1 / 17

Natural Resource Dependence and Fertility in Petén, Guatemala

This study examines the relationship between natural resource use and fertility in Petén, Guatemala, an agricultural frontier witnessing dramatic population growth and deforestation. Through data analysis and regression models, the study explores various hypotheses and offers insights into factors influencing fertility patterns in the region.

gwhaley
Download Presentation

Natural Resource Dependence and Fertility in Petén, Guatemala

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Fertility and the environment in a natural resource dependent economy: Evidence from Petén, Guatemala Elizabeth G. Sutherland 1, 2 David L. Carr 2 Siân L. Curtis 1, 2 1. Maternal and Child Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2. Carolina Population Center

  2. Introduction • Natural resource use and access have long been thought to be important in shaping rural fertility patterns • Many hypotheses have been proposed to explain the relationships between natural resources and fertility • This study tests these natural resource-fertility hypotheses in the Petén, an agricultural frontier in Northern Guatemala

  3. Study Setting • Petén- a tropical agricultural frontier • dramatic population growth • high rates of deforestation

  4. N W E Petén Belize S Mexico G u a t e m a l a Honduras ElSalvador 0 2 0 0 M i l e s Map of Guatemala Showing the Petén

  5. Study Setting • Petén- a tropical agricultural frontier • dramatic population growth • high rates of deforestation

  6. Petenero Family of Children

  7. Study Setting • Petén- a tropical agricultural frontier • dramatic population growth • high rates of deforestation

  8. Deforestation in the Petén

  9. Data and Methods • Data for this study comes from the 1998/1999 Encuesta de Salud Materno Infantil • Individual questionnaires

  10. Data and Methods • In addition, in the Petén, a household survey on health, migration, and natural resources was conducted

  11. Data and Methods • Multivariate regression (n=404) • Do natural resource variables predict the number of living children? • Controls in the Model • Maternal factors • Household factors

  12. Land Labor Hypothesis Land Security Hypothesis Frontier Hypothesis Cattle Hypothesis Common Property Resources Hypothesis Unsupported Unsupported Unsupported Supported Unsupported Hypothesis Supported?

  13. Conclusions • no support for many natural resource-fertility hypotheses • some evidence that cattle ownership and perception of land availability for children relate to fertility • cross-sectional data

  14. Future Research • longitudinal or panel data • multilevel models and • qualitative analyses

  15. Questions?

More Related