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A E R O N A U T I C A

COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL. A E R O N A U T I C A. Scenari di Business: settore combattimento e sorveglianza strategica. Alessandro Amendola Direzione Sistemi/Programmi Militari , Nuovi Progetti Vincenzo Miano Diezione Sistemi/Programmi Militari, Studi di Mercato e Scenari.

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A E R O N A U T I C A

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  1. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Scenari di Business: settore combattimento e sorveglianza strategica Alessandro Amendola Direzione Sistemi/Programmi Militari , Nuovi Progetti Vincenzo Miano Diezione Sistemi/Programmi Militari, Studi di Mercato e Scenari UAV-UCAV Scenari evolutivi e di convergenza nazionale Trieste 26 Ottobre 2004

  2. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Outline • Overview of the major development and production programs • Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicle (UCAV) • NEURON • J-UCAS • SKY-X • Surveillance Systems HALE/MALE • Global Hawk • Predator • Heron/EAGLE • EuroMALE Scenarios Analysis Market Perspective

  3. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A • Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicle (UCAV) • NEURON • J-UCAS • SKY-X

  4. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A NEURON

  5. RAFALE in service Development 2001 2005 2010 2015 2030 Next generation a/c UCAV Upholding development effort COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A NEURON Demonstrator

  6. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A NEURON UNMANNED COMBAT AIR VEHICLE

  7. LOIs / HOAs EXECUTIVE AGENCY MAIN CONTRACT PRIME CONTRACTOR DASSAULT AVIATION MOUs Agreements COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A

  8. Ground segment Air Vehicle Air Vehicle Data Link DL ATC ATC N C W G C S G C S I/F NCW I/F NCW Flight tests room Flight tests room COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Programme perimeter GPS SIBW DGPS

  9. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Italian WPs Alenia, Galileo and others European Workshare FCS actuators Hydraulics Undercarriage Data Link NCW interfaces ~5% ~5% Gal Design (Aero, Avionics, Gl. Tests) Equipped Fuselage Undercarriage doors Avionics Fuel System Gal Design (SIWB arch.) Smart Integrated Weapon Bay Weapon Bay doors Air Data System Electrical power system 15-20% 15-20% Qualif WTT Weapon Interfaces <5% Alenia/Galileo Aft Fuselage Exhaust pipe Integration Test Rig ~5% Prime / Design Authority (General design, Final assembly, Global tests) Air intake & duct LO perimeter Flight control system Propulsion ECS, Braking, Smart plug avionics software (20%) Basic weapon bay Equipped Wing Ground Control Station 5-10% 45-50%

  10. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Italian responsability • Reference project • Main characteristics • fuselage length  9,5 m • wing span  10 m • empty weight  3650 kg, • MTOW  5050kg • Reference engine • RRTM Adour (TBC) • Main performance • approach speed  120 kt • loiter @ 100 km  1,5 h • Mach weapon bay open  0,7 • Low Observability • External shape • Antenna • Air Intake & air Duct • Undercarriage Doors • Bays Doors • Sensor window • Exhaust pipe • Aerodynamics • Stabilisation and control without fin • Control Architecture • AutomaticTake off and Landing • Open Modular Architecture • Armament Bay • Aeroacoustic behaviour • Smart Integrated concept NEURON Critical Technologies

  11. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Overall Schedule

  12. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Joint Unmanned Combat Air System J-UCAS

  13. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A • TECHNOLOGICAL OBJECTIVES • High risk • survivability • stealthiness, low observable maintainability • advanced autonomous targeting and engagement process • adaptive, autonomous operations • Medium-risk • air vehicle affordabiliyty • weapon management and release • secure, robust communications

  14. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A PROGRAM EVOLUTION X- 45B 9700 kg X- 45A 5530 kg X- 45C 15875 kg Common Operating System Interoperability • Weapons • Sensors • communication links • air vehicles Autonomy Platform Flexibility  X- 47A 2932 kg X- 47C 19000 kg

  15. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A • ROADMAP CONOPS DEVELOPMENT AND EXPECTED IOC (2002 DoD Roadmap) • SEAD (EA6B) 2005-2010 • STRIKE (AV-8B, F117A) 2010-2015 • INTEGRATED STRIKE/SEAD (EA6B, F16) 2015-2020 • COUNTER AIR MISSION (F14, F15, F16) 2020-2025 • INTEGRATED STRIKE/SEAD/AIR (F/A18, F/A22) 2025-2030 • Recently J-UCAS SEAD for US-AirForce and US Navy slipped to FY2007-FY2009

  16. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A • An X-45B demonstrator was planned heavier that X-45 A, but recognizing the future requirement for operating in distant high threat theaters, DARPA and the Air Force modified the operational objectives for greater payload, range, and persistence, with a resulting considerable increase in size that led to the design of X- 45 C • The larger X-45 C air vehicle will more closely represent the operational system as currently envisioned and conduct demonstrations for both the Navy and Air Force

  17. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A SKY - X

  18. Sky-X COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Demo development & sensors testing Sky-X Technology Roadmap Target Recognition, weapon dropping Data Link, flight controls Product Demo Configuration, Propulsion Technology Research • DEVELOPMENT METHODOLOGY • Consolidated air vehicle technologies • Off-the-shelf equipment • Lean design/manufacturing process • Focus on specific innovation

  19. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Sky-X Air Vehicle Main Features Wing span 5.78 m Length 6.94 m Engine Thrust 440 daN Payload150¸200 kg MTOW1100 kg

  20. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Electro-Optical Sensors Sky-X Payload Modularity Synthetic Aperture Radar Weapons Bay Dimensions [m] Length overall 2.13 Height 0.48 Width 0.86 Volume [m3] 0.45 Interchangeable payload modules

  21. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Sky-X Configuration Evolution

  22. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A REQUIRED NATIONAL PROGRAMS SYNERGIES Sky-X NEURON Gal Design (SIWB arch.) Smart Integrated Weapon Bay Weapon Bay doors Air Data System Electrical power system Target Recognition, weapon dropping • Low Observability • Weapon system • Mission Autonomy • Digital Advanced FCS • Data-link • Sensors Data Link, flight controls Configuration, Propulsion New National Tech Initiative ? (FINMECCANICA) EUROMALE ( ?) RESEARCH WEAG, PNRM Programs participation, demonstrators and research to be coordinated within a strategy

  23. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A REMARKS • The UCAV market is likely to be dominated by US manufacturers, following J-UCAS program results, with Boeing and Northrop-Grumman leader. • In Europe the only serious effort is around Dassault NEURON program supported by Alenia Aeronautica and Saab with Spain, Greece, Belgium and Switzerland. • UK and Germany have not been seriuosly engaged yet.

  24. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A • Surveillance Systems HALE/MALE • Global Hawk • Predator • Heron/EAGLE • EuroMALE

  25. sensors & communication persistence time to targeting and identification COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A LESSONS LEARNED • Continuous information updating about hostile forces composition and generally awareness about crisis area is believed to be a key element for an efficient IPB • Asymmetric warfare scenarios are making less effective traditional CONOPS and it is a critical factor the capability to keep persistence in the area of operations in order to localize and destroy scattered enemy forces which widely use CCDO means • Operations against Time Sensitive targets or special forces operations support require availability in the area of a persistent sensor-to-shooter capability for quick action duties IPB Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield CONOPS CONcept of OPerationS CCDO Camouflage Concealment Deception Obscuration

  26. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A • Basic starting requirements : • performance, survivability, flexibility and sustainability • highly modular, in terms of platform and plug and play systems, in order to be able to accomplish missions like: • reconnaissance, ELINT, IMINT (EO/IR, GMTI, SAR), Target Acquisition, Electronic jamming and in addition also Strike Capability • NCW compatibility • Cost reduction (30-40 % less)

  27. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A GLOBAL HAWK Full rate production: 2007-13 Systems planned: 51 Systems ordered: 7 (for tests)+6 (LRIP) System unit price: $100M (w R&D) R&D: 2.32$B Target price : 50 $M HALE 4.8$B* ON TEST (IOC: 12-2005) 336,2 $M yearly RDT&E • Germany to replace Atlantic (EUROHAWK with EADS) • NATO • NATO AGS • UK to replace Camberra PR9 • Australia • Canada, Japan Northrop Grumman RQ-8A/B GLOBAL HAWK

  28. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A PREDATOR OPERATIONAL (ISD 1995) ON TEST (IOC: 12-2009) Full rate production: 2008 A/C planned: 62 Program Unit cost $10.7 M (w R&D) MALE 2$B* General Atomics PREDATOR B PREDATOR A A/c delivered: 100+ (end 2002) • US Air Force • CIA • US Navy • Italian Air Force PREDATOR C MARINER / PREDATOR B-ER (Locked-Martin • FJ- 44A TF engine • twin engine • Stealth • Swept wing • High-treath scenario • Expected 2005 Honeywell TPE331- 10T engine 49 h endurance • US Navy BAMS (?) • US Dept Homeland Security • US Coast Guard PREDATOR As Two-piston engined

  29. HERON COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A MALE IAI IAI • Indian Army HERON II / HA - 50 VALIANT • Heavy fuel engine • Electric motors/fuel cells • HERON TP • 45000 ft HA - 310 HA – 315 Flying wing 8 engines Twin-boom 6 engines

  30. EAGLE COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A ON TEST (IOC: 2005) MALE ad interim solution Europe Systeme Interimaire de Drone MALE IAI EADS 3 a/c planned EAGLE 1 First Flight 2009 EADS EADS EUROMALE • 1.1€B (including 300€Mfor R&D) expected for 24 a/c • France and Netherlands signed an agreement in December 2003 for cooperation to MALE development • Sweden, Spain, Italy have shown interest in joining the programme

  31. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A Scenarios Analysis Market Perspective

  32. General Dinamics. RQ-37 COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A MALE There is a largely bipolar market developing in the MALE sector between General Atomic-Aeronautical Systems and EADS-IAI with the Europe the main battleground EUROMALE is likely to be the main Europe’s contribution to this sector. EADS forecast a core market of about 39 MALE systems in the next 10 years including NATO future requirements whose tender is expected after 2006. HALE Northrop-Grumman Global Hawk will not have rivals before at least 2010. The exception may be Gulfstream RQ-37 unmanned G-V G550 offered to the US NAVY for its BAMS requirement. RQ-37 also being examined by IAF.

  33. CURRENT SYSTEMS + (EUROMALE, PREDATOR-B) Missions spectrum HIGH Long-loiter Air Surveillance armed surveillance Armed Recce DEAD/SEAD COMPLEXITY ISR stand-off Target Identification / BDA ISR hazard environments Communication relay LOW THREAT LEVEL LOW HIGH Missions accomplished by current HALE and MALE systems

  34. On production, with variants development Under development Under study COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A W E I G H T HALE EADS – N.G. EuroHawk Northrop Grumman Global Hawk HALE Singaporean LALEE South Korean HALE Japanese HALE General Atomics Predator C IAI HA-50 (ex NGHALE) EADS EuroMALE General Atomics Predator B IAI Heron TP EADS Eagle 1 General Atomics Predator A, I-Gnat • IAI Heron • Elbit Hermes 1500 MALE USA EUROPE ISRAEL ASIAN PLAYERS

  35. USAV-MALE Surveillance (Medium Altitude Long Endurance) USAV-HALE Surveillance (High Altitude Long Endurance) URAV Reconnaissance UCAV Combat COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A • Business rapidly growing around 2010 to 2030, 2 Billion Euro per year after 2020 • Market initially dominated by surveillance systems (USAV MALE/HALE) and recoinassance (URAV Long Range). After 2015 growing market for UCAV driven by US requirements • European global market extimated in the order of 16 Billion Euro

  36. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A UAV MARKET FORECAST SEGMENT ANALYSED MARKET ANALYSIS FIRM/ CUSTOMER VALUE AEROSPACE TIMEFRAME GEOGRAPHICAL DATE COMPANY/GOVERNMENT ($B) mini TUAV MALE HALE URAV UCAV UCAR VTOL REGION ORGANIZATION/OTHERS FORECAST October ? ? ? 2004-13 USA+EUR+RoW 11 INTERNATIONAL 2004 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? EUR 6.5 December 2003-12 FROST & SULLIVAN 2003 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? USA 20* August ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 2005-14 USA+EUR+RoW 32 TEAL GROUP 2004 December ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 2003-09 USA 15* US DoD 2002 August ? ? ? ? 2005-20 USA+EUR+RoW 16-45 Northrop Grumman 2004 October ? ? ? ? 2005-15 USA+EUR+RoW 14 Alenia Aeronautica 2004 * includes RD&T, Procurement, O&S ** expected US uav additional acquisitions not including mini+micro

  37. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A CONCLUSIONS (1) • UCAV may become a reality provided that some critical issues would be solved: attrition rates, life-cycle costs, communication bandwidth, flexibility in reactive defence suppression, combined operation with manned aircraft • large investment in RD are still required, and US they are planning to go in this direction • UCAV system may radically change operational paradigms and represent a technological breaktrough • gap between european and american industries may further increase • for italian defence stakeholders (armed forces, industries) it is not just the time to wait • technologies developed for UCAV may have impact also on future manned combat systems

  38. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A CONCLUSIONS (2) • Global Hawk has a dominant position in the strategic surveillance segment since is the only product available on the market, but is not affordable • A strategic surveillance system capable to carry the same payload of the GH with 30/40 % reduction in life-cycle cost may attract interest from many countries • EuroMALE may be considered the only seriuos effort to counteract the penetration of Predator in the European market (Italy included), even if it is based on israelian technology • italian industries participation in EuroMALE should be considered and accurately evaluated

  39. Low Cost HALE COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A ALTITUDE (ft) GLOBAL HAWK HALE HALE ALTAIR MARINER PREDATOR B ITALHALE EUROMALE Advanced MALE HERMES 1500 HERON EAGLE 1 MALE MALE PREDATOR A MAX ENDURANCE (h)

  40. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A THANK YOU

  41. COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A BACKUP

  42. 2001 2005 2010 2015 2030 COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A • FRANCE • UK • SPAIN • SWITZERLAND • GREECE • GERMANY • ITALY • SWEDEN • AUSTRIA • BELGIUM • NEETHERLANDS • NORWAY

  43. Aircraft X- 47 A X- 45 A X- 45 B X- 45 C Manufacturer Northrop Boeing Boeing Boeing Grumman Engine P&WC Honeywell General Electric General Electric JT15D-5C F124-GA-100 F404-GE-102D F404-GE-102D Thrust (kN) 14.19 28,02 48,93 48,93 MTOW (kg) 2932 5530 9700 15875 EW (kg) 2216 3630 6350 7485 Fuel (kg) 716 1220 2450 6350 Payload (kg) n/a 680 900 2040 Length (m) 8,50 8,08 10,97 11,89 Span (m) 8,47 10,32 14,33 14,94 COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL A E R O N A U T I C A J-UCAS DEMONSTRATORS

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