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The energy challenge adopting clean tech - how quickly will (can) Australia change?

The energy challenge adopting clean tech - how quickly will (can) Australia change?. Prof Ray Wills Director and Partner Duda&Wills Chief Adviser Sustainable Energy Association of Australia Adjunct Professor The University of Western Australia. Adoption of technology.

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The energy challenge adopting clean tech - how quickly will (can) Australia change?

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  1. The energy challenge adopting clean tech - how quickly will (can) Australia change? Prof Ray Wills Director and Partner Duda&Wills Chief Adviser Sustainable Energy Association of Australia Adjunct Professor The University of Western Australia

  2. Adoption of technology • The natural turnover and retirement of appliances, buildings and vehicles can bring about a modest penetration of sustainable energy in the next ten years. • However, adoption of new technology is often not just ‘natural’ • The transition to sustainable energy, like many new technology shifts, will be more rapid with changes favoured by: • policy measures and regulation; • consumer sentiment; • pricing advantage.

  3. Roger’s diffusion curve

  4. Technology adoption rates – US • Will electric cars be dishwashers or VCRs? (Will there ever be any more dishwashers??) NY Times

  5. Technology energy use www.epri.com

  6. Technology adoption rates - vehicles Zoepf 2011

  7. Technology adoption - manufacturers Zoepf 2011

  8. Technology adoption rates - vehicles Zoepf 2011

  9. Technology adoption rates • Marked decrease in developmental lag • Innovation/development of new products • Supply side capabilities • Market competition • Growing consumer expectations • Higher level of communication between consumers - blogspace • Fleet/building/operations managers – and CFOs • Regulation • Energy security

  10. Trends in car prices and CO2 2002-2010 How clean are Europe’s cars?

  11. Renewable energy growth Data IEA

  12. Global renewables 2013? Data UNEP

  13. Global electricity …

  14. Global electricity growth - Europe

  15. Australian electricity … Data ABARES

  16. Australian electricity consumption 2012…

  17. Australian electricity consumption 2012… Data AEMO

  18. Rapid change- Personal mobility

  19. Private transport • Fuel efficiency, other energy sources • Transport • Energy storage key • New technologies may be disruptive

  20. Electric mass transit • Siemens Bordeaux light rail • Bombardier wireless light rail • Slim Ride -15 passengers • Series 700 Shinkansen train – 285 km/h

  21. Commercialvehicles Smith Newton electric truck Mega electric diesel hybrids • London Bus • Haul Pak + Earthmover • Mitsubishi Fuso • Honda prime mover • Oshkosh Military Vehicle

  22. Flying and floating fuels • February 25, 2008 – Virgin Atlantic Stages the First Biofuel Flight • October 30, 2007 - U.S.A.F. Tests New Synthetic Fuel on Plane • February 14, 2011 – Qantas follows US Military to algae biofuels • September 13, 2011 – US Navy announces by 2016 Green Strike Group, powered by renewable diesel-electric engines, nuclear power and aviation biofuels, is able to operate independent of fossil fuel supply line threat or disruption

  23. Smart grids, smart houses (and farms) • Integrated energy planning • Smart grids to coordinate the actions of devices such as loads & generators

  24. Green cities • Global • Tianjin Eco-City China • Ulsan EcocityKorea • Masdar City UAE • Australia • City of Sydney – 70% CO2 reduction by 2030 • City of Melbourne • Stirling City Centre, Perth • City of Fremantle • Yanchep – 2 x 100 000 • Local government critical

  25. Electricity pricing and renewables

  26. Solar on Australian homes • WA - 104 000 rooftops with solar, a total of 218 MW of solar capacity • Mandurah (postcode 6210) - over 5200 homes and 9.4 MW of capacity • Canning Vale area (postcode 6155) and the Wanneroo area (postcode 6055) next two largest - similar numbers 3200 homes and 6.4 MW.

  27. Solar on Australian homes • WA - 104 000 rooftops with solar, a total of 218 MW of solar capacity • Mandurah (postcode 6210) - over 5200 homes and 9.4 MW of capacity • Canning Vale area (postcode 6155) and the Wanneroo area (postcode 6055) next two largest - similar numbers 3200 homes and 6.4 MW.

  28. Solar on WA homes City of Cockburn

  29. Solar on your home

  30. Solar on your home

  31. Making solar

  32. Industry chamber for any businesses / enterprise in sustainable energy or being more sustainable • Based in Perth, with around 350 members nationally • Information, communication, and networking businesses • Government advocacy (lobbying) • Policy development • Legislation, regs and taxation - barriers and incentives • Education, skills and training • Calls for government leadership - and procurement • Industry mapping • Energising Kids – energy for the next generation

  33. When the winds of change blow,some people build walls and others build windmills. Chinese proverb

  34. www.seaaus.com.au

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