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Enhancing Forecasting & Product Generation: FPAW Forum Briefing & NBAA Convention Insights

Explore advancements in forecasting presented by Kevin Johnston at the FPAW Forum and NBAA Convention in 2004. Learn about TAF improvements, human involvement in the forecast loop, Volcanic Ash TAFs, and more.

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Enhancing Forecasting & Product Generation: FPAW Forum Briefing & NBAA Convention Insights

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  1. Progress in Forecasting and Product Generation • Briefing to the FPAW Forum • NBAA Convention • October 13, 2004 • Kevin Johnston • National Weather Service

  2. Overview TAF Improvements Human In Forecast Loop Volcanic Ash

  3. TAFs • Significant Improvement in FAR with little change in POD • Training; Low C&V course • New Tools; AVNFPS not just an observing tool • Forecast Techniques and Guidance automated and interactive with forecasters • SFO project transfer • Site-specific TAFs • Part of NWS and FAA CONOPS • Climatology Developed • Decision Aids Translate Impact • More TAFs • As requirements evolve-AVNFPS can help

  4. Human In The Loop (HITL) • Key component of JPDO effort through early and mid-phases • Need to construct process to determine where, when and how human aids value • MDL work with CIP/FIP and GTG • Begin testing this month • NCAR work with SR on Auto-nowcaster to improve initiation of convection

  5. Volcanic Ash • New collaboration tools in AR • GOES 12 Detection • Two-Band Split Window Technique • Two IR bands available at 4km every 30 minutes • New algorithm to detect ash from Imager Infrared brightness temperature

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