WRAP Projects Report

1. WRAP Projects Report November 7, 2013 WRAP Membership Meeting Denver, CO Tom Moore WRAP Air Quality Program Manager WESTAR Council

2. Regional Technical Analysis and Planning Support • WRAP working as regional technical center • Interconnected series of regional technical projects • Management of ongoing emissions and modeling studies • Reviewed / coordinated with federal agencies, states, locals, tribes • Coordinated through WESTAR Planning and Technical Committees to identify needs and SIP applications • Reporting of results to federal agencies providing grants • WRAP/EPA Western Modeling Workshop (July 8-11, Boulder)

3. WRAP regional technical support – current efforts • NAAQS Implementation and Maintenance • Data for future infrastructure and transport SIPs • Exceptional Events • Develop technical support data and analysis tools • Implementation of Regional Haze SIPs • Reasonable Progress report – regional technical monitoring / emissions data • Identify technical work needed for 2018 plans • Needs of sub-regional groups of states • Mainly focused on oil and gas • Limited scope support for states on specific regional haze topics

4. WRAP projects completed during 2013 • WRAP Region Reasonable Progress Analysis for Regional Haze (June) • Deterministic and Empirical Assessment of Smoke’s Contribution to Ozone (June)    • Oil and Gas Emissions Inventories in the Intermountain West (August)   • West-wide Jumpstart Air Quality Modeling Study (September) • Williston and Great Plains Basins’ O&G 2011 and projection year Emission Inventory (December)

5. Regional Haze: Reasonable Progress Reports • Study status • Completed in June • Comprehensive documentation, data, and analysis results at: • http://www.wrapair2.org/RHRPR.aspx • Includes a technical paper reviewing Natural Conditions • http://www.wrapair2.org/RHRNC.aspx • Technical Support System (TSS) update of data and tools • Closeout call/webinar with states, FLMs, and EPA

6. Regional Haze: Reasonable Progress Report project • WRAP produced a comprehensive, regionally-consistent technical report • Regional, state, and Class I area reports • Periodic technical analyses required by Regional Haze Rule • Progress Reports coordinated and reviewed by WESTAR Planning Committee • Western states are using to prepare individual SIP revisions • NM, UT, WY, and CA currently developing SIP packages • Provides starting point for analysis needed for 2018 SIPs

7. Fire’s Effects on Elevated Regional Ozone and PMDeterministic & Empirical Assessment of Smoke’s Contribution to Ozone (DEASCO3)and companion study started late 2012:Prescribed and Other Fire Emissions: Particulate Matter Deterministic & Empirical Tagging & Assessment of Impacts on Levels (PMDETAIL) Funding for both from FLM Joint Fire Sciences ProgramBased on WRAP Fire Emissions Tracking System

8. DEASCO3 project • Study status • Technical work completed in June • Project activities • 19 detailed case studies completed providing structure for analysis of user-defined air quality events • Testing of web tools and data completed by staff from states, FLMs, EPA ROs • Webinar for 100+ participants held August 22nd • WESTAR and other states, EPA, and FLMs • http://deasco3.wraptools.org/

9. DEASCO3 project - purpose • Assess fire’s impact on elevated ozone episodes with retrospective studies • Studies of fire and associated ozone impacts: 2002 through 2008 • Provide data and web tools for states and feds to use for: • Exceptional Events analyses • Annual Fire Planning at landscape scale for smoke management • SIP support

11. Oil & Gas: Emissions Inventories and Control Analysis • Study status • Technical work completed in August • 2006 or 2009 base years • 2015 projections • State and EPA permit data • Detailed operator surveys for unpermitted sources • Reported and discussed on open stakeholder calls for all interested parties

12. Oil & Gas: Emissions Inventories and Control Analysis • Key source for Ozone / PM standards, & Regional Haze • Exploration and production activity continue to increase and change • Data in use current OAQPS national and western modeling work • Linkages • WestJumpAQMS and 3-State Air Quality Study • EPA Oil & Gas Emissions tool for 2011 NEI – first time nationally • Remaining project for MT-Dakotas region to be completed in December • 2011 base and projection year EIs for Williston & Montana Great Plains Basins

13. West-Wide Jumpstart Air Quality Modeling Study • Study status • Technical work completed in September • Extensive modeling and source apportionment analyses • Achieved goal to provide an updated regional modeling framework to support western air quality planning • Comprehensive documentation, data, and interpretation tools at: • http://www.wrapair2.org/WestJumpAQMS.aspx

14. West-Wide Jumpstart Air Quality Modeling Study • Regional results - data and context for state and federal planning • Most current transport and background studies • Meteorological, emissions, air quality photochemical modeling • Regionally consistent, High resolution, Comprehensive • 2008 base case modeling with Ozone / PM source apportionment • All results and data in 3-State Data Warehouse

15. WRAP Projects Ongoing • 3-State Air Quality Study’s Data Warehouse and Modeling Center project (ongoing) • continuing Western Fire and Air Quality projects • WRAP Fire Emissions Tracking System (ongoing) • Particulate Matter Deterministic & Empirical Tagging & Assessment of Impacts on Levels  (PMDETAIL) – (completes Fall 2015)

16. PMDETAIL project • Study status • Technical Project work started Winter 2012-13 continuing through Fall 2015 • Project activities • ~20 additional case studies underway, to be presented on website using analysis tools, more documentation and next round of web tools • New bottom-up fire EIs for 2009-13, photochemical modeling for 2011 • Leveraged into 3-State Air Quality Study • http://www.wrapfets.org/pmdetail.cfm

17. PMDETAIL project - purpose • Assess fire’s impact on elevated PM episodes with retrospective studies • Extends DEASCO3 project results • Studies of fire and associated PM impacts: 2002 through 2013 • Primary PM • Secondary PM • Updates to Ozone impacts for 2009-13 • Provide data and web tools for states and feds to use for: • Exceptional Events analyses • Annual Fire Planning at landscape scale for smoke management • SIP support

18. Federal Leadership Forum / 3-State Air Quality Study • Status - extensive technical project work continuing • Operational data warehouse, in-house modeling capability, and data transfer for NEPA modeling studies in January 2014 • Ongoing work to coordinate 3-State Study done through cooperative agreement • Next steps on project activities • Quarterly technical workshops and bi-monthly steering committee meetings to manage project • Develop 2014-17 workplan for data warehouse operations and study • After January, consider geographic/agency expansion and outside funding

19. Federal Leadership Forum / 3-State Air Quality Study • WY, CO, UT, EPA, BLM, NPS, and USFS • Implementation of 3-State and national MOUs - objectives: • Facilitate more complete and consistent air quality analysis for NEPA and other air quality decisions • Improve timeliness • Reduce duplication of air quality analyses resulting in lower costs • Improve collaboration • Planning for air quality impacts of energy development • Ozone focus, additional rural monitoring stations in oil & gas basins • Includes data to help with wintertime ozone nonattainment areas • Integrates results from WestJumpAQMS and Oil & Gas projects • Data warehouse to support future air quality modeling and other analyses

20. WRAP Projects New • 1-hour Drill Rig NO2 Impacts Monitoring/Modeling study (starts Nov. 2013) Potential • Regional Modeling Framework for Regional Haze and other western regional air quality planning • New Fire and PM Organic Aerosol study proposal to Join Fire Sciences Program (proposal due Dec. 11th)