The What, Where, and How of Climate Change Information

1. Climate Change and Disaster RiskReduction The What, Where, and How of Climate Change Information Ana Bucher Climate Change Team Environment Department

2. Overview • Climate Change and Disaster Risk Reduction Information Needs • Requirements for informed decisions • Tools for Adaptation and DRR • Additional Resources

3. How does Climate Change (CC) affects Disaster Risk Management (DRR)? Build resilience • It changes the magnitude and frequency of extreme events(coping and response mechanisms and economic planning for disasters based on past vulnerabilities may no longer suffice). • It changes average climatic conditions and climate variability, affecting underlying risk factors • it generates new threats, which a region may have no experience in dealing with. • How does Adaptation to CC and DRR relate? Tearfund, 2008 LINKING CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION AND DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

4. Climate Risk Information Needs • Estimates impacts and adaptation actions at different levels. Adapt toWHAT? WHEN to adapt? HOWmuch? • Measure effectiveness of adaptation actions in the long term under new extreme events. • Importance of data collection, analysis and improvement of climate science.

5. 100-year flood frequency 2020 Lenher et al 2006 Climatic Change

6. Requirements to make Informed Decisionsunder climate change • What is expected to change in terms of Temperature and Precipitation? Historical and current variability. What are the observed trends? • Do we know where do we act? Evaluation of geographic extent and spatial resolution. • When do we act, now or later? Temporal resolution for planned activities. • Assessment of uncertainty and confidence in climate change projections. Adequate guidance for interpretation and application of robust actions

7. Climate Information Analyses

8. Attributes of decision making in a changing climate Responsive Durable • Ensure that disaster risk reduction is a national and local priority. • Identify, assess and monitor disaster risks and enhance early warning. • Use knowledge, innovation and education to build a culture of safety and resilience at all levels. • Reduce the underlying risk factors (i.e natural resource management, socio-economic development, construction) • Strengthen disaster preparedness for effective response at all levels. Proactive Flexible Robust

9. UK Climate Impacts Programme Robust decision-making under uncertainty • Bring together adaptation to CC and risk management • Understand vulnerabilities, sensitivities and thresholds • Mainstream future climate risks within existing risk management processes: • strategic • operational • major projects Source: Willows and Connell, 2003

10. What are your real information needs to fulfill your project objectives? • What aspects of climate are you vulnerable to? • What data do you have or need to characterize current risks? • To what extent can you characterize future location and intensity of these risks?

11. Climate Change Data What? Collaborative, on-line, knowledge portal with a suite of climate and climate related data and tools to support climate resilience measures at different levels and for specific user needs and contexts Why? To facilitate access of consistent and easily accessible datasets and resources across the WB.

12. HOW can you use the WB CC Portal? Access and Interpret Access Use Learn Climate Models Disasters Historical Trends Impacts

13. Examples of Integration/Analysis for communication and knowledge sharing Location of project portfolio Ensemble of climate models Projected agriculture crop yields

14. Coming soon! • CC and DRR Country adaptation profiles An operational tool for practitioners for climate and climate related information, to be later expanded with sector-specific climate risk guidance.

15. The context section will provide an overview of key DRR issues and climate dynamics of the country. This will include: • A disaster risk profile outlining the historical occurrence of major disasters over time, along with their impacts and existing disaster hotspots, • A general description of current climate variability and other stressors that characterize local impact and vulnerability to climate change, • A summary of National Priorities and Adaptation strategies. • A summary of the latest available socio-economic and vulnerability indicators including those available from the World Bank data portal Mozambique Dashboard Welcome Dashboard Climate Baseline Climate Baseline ClimateFuture Climate Future Disasters Disasters Adaptation Print | Help | Explore Climate Future II Adaptation Page 1 | Page 2 | Page 3 | Page 4 | Page 5 | Page 6 At a glance Disasters <Contents here to be determined> Xxx 67% Xxx 67% Xxx 67% Xxx 67% Key Sectors Climate Baseline Agriculture/Food Security Coastal Zones/Marine Ecosys Water Resources Disasters Biodiversity Learn more... Selected Indicators Overview Vulnerability Indicators MDG Indicators The government of Mozambique recognizes that the country is vulnerable to catastrophes and that the hazards resulting from climate change are some of the factors that aggravate the situation of absolute poverty in Mozambique. With those challenges in mind, the government has developed the following priority objectives: Reduce the number of human victims and the loss of properties; Promote a culture of prevention; and; Provide the country with the means for prevention and mitigation. Mozambique is placing special emphasis on the prevention of natural disasters and improving early warning systems. Adaptation measures are being implemented in the agricultural, fisheries, energy, environmental and water sectors, with particular attention being paid to the coastal zones and erosion control. Healthy Nutrition and Population Aggregate Governance Indicators 1996-2008 Climate Analysis Indicators (WRI) • More

16. This section will provide a list of practical examples of adaptation and disaster risk reduction in areas with similar disaster profiles. This will also outline, where available, the GFDRR Country Programming Framework – as well as any activities under the Hyogo Framework of Action. A list of key local institutions and information about their priority areas of focus as well as their active projects will also be provided (where available) Mozambique Dashboard Adaptation Dashboard Climate Baseline ClimateFuture Disasters Print | Help | Explore Climate Future II Adaptation Page 1 | Page 2 | Page 3 | Page 4 | Page 5 | Page 6 At a glance Adaptation Options by Sector Current Adaptation Activities <Content to be determined> Studies Xxx • INGC Phase II • Africa ADAPT Xxx • Vulnerability Reduction Xxx • Living with drought -Chicualacuala UNDP project • PPCR – World Bank Xxx • Disaster Preparedness Priority Adaptation Projects Strengthening Early Warning Systems Zambezi Basin Initiative Increasing private sector resilience to climate change • Community Based Early Warning System at the Búzi River in Central Mozambique (SIDPABB) Development of alternative water sources for the southern region • More Projects. ….. Key Institutions • More Adaptation Targets? <Content here to be determined> xxxx xxxx xxxx xxxx • More

18. Climate Change Adaptation and Risk Reduction • Red Cross/Red Crescent www.climatecentre.org • PreventionNet http://www.preventionweb.net/ • UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction www.unisdr.org

19. Thanks!