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PCC. 1 Mar 2012. CSF2 Update to IOM LTC Daniel T. Johnston, MD, MPH Medical Director, CSF2. 1. Resilience= Physical + Mental. Adapted from WHO. To maximize health, we must focus on a total assessment package. Has the GAT been validated?.
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PCC 1 Mar 2012 CSF2 Update to IOM LTC Daniel T. Johnston, MD, MPH Medical Director, CSF2 1
Resilience= Physical + Mental Adapted from WHO To maximize health, we must focus on a total assessment package
Has the GAT been validated? Broad Program Analysis, Technical Reports #1 & #2 • Soldiers who completed suicide, who tested positive for illicit drug use, and who committed violent crimes were significantly less resilient or psychologically healthy than Soldiers who did not engage in these activities. • Officers who were promoted ahead of peers are more emotionally and socially healthy than Officers not promoted early. • Officers selected for command are more emotionally and socially healthy than Officers not selected for command. • Together these reports showed that resilience and psychological health are linked to important behavioral outcomes.
GAT as it stands today Life Orientation Scale Scheier, Carver, & Bridges (1994) Work as a Calling Scale Wrzesniewski et al. (1997) Peterson, Park, & Seligman (2005) Brief Strengths Inventory Peterson & Seligman (2004) • Optimism • Work engagement • Individual strengths • +/- Coping strategies • Spirituality (not religiosity) • Strength of familial relationships • How well the Army supports families • Family support for serving in Army • Trust in unit, leadership, peers • +/- Affectivity (emotions) • Strength of friendships • Catastrophic thinking • Depression Coping Strategy Scales Carver, Scheier, & Weutraub (1989) Peterson & Park (In Press) Brief Multidimensional Measure of Spirituality Fetzer Institute (1999) Original Items Peterson & Park (In Press) Military Family Fitness Scale Directorate of Basic Combat Training Experimentation & Analysis Element Ft. Jackson, SC Military Family Fitness Scale Directorate of Basic Combat Training Experimentation & Analysis Element Ft. Jackson, SC Organizational Trust Scales Mayer, Davis, & Schoorman (1995) Mayer & Davis (1999) Sweeney, Thompson, & Blanton (2009) PANAS Watson, Clark, & Tellegen (1989) UCLA Loneliness Scale + Original Items Russell, Peplau, & Furguson (1978) Russell, Peplau, & Cutrona (1980) Peterson & Park (In Press) Pessimistic-Optimistic Explanatory Style Peterson et al (2001) Patient Health Questionnaire - 9 Kroenke, Spitzer & Williams (2001)
GAT Score and Healthcare Utilization Average Number of Visits to Primary Care Provider by Emotional Fitness Score (per deployment as reported on the PDHA) What are the health habits of these people? Twice as Many Healthcare Visits 6.64 4.76 3.76 Healthcare Visits 3.72 Emotional Fitness Scores by GAT (on a scale from 0-5) n=100K
RealAge + GAT The Universal Health Assessmen (Feb 2013 Launch) What is the RealAge Test®? A scientific, but simple to take test that quantifies the impact of your lifestyle behaviors, family history, medical conditions & social connections into a unique single calculation of your body’s health • Real Age Founded by Dr. Michael Roizen, Dr Keith Roach, Dr Mehmet Oz of the Cleveland Clinic • 29 million people have taken the RealAge Test • 4 billion+ health facts in our database • 4 million active RealAge members • 1 billion annual engagement e-mails sent • Incorporates Activity, Sleep, and Nutrition into broader test for maximum impact and maximum understanding and training approaches while keeping it fun, engaging and useful for reporting to senior leaders on health of the force and healthcare costs predictions
Real Age Test Backed by hard medicine and science 500 studies reviewed to create the current test Patented algorithm based on CDC and census mortality data, with weighting that eliminates double counting of factors From the most reputable health journals, including: New England Journal of Medicine Annals of Internal Medicine JAMA Lancet British Medical Journal
Process, Methodology & Science The RealAge Test gauges the body's physical age, not its calendar age by looking at many different factors that impact mortality. The most powerful, not surprisingly, are smoking, blood pressure, and blood cholesterol, but many other factors also affect overall mortality, including diet (especially fat intake) and physical activity. The medical and scientific team that created the original RealAge Test during the 1990s reviewed thousands of studies to eventually settled on about 65 factors that affected RealAge. This expert team was led by Michael Roizen, MDand current Chief Wellness Officer at the Cleveland Clinic and current Chief Medical Officer Dr. Keith Roach Working with a mathematician at the University of Chicago, the team developed and patented an algorithm that allows large numbers of risk factors to be considered together as a group, and to take into account the interactions between risk factors and the tendency of behaviors to co-vary. In 2011 the team completed a substantial update of the medical, scientific, mathematical and technological components of the RealAge Test which took more than 2 years start to finish. The scientific research, which lasted almost exactly a year, identified 556 new trials as primary and secondary sources for the RealAge Test. Based on this data, the team removed some original factors, reweighted others, and added several new ones that have only recently been proven to have an independent effect on overall mortality and thus on RealAge (for example, having health insurance).
Methodology & Science The requirements for altering or adding a new factor to the RealAge Test are quite stringent. The foundation study must reflect major research and be published in a peer-reviewed scientific or medical journal, such as The New England Journal of Medicine, Annals of Internal Medicine, or the Journal of the America Medical Association. At least three confirmatory studies must have been published in similar journals. The key study must pass a critical test: Has its results changed the way medicine is prescribed or practiced? In addition, each study is assigned a quality score based on its methodological strength, so that a large, well-designed, multicenter, placebo-controlled trial has greater weight in calculating RealAge than a study that shows only an epidemiologic association. The algorithm to calculate RealAge has also been improved, mainly by looking individually at a risk factor’s effect on cardiovascular, cancer, accident, and all other causes of mortality, so that it is easier to adjust for the tendency of behaviors to co-vary with one another. Another important part of the new algorithm is the normalization of the studies. RealAge is defined such that the hypothetical “average” person has a RealAge exactly equal to the person's chronologic age. To make that work correctly, the results from the scientific studies have to be normalized against a standard population (almost always the US population).
Methodology & Science This requires use of data from the Census Bureau, the Centers for Disease Control, or the Department of Vital Statistics. As the population changes, the normalization has to be changed as well. The company and it’s medical team does quarterly reviews and updates of the RealAge test, reviewing the medical literature and maintaining the accuracy of the population means (for example, renormalizing both weight and diabetes prevalence has to be done continuously). At the same time, with over 29 million people having taken the test, we often can see how the population is changing even before other data is published. Also, the new technology behind the RealAge Test now makes updating the test much faster—it can be done within a few days of an important study being released.
“Risk” Age components foryounger populations • Evaluates mortality risk for adults as separate test or combined with traditional risk factors as part of RealAge test • Also capable of evaluating morbidity (serious injury and all injury risk) as a stand-alone product
RiskAge factors • Motorcycles • Helmet effect • Bicycles, skateboards, scooters • Looks at experience, equipment, type of riding • Recreational sports • Football, others (high school, college, pro data) • Horseback riding • Helmets, experience • Driving • Alcohol • Cannabis • Driving speed • Cell phone use • Texting • Car size • Miles driven • Seat belts • Front airbags • Side airbags • Electronic stability control • Prescription drugs/sedatives Auto racing Boating accidents Firearm accidents (civilian data) Skiing, snowboarding Private (general) air travel Skydiving, bungee jumping
Targeted messaging HFP provides targeted web based messaging and smart phone apps • Resulting in: • A personalized grow younger plan to help consumers GET HEALTHIER and GROW YOUNGER • Ongoing consumer dialogue delivered to targeted patient communities (based on deep condition data) across : • Healthy Living Action Plans • Doctor Visit Guides • Risk Assessments • Condition Topic Centers • Healthy Living Tips & Videos
LaFarge / RealAge Employee Pilot in partnership with the Cleveland Clinic: Workforce Resilience March 22, 2012
A holistic resilience metric Compares a person or population to an “average” person in the United States A person who is as healthy as the average American will have a “RealAge Delta” of 0 The difference between someone’s RealAge and their calendar age is known as their “RealAge Delta”
RealAges(and costs) increase for people with chronic conditions DIABETIC EXAMPLE Medical costs per year Average Diabetic $8,373 $13,218 + $4,845
Population Analysis LaFarge’s average RealAge is 1.9 years higher than the average calendar age… +1.9
…reflecting a proliferation of chronic health issues and habits LaFarge employees that were… 47.7 Calendar Age +2.0 78% Overweight 49.7 46.0 Calendar Age +6.4 24% Smokers 52.4 High cholesterol sufferers 49.3 Calendar Age +3.1 8% 52.4 5% Diabetics 53.3 Calendar Age +3.3 56.6
Both women and men are older than their calendar ages… Women = 13% The men by a much bigger difference than the women 45.3 Calendar Age +0.5 45.8 Men = 87% 47.1 Calendar Age +1.9 49.0
Opportunity to focus programs on groups w/ combined risk factors 63 employees 1,172 employees Overweight + Smokers Overweight + Diabetes + Smokers Calendar Age 51.9 +7.4 46.5 Calendar Age +6.4 59.3 52.9 Smokers 300 employees Overweight + Diabetes 108 employees Calendar Age 53.5 Overweight + High Cholesterol + Smokers +3.3 56.8 Calendar Age 48.4 +7.2 High Cholesterol Sufferers 55.6 Diabetics 405 employees Overweight + High Cholesterol 4,897 Employees with Weight Problems Calendar Age 49.1 +3.2 52.3
Results: Of 960 employees, 388 (40%) consented to participate; of these, 345 (89%) completed the baseline health survey. After 6 months, 70% of the 345 participants had opened 50% or more of the daily emails. In addition, 75% of participants continued to open at least one email a week through week 26 of the study. Email opening rates did not vary by gender, age, income, education, ethnicity, or baseline health behavior. Conclusions: The rate of enrollment and sustained participation document the feasibility, broad reach, employee acceptance, and potential value of using electronic communications for health promotion in the workplace.
COACH Program vs. RealAge • RCT at University of Illinois published 2011 • COACH program vsRealAge • COACH program: participants received in-person and telephonic, biweekly meetings x 12 months with RN and certified health coach • RealAge program: participants received a single e-mail recommending they sign up for RealAge program
Hughes 2011: results • COACH program 95% uptake • RealAge 57% uptake • 94% of those who took test had meaningful interaction with web site going forward • Confirms findings of Franklin 2006 showing 81% of RealAge participants continuing to open mail >23 weeks after taking RealAge test
Hughes 2011: Results • COACH: • Improved diet, exercise measures • No improvement in waist circumference • RealAge • Reduction in waist circumference at 6 and 12 months (p=0.05)
Consumers Seeking Health Information Integrated Sharecare Platform: 2013 Integrated Health and Fitness Platform: 2013 Leveraging .com Assessment Onboarding HFP recommends content, geo-targeted fitness experts, AWCs, and communities based on results USER ENGAGEMENT User completes .mil GAT, RealAge Test and creates Personal Profile Action Support Progress 1B Health video and test tips sent via email + published in real-time Fitness problems passed to provider - Virtual Consult A single unified dashboard tracks progress across multiple solutions in real-time Recommended programs based on conditions and desired outcomes (i.e., weight loss) Connection Data Synthesis + Improvement Social media, email to build trusted relationships between Soldiers, Families, and DA Civilians Data = better service. More sophisticated analyses performed to help manage wellness more efficiently and effectively Through QAs, Apps, better search and empowered users the system knowledge becomes cumulative
Observation To understand the Health of the Force (a dimension of readiness) and if interventions are working (policy, training, counseling, medical treatment), a set of metrics can be developed and monitored which requires: Share Access to Scientific Knowledge & SMEs Share Data Meaning & Data Assets Share Access to Tools & Tool SMEs Provide secure safe place to test models/tools on near real date To identify persons with increasing risk of unhealthy behavior is much more difficult Groups that can share science, tools, data: VA/DMDC BUMED-FHI NCCOSC USAPHC USARIEM TRAC Fort Leavenworth TRAC Monterey DUSA -- STARRS Army G3 – CSF PERSEREC G2 – Risk Tool Evaluation ARI MRMC A Safe Place to test models/tools: The Person-Event Data Environment (PDE) PDE Sharing= Time and Cost Savings