. KIA ORA Contact us at: • natalie.jackson@waikato.ac.nz • tahuk@waikato.ac.nz • www.waikato.ac.nz/nidea

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