Policy Update. CEI Work Experience Symposium. May 2013

1. Policy Update. CEI Work Experience Symposium. May 2013

2. Big Picture • Coalition into 2nd half, dials being set for 2015, Policy Reviews under way • Distinct narrative emerging: aspiration nation v one nation • Economy still key factor, economic forecasts remaining cautious, ‘consolidation’ rolling on to 2017/18 • Growth flat, inflation up and down, unemployment down, underemployment up, moods variable, education/skills contribution vital • Rolling growth plan in place, lots of ‘cunning’ plans: Industry plan (Sept,) Heseltine plan (Oct,) Apprenticeship plan (Nov,) Budget plan (Dec,) Traineeship plan (Jan 2013,) revised KS4 reform plan (Feb 2013,) another Apprenticeship plan (March 2013,) another Skills plan (April 2013,) Traineeship delivery plan (May 2013) • Education and skills agenda built around the 12 elements in the Growth Plan: apprenticeship developments; Eng/maths; STEM; youth employment; qualification reform; destination data; employer ownership • Other useful ‘policy’ numbers: • 11 key industry sectors • 8 great technologies • 24 mid-term education priorities • But, 4 big shaping issues: funding; qualification development; quality and performance; system reform

3. 1. Funding (1) Position post 2012 Autumn Statement and 2013 Budget • Schools • Dept-led efficiency review of school system • £980m up to 2015 for new free schools and academies • New pay/performance structure from 2013 • Protection for school budgets • FE/Skills • £270m for capital investment • £240m for EOPs, £350m for RGF • £1.6bn for key sectors, match funding for development of digital content skills • Movement towards a single pot by April 2015 • £250,000 +£10m for individual LEPs to enable creation of local skill priority plans • LEP local skill plans by July 2013, employment measure data/KIS by end of 2013 • HE/science • £600m for RCs and R and D • Updated Life Science and Aerospace Strategies • £120m for Adv Manufacturing • Witty Review of HE-LEP support • Further review of VAT exemption • And the rest • Extra £1bn reduction in Dept DELS 2013/14, 2014/15, extra £1.5bn added to 2015/16 ‘cuts’ • ‘Hunger Games’ under way. “There’s really nothing left to squeeze”

4. 1. Funding (2) Sector positions Schools and 16-19 • 2013/14 DfE DEL = £53.1bn, indicative 2014/15 DEL = £53.8bn • Gradual extension of the pupil premium • PSBP in place, deployed through PF2 • 14-16 transition to new system post SR. Position for 2013/14: • Simplified DSG • Earlier notification of budgets • Streamlined LA formulae • New system for high needs • Commitment to MFG • 16-19 funding moving to new system for 2013/14; key features include: • Funding by learner rather than by qualification, total budget: £7.4bn • Additional funding for disadvantage • Focus on retention rather than success rates • Formula protection for three years Key Issues • Effect of current funding changes on programme sizes • Viability of a national formula within a disestablished system • Impact of the current Efficiency Review, incl potentially role of private sector • But, big issue is long-term future of school ring fencing

5. 1. Funding (3) Sector positions FE/Adult Learning • 2013/14 BIS DEL = £4bn, indicative 2014/2015 DEL = £4bn • Indicative budget reductions for 2014/15 include T/L, capital grants and admin though £270m additional capital from 2012 Autumn Statement • £129,000 for SLC for 24+ loans, £398,000 for 2014/15 • Funds set aside for transfer to EFA for new ‘High Needs’ system • Some Agency musical chairs but limited impact on budgets • Current funding priorities set out in April SFA ‘Grant’ letter • Ensuring provision for key groups • Supporting introduction of loans • Providing single, high-quality service for apprenticeships • Working with lead local partners to ensure responsive provision • Developing the National Careers Service • Monitoring quality provision generally • Key Issues • Shift towards employer ownership • Impact of current reviews into take up and worth of particular quals • Impact of fee loan system on client take-up and relationships • Implications of Single Local Growth Fund

6. 2. Qualification development • Current position: 6 major developments • Revisions to the National Curriculum (Jan 2011 - 2014/15) • Reform, removal and reform again of GCSEs (Dec 2010 - 2015/16) • Development of new PoS and A levels for 16-19 yr olds (Sept 2010 – 2015/16) • Marching with the Baccs (Jan 2011 - Sept 2014) • Growing apprenticeships (Nov 2010 – 2015) • Introducing Traineeship bridging programmes (Sept 2013 on) • Key issues: • Prescription v autonomy; balance between knowledge and skills; modular v linear; the Woolf factor; focus on core essentials; requirements for the 21st c; international challenge; public confidence; regulatory requirements; assessment tools; reform of the exam system • What to look out for • Launch of Delivery Framework for Traineeships (May 2013) • Launch of consultation on KS4 subject criteria (May 2013) • Consultation closes on Richard apprenticeship proposals (May 2013) • Introduction of first Traineeship programmes (August 2013) • Final draft of KS 1-3 NC in schools (Autumn 2013) • Publication of implementation plan for ‘revised’ apprenticeship system (Autumn 2013) • First teaching of new KS 1-3 NC (Sept 2014) • First teaching of new GCSEs and A levels in key subjects (Sept 2015) • First teaching of remainder of GCSEs and A levels (Sept 2016)

7. 3. Quality and performance • Current position: 5 major developments • Changes in performance table reporting (KS4 autumn 2011, KS5 spring 2013) • Development of new accountability systems (consultation on sec school model spring 2013, primary and 16-19 coming) • Implementation of new Ofsted inspection criteria (Sept 2012) • Introduction of new professional standards and appraisal systems for teachers (Sept 2012) • Enthusiastic adoption of international benchmarking (Dec 2010) • Key issues: • Nature of reporting measures; turnaround times; removal of ‘satisfactory’ grade; the EBacc factor; parent view/learner voice; McKinsey model; prof support and teacher training; role of data; transparency drive • What to look out for • Consultation closes on sec school accountability (May 2013) • Consultation closes on KS5 consultation (May 2013) • Publication of Ofsted ‘Access and Achievement’ Report (May 2013) • Outline of criteria for 2013 perf table reporting (June 2013) • Further stage in destination reporting (July 2013) • Gov update on school and KS5 consultations (summer 2013) • Introduction of new pay and performance system for teachers (Sept 2013) • Introduction of new skills tests for new entrants to the profession (Sept 2013) • Confirmation of quals approved for KS4 and KS5 perf tables (Nov 2013)

8. 4. System Change • Current position:4 dimensions • The schools sector (diversification of school types; commissioning of support services; transformation of the profession; reform of the Dept; harvests and holidays?) • The careers system (new duty on schools; extension of the NCS; Education Committee Inquiry; Dept Response) • The skills system (Localism White Paper; emergence of LEP system; identification of key industry sectors; development of employer ownership pilots; transition to Single Pot) • HE sector (shift to new fee loan system; introduction of new customer information tools; new quality assurance and regulatory requirements; emergence of new WP strategy; procedures for managing student numbers; the Mooc factor) • What to look out for • For schools: ‘tidying up’ of NC (summer 2013,) modelling of accountability systems (summer/autumn 2013,) further extension of Academy system into primary schools and PRUs (autumn 2013,) new pay arrangements for teachers (Sept 2013) • For careers: NCC Report to Ministers (June 2013,) Ofsted thematic Review (summer 2013,) interaction with LEPs (summer 2013,) further worried reports (ongoing) • For the skills system: launch of UKCES LMI for All tool (May 2013,) launch of Phase 2 EOPs (summer 2013,) emergence of LEP economic growth plans (summer 2013,) implementation of Heseltine and Richard Reviews (autumn 2013 on) • For HE: consultation on further flexibilities in managing student numbers (May 2013,) reviews of business links and p/t provision (summer 2013,) outcomes from this summer’s admissions round (Sept 2013,) launch of new strategy for widening participation (autumn 2013)

9. In summary • Despite hiccups, Government pushing ahead with education reform agenda, speed rush to ensure new qual system in place for 2015 • Funding protected but tight; for-profit argument emerging as elephant in room, fears of some seepage of protections • Introduction of new accountability mechanisms, focus on progression potential and route definition • Curriculum requirements reduced to more ambitious core expectations, any flexibilities to be used to bring increased levels of performance • Existing exam system retained but reduction in qual volume, emphasis on formal assessment mechanisms and removal of resit culture • Debate continuing around preferred models of vocational provision against context of continuing concerns about youth unemployment • Increasing institutional responsibility for the supply, training and performance of profession • Drive to fill the space, especially at regional level, created by more autonomous school system • International grass continuing to be seen as greener • Austen rather than Argos culture

10. Building up to 2015 • All Parties on ‘war’ footing, series of Policy Reviews under way • Conservative Education Policy Reviews on F/HE (Feb 2013) and Schools (March 2013,) Labour 8 Policy Commissions plus a Skills Taskforce Report, Lib-Dems a series of Policy Papers (March 2013) • Emerging policy issues • Primary education (capacity/performance) • Academies (stance/quality driver) • Regulation (rigour/robustness) • Teacher quality and support (ownership/technology) • Technology (tool for efficiency/ tool for opportunity) • School-work transition (qual offer/employer role) • FE (autonomy/skills system) • HE (funding/vision) • Life beyond Gove (better/worse) • Economy the wild card, likely to define context • Future choreography • Spending Review (June 2013) • Ministerial reshuffles (July and Sept 2013) • Conference season (Sept/Oct 2013) • Autumn Financial Statement (Nov/Dec 2013) • Budget 2014 (March 2014) • Final Conference round (Autumn 2014) • Manifestos (March/April 2015)