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PJM ’ s Experience with Capacity Markets. Terry Boston President & CEO PJM Interconnection Power Across Texas September 21, 2012. PJM ‒ Focus on Just 3 Things. 1. Reliability Grid Operations Supply/Demand Balance Transmission monitoring. Regional Planning 15-Year Outlook. 3.
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PJM’s Experience with Capacity Markets Terry Boston President & CEO PJM Interconnection Power Across Texas September 21, 2012
PJM ‒ Focus on Just 3 Things 1 • Reliability • Grid Operations • Supply/Demand Balance • Transmission monitoring • Regional Planning • 15-Year Outlook 3 • Market Operation • Energy • Capacity • Ancillary Services 2
PJM: Who We Are KEY STATISTICS Member companies 800+ Millions of people served 60 Peak load in megawatts 163,848 MWs of generating capacity 185,600 Miles of transmission lines 59,750 GWh of annual energy 832,331 Generation sources 1,365 Square miles of territory 214,000 States served 13 + DC 21% of U.S. GDP produced in PJM As of 7/2012
End-Use Customers 36 Other Suppliers 455 Generation Owners 175 Transmission Owners 63 Electric Distributors 52 PJM Governance Independent Board Members Committee 10/2012
Capacity Resources Generation Demand Response (DR) Energy Efficiency
Pre-2005 Trends Decreasing Prices / Increasing Generation Retirement Installed Reserve Margin After RPM Retired MWs Decreasing Reserve Margin / Increasing Reliability Violations Before RPM Projected Reserve Margin, % Reliability Pricing Market (RPM)
Pre-2005 Capacity Market Issues • One price did not fit all • Not aligned with locational value • Not aligned with reliability • Not aligned to value provided • Insufficient information to drive investment • Short-term market / limited forward certainty • Insufficient time to build
Why Forward Capacity Markets? • Transparent locational price signals show the ‘cost’ of reliability improvements ahead of the need • Resource commitments are obtained to meet peak loads 3 years in the future • Longer-term price signal and stable revenue stream for generation resources incent investment • Competition is promoted between alternative resources(Supply Side and Demand Side)
Encouraging Demand Resources New Capacity Market (RPM)
RPM Base Residual Auction Resource Clearing Prices (By Zone)
Integrating New Infrastructure Over 16,000 MW of Pending Deactivations (~13,500 MW since 11/2011)
Managing a Sea-Change PJM Installed Capacity Cleared
PJM Load-Weighted & Fuel Cost-Adjusted LMP RPM Capacity Market