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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. FY 2011 President’s Budget Request. AGENDA. FY 2009 Accomplishments FY 2011 Budget Overview Program Change Request Summary FY 2011 Program Change Descriptions. Storm over York, Nebraska – Photo Credit: Mike Hollingshead. Accomplishments.

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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

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  1. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FY 2011 President’s Budget Request

  2. AGENDA • FY 2009 Accomplishments • FY 2011 Budget Overview • Program Change Request Summary • FY 2011 Program Change Descriptions Storm over York, Nebraska – Photo Credit: Mike Hollingshead NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  3. Accomplishments • Advance alert to communities for this winter season based on El Niño prediction • Outlook indicating major Red River flooding • Howard Hanson Dam partnership • Improved Aviation Weather services to the Federal Aviation Administration • Upgraded Super Computing System to bring the Nation more accurate weather and climate predictions DEAN RUTZ / THE SEATTLE TIMES Jason Lambrecht, U.S. Geological Survey The primary computer is located at IBM's Gaithersburg, Maryland facility. NWS FY11 Budget Summary Water flows into the Green River from the 48-year-old Howard Hanson Dam. Grand Forks, North Dakota Red River flooding.

  4. FY 2011 Budget Overview • FY 2011 Budget provides $1,003.2M for NWS, a $3.3M (0.3%) increase over the FY 2010 Enacted. Includes: • $14.6M for inflationary Adjustments to Base • $28.0M for Program Changes • This request supports the priorities of the Administration, Department of Commerce and NOAA. In meeting these priorities, NWS is: • Investing in Science and Technology to provide a National common weather operating picture and provide a viable Space Weather System to transmit vital information on the upcoming solar maximum. • Enhancing Timely & Accurate Weather Forecasts through investments in tornado, flood and winter storm forecasts improvements, warning dissemination systems, and in observational network maintenance. • Funds improvements in aviation weather information in support of the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) identified in the President's "Strategy for American Innovation" as a key part of building a leading physical infrastructure to connect our people and businesses. NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  5. NWSAdjustments to Base (ATBs) • Calculated ATBs • Why $18.1M increase • Critical support for 122 nation-wide WFOs which provide, 24/7 weather information & warnings essential to the Nation’s well being • NWS operations budget is 65% labor • Fund adjustments to current programs for NWS What • Funds the FY 2011 requested annual pay adjustment of 1.5%. ($14.6M) • Technical ATBs • Why $3.5M transfer from PAC to ORF • Transfer $3.5M from the PAC WFO Construction line to the ORF Local Warnings and Forecasts line What • Realignment will facilitate NWS managing all WFO leases out of ORF funds NWS FY11 Budget Summary 5 5

  6. NWS Budget Overview NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  7. NWS Budget Change Table NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  8. NWS Program Changes Science and Service for Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life

  9. NWSNEXT GENERATION AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM • Why • Critical/Integral Aviation Weather component of the Administration’s Priority to re-engineer the National Airspace System (NAS) to address increasing demand. • Air traffic Delays cost the U.S. Economy over $41B in 2007. • 70% of these delays are related to adverse weather accounting for $29B. • With more timely, accurate & consistent weather information, 2/3 of these delays could be eliminated resulting in savings of $19B per year. • What • Improvements to aviation weather observations, analyses, and forecasts ($9.6M). • Improvement of access to information ($3.4M). • Integration of weather information into FAA and user decision support systems ($0.8M). • Development of forecast verification capabilities ($1.3M). NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  10. NWSNEXT GENERATION AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM Schedule FY 2011 • Develop forecast generation tools for NextGen weather information. • Complete interagency data standards and services and implement in prototype systems. FY 2012 • Begin building and deploying NextGen data services infrastructure. • Implement approved IOC forecast process changes. FY 2013 • Test and deploy IOC WIDB. • Begin development of follow-on capabilities including additional areas, weather elements, and nested spatial scale, high resolution modeling. FY 2014 • Develop enhanced data management systems and infrastructure to meet all NextGen requirements. • Enhance probabilistic modeling techniques for aviation parameters. FY 2015 • Develop MOC forecast process alternatives. • Begin to deploy enhanced NextGen data services infrastructure. National Air Space Route Map and weather events that impact air traffic NWS FY11 Budget Summary 10

  11. NWSNEXT GENERATION AIR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM NWS FY11 Budget Summary Typical flight profile showing deviation around weather

  12. NWSWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE CONSTRUCTION • Why • Restores to the base budget WFO construction funding removed in FY 2010 and accelerated in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA). • Maintain out-year WFO Construction baseline to ensure timely upgrades/replacement of deteriorating WFO facilities. • The original WFO facilities plan did not include the upgrade and modernization of Alaska and Pacific Region Weather Service Offices and associated employee housing units. • What • Modernize Alaska and the Pacific Region’ facilities. • Provide for life cycle maintenance at WFOs. NWS FY11 Budget Summary 12 On-going construction at the Weather Service Office in Barrow, Alaska

  13. NWSWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE CONSTRUCTION Schedule FY 2011 • Complete Barrow, AK Housing • Complete Barrow, AK WSO and Upper Air Inflation Shelter (UAIS) • Award Weather Service Office (WSO) Koror Renovation contract • Award 6 HVAC replacement contracts FY 2012 • Award renovation contract of WSO in Chuuk, Federated States of Micronesia • Award 3 HVAC replacement contracts FY 2013 • Award renovation contract of WSO in Bethel, AK FY 2014 • Award Bethel, King Salmon, Kodiak, and Kotzebue, AK UAIS building contracts FY 2015 • Award McGrath and Cold Bay, AK UAIS building contracts • Award Engineering and Design contracts for Valdez and Yakutat, AK Employee Housings • Award 4 HVAC replacement contracts Construction of the Weather Service Office in Annette, Alaska NWS FY11 Budget Summary 13

  14. NWSWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE CONSTRUCTION NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  15. NWSNEXRAD Product Improvement • Why • Dual Polarization technology will provide significant improvements in detection of severe weather events leading to increased severe weather warning lead times. • Improve tornado detection. • Increase precipitation estimation accuracy from ±35% to ±20%, improve flash flood warning. • Improve probability of hail detection improves from 88% to 94%, decrease false alarm rate from 39% to 8%. • Improve winter weather warning including snow estimation and detection of rain-snow line. • Estimated $690M in annual benefit from better flash flood forecast and water management. • What • Deploy Dual Polarization technology to all 122 operational NWS-NEXRADs. NWS FY11 Budget Summary 15

  16. NWSNEXRAD PRODUCT IMPROVEMENT Dual Polarization Components NWS FY11 Budget Summary 16

  17. NWSNEXRAD PRODUCT IMPROVEMENT Schedule FY 2009 • Install Dual Polarization Production Prototype and conduct System Testing. FY 2010 • Deploy Dual Polarization to 21 NWS NEXRAD sites and conduct Operational Acceptance Test (ARRA funding). FY 2011-2013 • Deploy Dual Polarization to remaining NWS-owned NEXRAD sites for a total of 122. NWS FY11 Budget Summary 17

  18. NWSNEXRAD Product Improvement NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  19. NWSTHE NATIONAL CRITICAL SPACE WEATHER SYSTEM • Why • System provides timely and accurate critical space weather forecasts and warnings needed to protect our satellite constellations, power grids, and transportation and communication systems. • Need for elimination of Information Technology security risks and modernization of obsolete equipment. • Maintains viability of National Critical Space Weather System (SWS) in advance of the next Solar Maximum. • System is operating under an interim Authority to Operate, loss of which would result in the shutdown of NOAA's space weather predictions and forecast program. • What • Additional funding and redirection of base funds will be used to: • acquire hardware and software for the Space Weather Forecast • Center backup, modernize hardware and software to support • satellite data ingest, and update unsupportable legacy software. NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center NWS FY11 Budget Summary 19

  20. NWSTHE NATIONAL CRITICAL SPACE WEATHER SYSTEM NWS FY11 Budget Summary 20

  21. NWSTHE NATIONAL CRITICAL SPACE WEATHER SYSTEM Schedule FY 2011 • Begin software development necessary to move product generation code to supportable environments. • Begin migration of critical components of National Critical System to supportable • environments. • Begin development of an alternate processing facility to overcome the many single • points of failures that exist within the current infrastructure. FY 2012 • Complete migration of critical components of National Critical System to supportable environments. • Complete testing of disaster recovery systems. • Complete the build out of the alternate processing facility at a geographically separate site and begin limited operations. FY 2013 • Complete remaining actions necessary to satisfy C&A and receive full authorization to operate. • Establish refresh cycles to ensure systems remain current. • Full operations at both the primary and alternate processing environments. NWS FY11 Budget Summary 21

  22. NWSTHE NATIONAL CRITICAL SPACE WEATHER SYSTEM Coronal Mass Ejection photo. NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  23. NWSWeather Radio Improvement Project • Why • NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) Console Replacement System (CRS) (NWR’s text to speech translator) is obsolete and unsustainable. • Need for “All Hazards” and “Address the Nation” access. • What • Design, test and install replacement text to speech translator at all Weather Forecast Offices (WFO). • Provides White House and Department of Homeland Security (DHS) messaging dissemination capability. NWS FY11 Budget Summary 23

  24. NWSWeather Radio Improvement Project Schedule FY 2010 • Design review of new system. FY 2011 • Conduct Operation Acceptance Test and begin deployment of new system. FY 2012 • Complete deployment and system becomes operational. • FY 2013-2015 • Steady state. January 10, 2008: A supercell thunderstorm produced three F-3 tornadoes over northern Mississippi. NWS Jackson WFO issued a Tornado Warning using the NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio for this area approximately 41 minutes before the tornado hit a school in Caledonia (Lowndes County). NWS FY11 Budget Summary 24

  25. NWSWeather Radio Improvement Project NWS FY11 Budget Summary 25

  26. NWSWeather Radio Improvement Project NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  27. NWSNOAA Profiler Conversion • Why • Maintain operation of critical 24/7 observation system that provides high-frequency wind data for severe weather warnings. • Need to convert this network to a new frequency in order to prevent interference with planned European Space Agency (ESA) satellites. • What • Program increase is necessary to keep the program • on schedule for completion in FY 2013. • Necessary technology refresh to a twenty year old • system. • Frequency conversion to avoid satellite interference. NWS FY11 Budget Summary Wind Profiler located in Purcell, Oklahoma. 27 27

  28. NWSNOAA Profiler Conversion Schedule FY 2010 • Seven (7) profilers will be modernized and their operating frequencies converted from 404MHz to 449MHz. FY 2011 • Eight (8) profilers will be modernized and their operating frequencies converted from 404MHz to 449MHz. FY 2012 • Four (4) profilers will be modernized and their operating frequencies converted from 404 Mhz to 449 Mhz. • Three (3) Alaska and two (2) CONUS profilers currently operating at the 449Mhz frequencies will be modernized. FY 2013 • Nine (11) profilers will be modernized and their operating frequencies converted from 404MHz to 449MHz. • The profilers at the NOAA/National Reconditioning Center (used to quality control repaired components) and at the NWS Training Center (used to train maintenance technicians) will be modernized and their operating frequencies converted from 404MHz to 449MHz. NWS FY11 Budget Summary 28

  29. NWSNOAA Profiler Conversion NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  30. NWSNOAA Profiler Conversion NWS FY11 Budget Summary

  31. Summary • Funds the development of the Weather Information Data Base - critical to the Administration’s priority to NextGen and aviation weather. • Funds National Critical Space Weather System Certification & Accreditation requirements—maintaining the criticality of the SWPC for the upcoming Solar Max. • Restores WFO Construction program funding. • Fully deploys NEXRAD Dual Polarization upgrade. • Supports continuity of the Nation’s “All Hazards Emergency Alert System”. • Continues the planned technology refresh and operating frequency conversion of the NOAA Profiler Network. June 2009 funnel east of Williams, Iowa – Photo Credit: Mike Hollingshead NWS FY11 Budget Summary

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